Updated 2020 Rankings: Top 30 Outfielders (Where To Rank The 2019 Breakouts, Any Surprises? & More)

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Spring Training is upon us, and that means it’s time to ramp up our preparation for our 2020 Fantasy Baseball Drafts. Let’s keep our “official” rankings on the site rolling, with even deeper rankings and more in-depth analysis available via our draft guide (click here for information on ordering the guide for just $8.25), with the Top 15 Outfielders. Who are the players worth targeting? Who could surprise? Who is destined to disappoint?

Let’s answer all of these questions and more as we get to the rankings:

RankPlayerTeamQuick Thoughts
1)Christian YelichMilwaukee BrewersYou could argue the Top 3 players on this list in any order and no one should complain. Yelich has maintained his power performance to go along with speed and a .300+ AVG., so what's not to like?
2) Mike TroutLos Angeles AngelsTrout continues to be among the elite, but he hasn't run as much as Yelich in recent years and that's the difference. It's razor thin, and putting Trout at the top wouldn't be argued.
3) Ronald AcunaAtlanta BravesAcuna has risen to elite status quicker than anyone could've imagined as he hit .280 with 41 HR, 101 RBI, 127 R and 37 SB last season. We did see his strikeout rate spike early in the season and he appeared to be swinging for the fences in September, so we'll have to watch closely. At the same time that's splitting hairs.
4) Juan SotoWashington NationalsLike Acuna he has developed into one of the elite in short order, hitting .282 with 34 HR, 110 RBI, 110 R and 12 SB. The biggest difference between him and the names above him is little more than the potential to steal 20+ bases.
5) J.D. MartinezBoston Red SoxOver the past three years he's hit 46, 43 and 36 HR. You can argue that he's trending in the wrong direction, but 18 HR over 259 AB in the second half (29.5% HR/FB) tells you not to be overly concerned.
6)Cody BellingerLos Angeles DodgersWho is the real Cody Bellinger? Is he closer to the player who hit .336 with 30 HR in the first half or .261 with 17 HR in the second? The truth likely lies in between, though that's still more than enough to be one of the elite (especially with Mookie Betts now hitting ahead of him).
7) Mookie BettsLos Angeles DodgersHis speed dropped last season (16-for-19 in SB), though how much of that was due to his missed time in September? He's a good bet to put up a .300/30/20 season and the move to Los Angeles doesn't have a negative impact.
8)Aaron JudgeNew York YankeesStrikeouts are going to remain a question, but the bigger issue has been injuries the past two seasons. That could cause others to undervalue him, a mistake you don't want to make. Of course his current status is unknown, an there's a good chance he falls dramatically down these rankings.
9)Bryce HarperPhiladelphia PhilliesWas his early season struggles due to adjusting to Philadelphia? It's possible, as he improved his strikeout rate as the season progressed and finished the year with 35 HR and 15 SB. It's easy to envision big things in 2020.
10)George SpringerHouston AstrosObviously the Astros' scandal is going to cause some concern, but we have to work with what we know. Springer brings a strong approach with the ability to hit for power, and 30+ HR with 100+ R and 90+ RBI should be a near lock (assuming he stays healthy).
11)Charlie BlackmonColorado RockiesBlackmon's value takes a hit, as he doesn't steal as many bases as he once did. He still scores a ton of runs (110+ R in four straight seasons) while pushing 30 HR, so his value doesn't fall of a cliff either.
12)Austin MeadowsTampa Bay RaysMeadows hit .291 with 33 HR and 12 SB last season and with his approach there's reason to believe he'll improve his strikeout rate (22.2%), as he showed over the final two months. A repeat performance should be in his future.
13)Marcell OzunaAtlanta BravesHe landed in Atlanta, where he'll replace Josh Donaldson in the middle of the lineup. Injuries likely played a role in his '19 struggles, though poor luck was also an issue (.259 BABIP despite a 48.1% Hard%). Healthy and in a strong lineup should yield impressive results.
14)Eloy JimenezChicago White SoxIncluding him in the Top 15 may be the biggest surprise on this list, but he showed improvements as the season progressed (he hit .281 in August, .340 in September) and there was never a question about his power. Strikeouts are going to be an issue, but would .270/35/100 be a surprise?
15)Nick CastellanosCincinnati RedsCastellanos showed what he was capable of after he got out of Detroit, hitting .321 with 16 HR and 36 RBI over 225 PA with the Cubs. While that may be extreme, his skills should fit well with the Reds.
16)Ketel MarteArizona DiamondbacksMarte erupted in '19, hitting .329 with 32 HR, 92 RBI, 97 R and 10 SB. It's possible his power is closer to the second half rate (12 HR) and if he's atop the order the RBI could fall, but with positional flexibility he's truly emerged.
17)Starling MarteArizona DiamondbacksAt his age the stolen base total could start to decline and there are questions about his approach (36.4% O-wing%), though the move to Arizona with a better supporting cast minimizes the concerns.
18)Tommy PhamSan Diego PadresFor the third straight season Pham posted at least a 20/15 season and he continues to show a strong approach. While he joins a crowded outfield mix and moves to an unfavorable ballpark, the upside remains 20/20 (or better).
19)Victor RoblesWashington NationalsHe hit .255 with 17 HR and 28 SB last season, and late in the season he showed signs of further improvement (32.9% Hard% in September, compared to 24.9% overall). Would it be surprising to see the once heavily hyped prospect fully emerge in 2020?
20)Michael ConfortoNew York MetsOverall Conforto enjoyed a breakout 2019, hitting .257 with 33 HR, 92 RBI and 90 R, with the potential to carry an even better AVG (he hit .271 in the second half, courtesy of a .307 BABIP). Entering his age 27 seasons, could there be yet another step forward in store?
21)Trey ManciniBaltimore OriolesMancini broke out in '19, hitting .291 with 35 HR, 97 RBI and 106 R, as he started putting fewer balls in the air. There will be questions about his performance against non-fastballs (2 HR) and his approach, but even with a regression there's a lot to like.
22)Eddie RosarioMinnesota TwinsIt's easy to get excited about a player who hit .276 with 32 HR, though a questionable approach (46.3% O-Swing%) looms large. Considering he hit .268 with 12 HR in the second half there's risk, though he's a far better option in OBP formats.
23)Joey GalloTexas RangersCan Gallo prove that he's more than an all power option? It's a hard sell considering his swing and miss approach (16.2% SwStr%), while also putting the ball in the air a lot (47.2%) and being prone to the shift (20.9% Oppo%).
24)Whit MerrifieldKansas City RoyalsMerrifield is going to continue to hold value, but he's not a significant source of power and his stolen base total fell dramatically (45 in '18 to 20 in '19). At his age will the stolen bases return to the elite levels? That'll be something to watch, though his production in the other categories (.300ish hitter with enough HR and ability to score R) keeps him as a good play.
25)Kyle SchwarberChicago CubsThe power is obvious, and he showed an approach that wasn't as poor as some other sluggers (11.1% SwStr%). He hit .280 behind a 21.8% strikeout rate in the second half, and while he may not be able to maintain that it shows the upside.
26)Giancarlo StantonNew York YankeesTalk about a disaster, Stanton missed virtually all of 2019 due to various injuries. If healthy he's a near lock to hit 40 HR in the middle of the Yankees lineup, but the problem is he's already not healthy. While the injury isn't major, Opening Day appears off the table and who knows when he'll be ready to return.
27) Max KeplerMinnesota TwinsKepler exploded in '19 for 36 HR, despite failing to hit a HR in 35 September AB. While there's a good chance he fails to post a strong AVG, he does carry a solid OBP and should continue to be a solid option assuming he maintains the power.
28) Jorge SolerKansas City RoyalsSoler finally showed the upside we've heard about, launching 48 HR to go along with 117 RBI in '19. However he took a more flyball-centric approach late in the year, indicating he could've been focusing on the power. That's not necessarily a good thing
29)Franmil ReyesCleveland IndiansHe hit for power both in San Diego and Cleveland, though there's a lot of swing and miss to his game and that could limit his overall upside.
30)Ramon LaureanoOakland A'sLaureano lived up to the preseason hype, hitting .288 with 24 HR and 13 SB over 434 AB. He may not be able to replicate those numbers, but does a .265/20/20 player sound attractive? That's a fair expectation

Sources – Fangraphs, Brooks Baseball

Make sure to check out all of our 2020 preseason rankings:

PositionLast Updated
Catchers02/10/20
First Basemen02/13/20
Second Basemen02/18/20
Third Basemen02/21/20
Shortstops02/24/20
Outfielders03/06/20
Starting Pitchers03/09/20
Relief Pitchers03/03/20

6 COMMENTS

  1. I think Michael Conforto is being overlooked by everyone. Now a full season removed from his shoulder injury, I expect him to reach the levels that were expected of him. A .270/.400/.550 season are within reach which easily make him a top 20 outfielder.

  2. Hey Prof, I have an opportunity to acquire a top SP. And I am debating between targeting Snell or Giolito. Standard points keeper league. Who is the ideal target and why? Thanks in advance.

    • I definitely prefer Snell. When healthy he’s a proven Top 10-15 starter and Giolito faces home run risks (36.0% groundball rate) and potentially only average control

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