Archive for Rotoprofessor

Will Scooter Gennett Develop Into A Viable Fantasy Option In 2015?

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

It was obvious that Gennett was the preferred second base option over Rickie Weeks last season, and chances are he’s going to be handed the full-time job in 2015. Does that make him a player we want to target, though?

First, let’s look at his numbers from last season:

440 At Bats
.289 Batting Average (127 Hits)
9 Home Runs
54 RBI
55 Runs
6 Stolen Bases
.320 On Base Percentage
.434 Slugging Percentage
.321 Batting Average on Balls in Play

While he did post a solid average, there was little power and little speed to speak of. A .297 hitter in the minor leagues, he owned a 13.0% strikeout rate and 5.0% walk rate since 2011. That certainly lends credence to his marks of 14.1% and 4.6%, respectively. Read more

Breakout or Bust: Will Michael Saunders Finally Emerge In 2015?

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

The Mariners’ Michael Saunders is hardly a new face, having made his Major League debut back in 2009. Since then he’s shown flashes but hasn’t been able to put things together over an entire season. If he had been healthy 2014 maybe been that year, but unfortunately it wasn’t to be. Still his line gives us hope heading into 2015:

231 At Bats
.273 Batting Average (63 Hits)
8 Home Runs
34 RBI
38 Runs
4 Stolen Bases
.341 On Base Percentage
.450 Slugging Percentage
.327 BABIP

The average, slugging and on base percentages all were career bests. Is there a chance he maintains that over an entire season, to go along with 20/20 potential? Let’s dig into the numbers and find out. Read more

Buy ‘Em or Deny ‘Em: Has Bryce Harper Been Over-Hyped Or Is A Bounce Back Coming?

by Ray Kuhn

Bryce Harper just turned 22 and completed his third major league season. He still has a lot of baseball ahead of him, and also some maturing and growing to do, would be an understatement. It doesn’t mean the outfielder is not a future star. In fact, most would argue that Harper is already a star, and heading into the 2014 season that is certainly how he was viewed.

The preseason value for Harper per Baseball HQ was $26. Chances of him lasting past the third round in your draft this past March were pretty slim.

To say Harper didn’t live up to his pre-season expectations would be putting it lightly, especially based on his cost. By season’s end Baseball HQ had his value at just $10. Some of the outfielders that were ranked higher than him are not exactly awe inspiring:

  • Scott VanSlyke
  • Chris Coghlan
  • A.J. Pollack
  • Ender Inciarte
  • Drew Stubbs

Read more

2014 Bust Analysis – Second Base Edition – Who Will Bounce Back (Cano, Kipnis & More)?

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

As with the first baseman (who we looked at last week and you can view by clicking here), you could easily classify the preseason “top” second baseman as bitter disappointments in 2014.  In fact each of our preseason Top 3 failed to live up to expectations.  Is there hope for a rebound?  Should they be written off for 2015?  Let’s take a quick look:


Robinson Cano – Seattle Mariners
2014 Statistics – .314, 14 HR, 82 RBI, 77 R, 10 SB

We all knew that there was the risk of a power regression with the move out of Yankee Stadium, but what was interesting about Cano’s issues was that he actually hit more home runs at home (9) than on the road (5).  Obviously it’s not like the home number was fantastic, but it does bring upside and it’s easy to expect him hitting more home runs on the road moving forward (7.2% HR/FB). Read more

Hit or Miss: A Look Back At Our Preseason Projection For Alcides Escobar

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

Whenever you do projections you are going to hit some and miss some, it’s simply the nature of the business. We will take a look at some of the better hits and misses I had heading into 2014 and try to dissect the reasons.

One of the closest projections, or “hits”, was definitely the Royals’ Alcides Escobar. Just look at the numbers:

Home Runs
Stolen Bases
Rotoprofessor Preseason Projection.2785507532
Actual 2014 Numbers.2853507431

It’s funny, because if you look at the underlying metrics from 2013 and 2014 they really aren’t far off.

  • Line Drive Rate – 23.0% in 2013 vs. 24.2% in 2014
  • Strikeout Rate – 13.1% in 2013 vs. 13.4% in 2014

Read more

Prospect Report: Will Jesse Winker Be A Viable Fantasy Asset?

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

A first round pick in 2012, the Reds’ Jesse Winker made it to Double-A last season but unfortunately had his season cut short due to an injury occurring away from the field. As C. Trent Rosecrans of the Cincinnati Enquirer describes it (click here for the article):

“Winker suffered a partially torn tendon in his right wrist in a car accident earlier this month and tried to play through it, including his appearance in the Futures Game at the All-Star Game in Minneapolis, where he was 1 for 2.”

While the injury was certainly a setback, Winker continued to show his abilities on the field. Splitting time between Single and Double-A, he hit .287 with 15 HR over 341 PA. His biggest asset is his control of the strike zone, something that has clearly been impressive from the 21-year old. Read more