Searching For Saves: Could A Surprise Closer Emerge In Miami?

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

David Phelps has been sent packing to Seattle and A.J. Ramos may not be far behind.  Suddenly the Miami closer’s role is wide open and while we may think there’s an obvious replacement is it really so cut and dry?  First let’s take a look at our Reliever Reliability Quotient (RRQ) scores for the remaining relievers to try and determine who is best equipped to fill the role (for a refresher, make sure to click here for details on what RRQ is):

Player
Current RRQ
RRQ Ranking
Brad Ziegler23.4350
Dustin McGowan9.0678
Jarlin Garcia(15.17)148
Kyle Barraclough(26.64)171
Junichi Tazawa(35.94)190

The name everyone is going to be drawn to is Barraclough, thanks to his big fastball (95.0 mph) and his swing and miss slider (18.01% Whiff%).  However it’s not quite so clear, as his RRQ is suppressed by an elevated walk rate (6.23 BB/9) and lack of popups (9.8%).  Is there a chance he’d thrive in the role?  Possibly, but the likelihood is just as high that he struggles if put into the situation. Read more

Bullpen Notes: July 20, 2017: Speculative Trade Deadline Additions, Could Chapman Lose Role & More

Are you following @Rotoprofessor on Twitter? If not you should be, as we Tweet out all the important bullpen notes every morning from the previous day’s games. Who is in jeopardy of losing their job? Who is worth the speculative add? Here are this morning tweets (Please note we won’t be posting these on the website every day, so make sure you follow @Rotoprofessor to ensure you don’t miss a thing):

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10 Important Stories From 07/20/17 Box Scores: Can Lamb Continue To Take, Concerns For Fulmer & More

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

The Baltimore Orioles got to Cole Hamels, tagging him for 3 HR, as he allowed 7 ER on 9 H and 2 BB, striking out 3, over 5.1 IP.  Felix Hernandez pitched well, despite taking the L, allowing 1 ER on 3 H and 2 BB, striking out 9, over 7.0 innings against the Yankees.  Madison Bumgarner’s second start off the DL, once again against the Padres, was again unimpressive as he allowed 4 ER over 6.1 IP in a losing effort.  What else happened on the field that we need to know about?  Let’s take a look:

 

1) Is the Mets’ Seth Lugo a must buy option…
He’s hardly an ace, though he shut down the Cardinals over 6.2 IP as he allowed 1 ER on 4 H and 1 BB, striking out 5, though he settled for a no decision.  While he’s really only had one clunker (6 ER over 5.0 IP at Washington), he still owns a 4.05 ERA and 1.35 WHIP and has struggled to generate a lot of strikeouts (33 K over 46.2 IP).  He entered the day with a modest 8.0% SwStr% and 27.5% O-Swing%, so there’s little upside in the strikeout rate.  His walk rate (2.93 BB/9 entering the day) and groundball rate (45.0% entering the day) are solid, but it’s hardly enough.  He’s going to have his good starts and his bad, but at the end of the day he’s more of a streaming option than anything. Read more

Waiver Wire Guidelines: Could Brent Suter or Colin McHugh Hold Appeal?

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

We are always looking to dig deep and find a gem that no one else is looking towards.  Sometimes an opportunity comes from a player gaining a new role and sometimes it’s a struggling player who has always shown potential.  Let’s take a look at two players likely sitting on the waiver wire who could appear to have value and determine if they are actually worth owning (all stats are through Monday):

 

Brent Suter – Milwaukee Brewers – Left-Handed Pitcher
After spending time in the Brewer bullpen Suter has transitioned to the rotation (including three starts in July) and pitched well.  In his 17.0 innings pitched this month he owns a 2.12 ERA, 1.18 WHIP, 7.94 K/9 and 2.12 BB/9.  It’s easy to get excited by those numbers, especially since his luck metrics are fairly reasonable (.327 BABIP, 80.0% strand rate) and he’s also shown an ability to generate groundballs (1.37 GO/AO in the Majors, 1.44 at Triple-A prior to his recall).  Read more

Bullpen Notes: July 19, 2017: Is Dyson Safe?, Knebel/Wilson Among Those With Blown Save & More

Are you following @Rotoprofessor on Twitter? If not you should be, as we Tweet out all the important bullpen notes every morning from the previous day’s games. Who is in jeopardy of losing their job? Who is worth the speculative add? Here are this morning tweets (Please note we won’t be posting these on the website every day, so make sure you follow @Rotoprofessor to ensure you don’t miss a thing):

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10 Important Stories From 07/19/17 Box Scores: Giving Up On Rodon, Not Buying Baez & More

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

Nolan Arenado had a monster day at the plate, going 5-6 with 3 HR, 7 RBI and 4 R.  If the trade speculation comes to fruition, what could be Sonny Gray’s last start in Oakland was impressive (6.1 IP, 2 ER, 7 H, 2 BB, 6 K).  Zack Cozart just continues to rake, going 4-6 with 1 HR, 2 RBI and 1 R (he’s now 7-10 with 2 HR over his past two games).  What else happened on the field that we need to know about?  Let’s take a look:

 

1) Has Javier Baez finally figured it out…
He went 2-4 with 1 HR, 3 RBI and 2 R, his second straight game with a home run and his fourth straight multi-hit game (10-16, 2 HR, 6 RBI and 5 R).  While he’s smoking hot, he also has 4 K over his past three games without drawing a walk.  He entered the day with a 26.5% strikeout rate and 5.0% walk rate, with the overall plate discipline being even worse than that:

  • SwStr% – 18.3%
  • O-Swing% – 44.8%

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