Draft Day Decisions: Why You Should Pass On Addison Russell & Select Marcus Semien

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

Addison Russell is going to be a hot commodity at fantasy drafts, and it’s not only because he posted gaudy numbers last season.  Instead it’s people looking towards the upside and the potential that he lives up to the hype that has often been bestowed upon him.  Does that necessarily make him a good selection?  With a current ADP of 135.20 in NFBC formats, making him the 8th shortstop coming off the board, an argument can be made against it.

Just look at the stat comparison with Marcus Semien, who owns a current ADP of 206.20, from last season:


Those numbers are similar, with each player having an edge in a category or two.  That means the disparity is caused by projection and hype as opposed to the actual skill set.  There’s nothing wrong in doing that, but can the argument be made that Semien’s upside is just as high? Read more

2017 Rankings: Top 15 Second Baseman (Don’t Overvalue Brian Dozier & More)

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

Second base was once viewed as a shallow positon, but no longer.  Not only has there been an infusion of young talent, but there are numerous top players who have eligibility at other positions (like Trea Turner, Matt Carpenter and Daniel Murphy).  That versatility adds additional value while expanding the depth of the high quality options.

Who are the best options available?  Who could be overvalued?  Let’s take a look:

1. Jose Altuve – Houston Astros
2. Trea Turner – Washington Nationals
3. Robinson Cano – Seattle Mariners
4. Matt Carpenter – St. Louis Cardinals
5. Ian Kinsler – Detroit Tigers
6. Dee Gordon – Miami Marlins
7. Daniel Murphy – Washington Nationals
8. Brian Dozier – Minnesota Twins Read more

ADP Watch: At His Current ADP, Is Wil Myers Worth Selecting?

by Ray Kuhn

Entering the 2017 season there is a considerable buzz surrounding Wil Myers. Formerly a top prospect, he was on the verge of being classified as bust prior to 2016. Due to a few factors (mainly his move to first base and his health), Myers finally lived up to his expectations. His success was enough for a rebuilding Padres team to commit $83 million to him over the next six seasons via a heavily back loaded contract. From a fantasy perspective whether or not that was a prudent baseball decision isn’t relevant but that doesn’t mean we don’t have our own questions.

Mainly, is he worthy of the buzz?  And by buzz I’m not referring to his new contract, but his lofty ADP in early drafts. At this point in the off-season are we comfortable ranking Myers as our 7th best first baseman?

There is a clear divide in tiers, as we see a large drop from Joey Votto’s ADP of 28.2 down to Myers. By no means am I advocating for Myers to be selected higher, quite the contrary, but this helps make the case that waiting on a first baseman if you miss the first few is my preferred strategy. Read more

Order The Rotoprofessor 2017 Fantasy Baseball Draft Guide Today!!

It’s that time of year again! Sure football season is in full swing and the World Series is kicking off, but it’s never too early to start planning for 2017. As a loyal Rotoprofessor reader/supporter, we wanted to give you the first opportunity to reserve your copy our 2017 Fantasy Baseball Draft Guide!

The price will be increasing this year to a whole $7.00 (I know, inflation). This may be the best value you get to help prepare for your fantasy baseball season, so make sure to take advantage of it.

For those who have never experienced the guide, it is delivered through e-mail as an Excel spreadsheet and also includes:

  • Over 500 player projections (including some of the top prospects in the game)
  • Top 400 Overall
  • 2-page cheat sheet, perfect to take to your draft
  • The Rotoprofessor Staff’s quick take on every player projected
  • Expanded Rankings (i.e. Top 30 Catchers, Top 125 Starting Pitchers)
  • Top 50 rankings for Corner Infielders & Middle Infielders
  • Projected lineups and rotations
  • Top 50 Prospects for 2017 (Prospects who can make impact in ’17)
  • Top 5 Prospects for 2017 by team (Prospects who can make impact in ’17)
  • Top 40 “New” Dynasty Prospects
  • Auction Values (including NL/AL-Only)
  • Multiple Position Eligibility Chart
  • Closer Chart
  • Top 30 Sleepers for 2017
  • 15 Players Likely to be Overdrafted in 2017

Unlike paper guides our version will be updated every two-to-three weeks, helping you stay as prepared as possible.  The first draft was released on January 16, 2017 and the updates will begin after that.  I want to thank you all for supporting Rotoprofessor and make sure to order your copy of the 2017 Fantasy Baseball Draft Guide today!

Is The A’s Bruce Maxwell A Legitimate Sleeper Entering 2017?

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

The Oakland A’s have Stephen Vogt penciled in as their starting catcher, but the lineup is fluid and it’s easy to envision him seeing a lot of time as the designated hitter.  That’s not a bad thing, as it would open playing time for 26-year old Bruce Maxwell.

Maxwell got his first taste of the Majors in ’16 (101 PA), hitting .283 with 1 HR and 14 RBI.  Those numbers aren’t going to catch your attention, but his line at Triple-A prior to his recall does:

.321 (62-193), 10 HR, 41 RBI, 27 R

Even more impressive was his ability to work the strike zone, with a 17.4% strikeout rate and 11.0% walk rate.  Those are skills that he’s shown throughout his time in the minor leagues, and while the strikeout rate did jump in the Majors (23.8%) the underlying numbers don’t give reason for concern.  Just look at the Whiff% by pitch type: Read more

Fantasy Fallout: Is There Any Potential Fantasy Value With Mikie Mahtook Traded To Detroit?

by Will Overton

On Wednesday there was an under the radar move made by the Detroit Tigers as they acquired Mikie Mahtook from the Tampa Bay Rays for cash consideration or player to be named later. While this is a minor move, there could be fantasy implications from it.

The value in this deal focuses on the fact that the Tigers have an opening in center field and not a ton of competition for the spot. Immediately upon acquiring Mahtook the Tigers designated Anthony Gose for assignment, the guy who was previously  considered to be the front runner for the job.

As it stands now Mahtook’s competition is Tyler Collins, who the Tigers have never seemed very excited to give a starting role to, and JaCoby Jones, a former teammate of Mahtook’s at LSU, who has a lot of upside offensively but is still raw and may need more seasoning.

So now that we have laid out the potential for playing time, the question is if Mahtook produce if the opportunity does arise? He has had two decent stays in the big leagues the last two seasons and they are contrasting lines in terms of success. Let’s take a look at the numbers: Read more