Archive for Rotoprofessor

Regression Risk: Can Logan Forsythe Maintain His 2015 Breakout Performance?

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

Logan Forsythe was given an opportunity last season and he clearly took advantage of it. Is the production sustainable? Is he likely to continue holding down the Rays’ second base job? Or is he more likely to disappear once again?

Before we answer those questions let’s first take a look at the numbers behind his breakout 2015 campaign:

540 At Bats
.281 Batting Average (152 Hits)
17 Home Runs
68 RBI
69 Runs
9 Stolen Bases
.359 On Base Percentage
.444 Slugging Percentage
.323 Batting Average on Balls in Play

Now to see if the numbers are believable: Read more

Fantasy Fallout: Now In Seattle Will Chris Iannetta Enjoy A Bounce Back Campaign?

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

After a miserable season for the Angels it would’ve been believable to see Chris Iannetta struggle to find a starting job for 2016. Instead he quickly found a home in Seattle, in part thanks to a weak free agent class, where he has already been declared the starter. Given the alternatives (aka Mike Zunino) it makes sense, but can we expect a rebound?

First, let’s look at just how bad the numbers were last season:

272 At Bats
.188 Batting Average (51 Hits)
10 Home Runs
34 RBI
28 Runs
0 Stolen Bases
.293 On Base Percentage
.335 Slugging Percentage
.225 Batting Average on Balls in Play Read more

2016 Breakout Potential: Will John Lamb Emerge As A Viable Option?

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

Johnny Cueto got sent to the Royals at the deadline, helping the team to a World Series title. However the Reds didn’t walk away empty handed, acquiring a trio of young pitchers who could all make an impact. The one who has already arrived, John Lamb, could quickly emerge as an under-the-radar option for fantasy owners in 2016.

He got 10 starts for the team late in ’15, posting the following results:

49.2 IP
1 Wins
5.80 ERA
1.55 WHIP
58 Strikeouts (10.51 K/9)
19 Walks (3.44 BB/9)
37.7% Groundball Rate
.376 BABIP Read more

Will 2016 Be The Year Gio Gonzalez Returns To Greatness? The Answer Lies In One Pitch…

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

It feels like an annual topic here on Rotoprofessor as we wonder what the future holds for Gio Gonzalez. The underlying numbers are often promising, though he tends to routinely frustrate owners and fall relatively flat. Last season was no exception, unfortunately:

175.2 IP
11 Wins
3.79 ERA
1.42 WHIP
169 Strikeouts (8.66 K/9)
69 Walks (3.54 BB/9)
53.8% Groundball Rate
.341 BABIP

Obviously the WHIP was atrocious, but with a 19.5% line drive rate it’s not a secret that he suffered from extreme poor luck. However, was it a change in approach that caused the issue? Read more

Early 2016 Rankings: Top 10 Catchers

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

Thanks to concerns regarding injuries or playing time (since they are often given days off due to the wear and tear of the position), fantasy owners often wait on selecting a catcher.  That’s not a bad strategy, especially this season as there is a surprising amount of depth at the position.

With that in mind, who are the players we’d target?  Who could be overvalued?  Let’s take a look:

1. Buster Posey – San Francisco Giants
2. Kyle Schwarber – Chicago Cubs
3. Jonathan Lucroy – Milwaukee Brewers
4. Salvador Perez – Kansas City Royals
5. Matt Wieters – Baltimore Orioles
6. Russell Martin – Toronto Blue Jays
7. J.T. Realmuto – Miami Marlins Read more

Why Ken Giles May Not Be A Top 10 Closer In 2016

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

Obviously closers, and relief pitchers in general, are often a fickle group.  Just because you are good one season doesn’t necessarily mean that success is going to carry over to the next.  That said it seemed like as soon as the Phillies jettisoned Jonathan Papelbon, opening the door for Ken Giles to assume closing duties, he rose to the occasion and dominated.  Can he continue that success into 2016, though?

First of all just look at the overall numbers:

70.0 IP
6 Wins
15 Saves
1.80 ERA
1.20 WHIP
87 Strikeouts (11.19 K/9)
25 Walks (3.21 BB/9)
44.8% Groundball Rate
.311 BABIP Read more