Dynasty Dash: Could The Orioles’ Chance Sisco Emerge As A Top 10 Fantasy Catcher?

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

Dynasty Leagues are becoming more and more popular, so it makes sense to start hitting on some deeper prospects a little more often (Ivar Anderson’s column will be returning as well). One prospect that gets little attention is the Orioles’ Chance Sisco. A second round pick in 2013, he certainly has produced since arriving in the minors:

602 PA, .345, 6 HR, 74 RBI, 72 R

He has shown a good feel for the strike zone, with a 16.7% strikeout rate and 10.0% walk rate. He’s also hit the ball extremely hard, with a 22.8% line drive rate, displaying the potential to maintain an elevated average (at Single-A in 2014 he was at 22.3%, compared to a league average mark of 18.3%).

Obviously the big questions is if the 19-year old (he will turn 20 in February) are:

  1. Will the power develop
  2. Can he stick behind the plate

Let’s tackle the first question, because for fantasy owners it’s a bit more pressing. Read more

Player to Avoid: Why Joey Votto Brings More Risk Than Potential Reward In 2015

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

After missing significant time in 2014 due to a quad injury, fantasy owners would’ve likely been down on Joey Votto to begin with heading into 2015.  However, his production has helped to even further devalue the once vaunted option.

He’s taken the “passive” approach to an entirely new level, especially when he has runners on base:

Situation
2012
2013
2014
Bases Empty17.0%14.2%15.2%
Men on Base23.3%23.8%20.6%
Men In Scoring Position30.3%26.4%30.6%

That type of walk rate (which you can read a little bit more about by clicking here), with runners on base, makes it impossible for him to drive in a significant number of runs.  He drove in over 100 runs back in 2010 and 2011, but has posted years of 56 (374 AB), 73 (581 AB) and 23 (220 AB) the past three seasons.  With the length of this walking trend, it’s hard to anticipate him suddenly taking a more aggressive approach. Read more

Top 10 Closers Likely To Lose Their Job: #5 Jenrry Mejia

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

2014 Statistics:
28 SV (3 blown saves), 3.65 ERA, 1.48 WHIP, 9.42 K/9, 3.94 BB/9

Potential Replacements:

  • Bobby Parnell
  • Jeurys Familia

Why He’s On The List:
You would think that the Mets would’ve replaced him last season, when he struggled at times, but they ultimately stuck with him. He was pitching through a sports hernia and opened the season as a starter, so some of the numbers are skewed. Still, you could easily argue that he doesn’t have the best skillset in the Mets bullpen (we have discussed this before, which you can view by clicking here). Read more

Buy ‘Em or Deny ‘Em: Is Brian McCann A Prime Bounce Back Candidate?

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

It was a relatively disappointing season for Brian McCann, despite staying on the field and appearing in 140 games (his 495 AB were his most since 2008). Everyone was expecting him to thrive in his first season in Yankee Stadium, but instead he stumbled hitting .232 with 23 HR and 75 RBI.

There are obvious theories, like the impact of shifts, to help explain the issues. It’s not an unfair statement, but no matter what the defense was doing poor luck is the first and obvious problem:

  • Strikeout Rate – 14.3%
  • Line Drive Rate – 22.2%
  • BABIP – .231

Clearly he wasn’t getting any breaks. His average has been down for a few years now, so no one is going to expect him to morph back into a potential .300 hitter. However the underlying metrics indicate that .270 should be realistic. Read more

Dynasty League Rankings: Top Outfielders #21-40

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

We all know who the top outfielders in the league are, but what about the next class?  Which of the young options who have arrived (or are on the verge of arriving) shoul be considered prime targets?  How far do some of the “elder” outfielders fall, based on age and perceived upside of the younger options?  Let’s take a look at how our next group of outfielders rank:

21. Marcell Ozuna – Miami Marlins – 24-years old
22. Jorge Soler – Chicago Cubs – 23-years old
23. Jay Bruce – Cincinnati Reds – 27-years old
24. Rusney Castillo – Boston Red Sox – 27-years old
25. Christian Yelich – Miami Marlins – 23-years old
26. Joc Pederson – Los Angeles Dodgers – 22-years old
27. Byron Buxton – Minnesota Twins – 21-years old
28. Yoenis Cespedes – Detroit Tigers – 29-years old
29. Charlie Blackmon – Colorado Rockies – 28-years old
30. Matt Kemp – San Diego Padres – 30-years old Read more

Stat of the Day: Does David Wright’s Contact Indicate A Rebound Is On The Horizon?

by Ray Kuhn

Did you Know:
Not all of David Wright’s metrics promote pessimism for 2015. Despite his struggles, Wright’s Hard Contact Ratio of 116 in 2014 was right in line with his average of the past five seasons; 118.

Thoughts:
There is no disputing that Wright had a down year in 2014, and a shoulder injury is a large reason why. At age 32 it would be fool hardy to expect a full return to form, but at the right price there could still be value.

For one thing, as noted above, Wright is still making hard contact. It is also safe to assume that his 5% HR/FB rate is an outlier, that at the very least will double in 2015. Despite the quality of contact that he was making, his Power Index fell greatly from 130 in 2013 to 84 last season. Read more