Archive for Rotoprofessor

Leader Board Breakdown: What Surprises Can Be Found In The Top 25 OPS (Hitter’s Edition)?

by William P.

Let’s take another run through the MLB batting statistics to date, slicing and dicing to tease out any surprising trends.  Today we’ll focus on OPS leaders through May 24th, using screening criteria of a minimum of 100 at bats.

That reduces the player pool from the 475 who’ve made an MLB plate appearance in 2016 to 236 batters.  For reference, the average performance for these 236 batters is a .260 average, a .426 slugging percentage and a .754 OPS, so that defines “league average” for us.

Next we’ll sort the data on OPS to find the leaders, using a .900 and over OPS as our cut-off.  This leaves 25 batters boasting an OPS over .900 to date, many of which are well known fantasy leaders:

Player
AB
HR
RBI
SB
Avg
Slg
OPS
Ortiz156114110.3330.6861.099
Cespedes149153610.3090.6781.065
Murphy17173010.3920.6201.044
Bradley15683320.3460.6221.037
Braun14082930.3570.5790.998
Read more

Closer In Waiting Power Rankings: May 27, 2016: New Name At Top & More

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

Are you someone constantly on the lookout for the next potential closer? That’s what we are trying to pinpoint here, with our Top 5 Closer In Waiting Power Rankings. These rankings look at the pitchers who appear capable of taking over their team’s respective closing duties (though in some cases, will need some help to get there). Keep in mind, if a pitcher is currently part of a committee they will not be included in these rankings despite not currently “holding” the job outright.

Without further ado, let’s take a look at how things stand (all statistics are through Tuesday unless otherwise noted; previous ranking shown is from last week’s column):

1) Fernando Abad – Minnesota Twins (NR)
Current Closer – Kevin Jepsen

Jepsen did pick up a save on Wednesday, but scoreless outings have been rare (he’s allowed runs in 5 of his past 8 outings).  It’s hard to imagine the Twins sticking with him for very long and with Trevor May struggling and the return of Glen Perkins unknown, the team is going to have to look towards another alternative.

Abad has been lights out this season, with a 0.51 ERA and 0.91 WHIP.  He also has been more than just a left-handed specialist, having not yet allowed an extra base hit to a right-handed hitter (though he has allowed 11 singles).  The fact that he’s striking batters out (8.66 K/9) isn’t a surprise, but his other supporting numbers are: Read more

Bullpen Notes: May 26, 2016: Giles Earns SV, Concerns w/Papelbon? & More

Are you following @Rotoprofessor on Twitter? If not you should be, as we Tweet out all the important bullpen notes every morning from the previous day’s games. Who is in jeopardy of losing their job? Who is worth the speculative add? Here are this morning tweets (Please note we won’t be posting these on the website every day, so make sure you follow @Rotoprofessor to ensure you don’t miss a thing):

Read more

Buy, Sell or Hold: How Should Owners Handle Matt Moore & Drew Pomeranz

by Eriic Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

Should we be buying?  Should we be selling?  Should we be holding tight?  That’s the question we are always trying to answer as fantasy owners, especially for players who are either performing extremely well or extremely poorly.  Let us try to help you answer those questions:

 

Matt Moore – Tampa Bay Rays
It’s been a poor start of the season for Moore, who is carrying a 5.47 ERA and 1.45 WHIP.  It would be easy to simply write him off based on the numbers alone, but is there actually more to it?  Is there hope that he could turn things around and live up to our preseason expectations?

As we dive into the numbers there actually is hope:

  • Strikeouts – 8.65 K/9
  • Walks – 2.82 BB/9

The control backs up the improvement he showed last season (3.29 BB/9).  In fact, if we add in his minor league numbers from 2015 he’s now walked 55 batters over 165.1 IP, good for a 3.00 BB/9.  That’s not a small sample size or a blip on the radar.  It appears that he’s really found his control, which always was the question hanging over him. Read more

Bullpen Notes: May 25, 2016: Jepsen Gets Save (But Not Safe), Next Up In HOU/COL & More

Are you following @Rotoprofessor on Twitter? If not you should be, as we Tweet out all the important bullpen notes every morning from the previous day’s games. Who is in jeopardy of losing their job? Who is worth the speculative add? Here are this morning tweets (Please note we won’t be posting these on the website every day, so make sure you follow @Rotoprofessor to ensure you don’t miss a thing):

Read more

Buy Low Candidate: Why Now Is Not The Time To Be Giving Up On Brian Dozier

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

We all knew there was a risk in Brian Dozier’s average, though that’s little solace for those owners who have watched him really scuffle to open the season.  Over his first 39 games (170 PA) he’s hitting .199 with 4 HR, 14 RBI, 18 R and 2 SB.  A 20/20 player two years ago and having posted back-to-back 20+ HR seasons, it’s fair to wonder what exactly has gone wrong.

Even the past two seasons, while Dozier was going well, he struggled with popups, inflated fly balls and a less than stellar BABIP.  The numbers aren’t vastly different this season, though the results obviously have been:

Year
LD%
GB%
FB%
IFFB%
BABIP
201419.9%37.2%42.9%15.8%.269
201522.6%33.3%44.1%19.7%.261
201619.8%33.1%47.1%12.3%.218
Read more