Archive for Rotoprofessor

Rankings Review: Why Eric Hosmer Is Not A Top 15 First Baseman Heading Into ’17

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

One of the players who fell short of our Top 15 First Baseman rankings earlier this week (click here to view) was the Royals’ Eric Hosmer.  Coming off a strong season it makes sense to expect him among the top tiers.  So why was he omitted?  Before we answer, first let’s look at the numbers from 2016:

605 At Bats
.266 Batting Average (161 Hits)
25 Home Runs
104 RBI
80 Runs
5 Stolen Bases
.328 On Base Percentage
.433 Slugging Percentage
.301 Batting Average on Balls in Play

The home run total was a career high (his previous best was 19 HR), and while the average was down it wasn’t a crippling mark.  The numbers justify potential Top 15 production, so why are we down on him?  It starts with the power… Read more

Buy ‘Em or Deny ‘Em: Now In Philadelphia, Michael Saunders Still Isn’t A Player To Target

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

Michael Saunders has often been viewed as a potential breakout candidate, and in the first half of 2016 he looked the part.  The wheels ultimately fell off after the All-Star Break, leaving us to wonder which is closer to the truth:

Half
AB
AVG
HR
RBI
R
First305.298164249
Second185.17881521

Now in Philadelphia, Saunders will get an opportunity to help bridge the gap until some of the younger outfielders (like Roman Quinn and Nick Williams) are deemed ready to produce.  How much time he affords them is dependent on proving that his production is closer to the first half numbers.  It boils down to his average and power, so let’s take a look:

 

Average
Saunders benefited from an unsustainable .371 BABIP in the first half and while you can argue that he’s better than his .221 in the second half the overall underlying metrics cause concern: Read more

2017 Rankings: Top 15 First Baseman (Don’t Sleep On Carpenter/Cron & More)

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

First base is generally viewed as the deepest position in fantasy baseball, though you can make the argument that’s no longer the case.  There are ample good options, but once you get past the first few names are there any guarantees?  There’s potential, but the names start to become a bit more interchangeable (especially once you get past the Top 8).  Who are the players to target?  Where is the upside after the top few names?  Let’s take a look:

1. Paul Goldschmidt – Arizona Diamondbacks
2. Miguel Cabrera – Detroit Tigers
3. Anthony Rizzo – Chicago Cubs
4. Freddie Freeman – Atlanta Braves
5. Jose Abreu – Chicago White Sox
6. Joey Votto – Cincinnati Reds
7. Chris Davis – Baltimore Orioles
8. Edwin Encarnacion – Cleveland Indians Read more

Pre-Order The Rotoprofessor 2017 Fantasy Baseball Draft Guide Today!!

It’s that time of year again! Sure football season is in full swing and the World Series is kicking off, but it’s never too early to start planning for 2017. As a loyal Rotoprofessor reader/supporter, we wanted to give you the first opportunity to reserve your copy our 2017 Fantasy Baseball Draft Guide!

The price will be increasing this year to a whole $7.00 (I know, inflation). This may be the best value you get to help prepare for your fantasy baseball season, so make sure to take advantage of it.

For those who have never experienced the guide, it is delivered through e-mail as an Excel spreadsheet and also includes:

  • Over 500 player projections (including some of the top prospects in the game)
  • Top 400 Overall
  • 2-page cheat sheet, perfect to take to your draft
  • The Rotoprofessor Staff’s quick take on every player projected
  • Expanded Rankings (i.e. Top 30 Catchers, Top 125 Starting Pitchers)
  • Top 50 rankings for Corner Infielders & Middle Infielders
  • Projected lineups and rotations
  • Top 50 Prospects for 2017 (Prospects who can make impact in ’17)
  • Top 5 Prospects for 2017 by team (Prospects who can make impact in ’17)
  • Top 40 “New” Dynasty Prospects
  • Auction Values (including NL/AL-Only)
  • Multiple Position Eligibility Chart
  • Closer Chart
  • Top 30 Sleepers for 2017
  • 15 Players Likely to be Overdrafted in 2017

Unlike paper guides our version will be updated every two-to-three weeks, helping you stay as prepared as possible.  The first draft was released on January 16, 2017 and the updates will begin after that.  I want to thank you all for supporting Rotoprofessor and make sure to reserve your copy of the 2017 Fantasy Baseball Draft Guide today!




2017 Projection: Now In Seattle, Is Drew Smyly An Overdraft Waiting To Happen?

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

Drew Smyly has always been viewed as a high upside pitcher, though that doesn’t mean that there aren’t questions whether or not he’ll live up to the hype  Just looking at the numbers from last season would make us wonder just how high the ceiling is:

175.1 IP
7 Wins
4.88 ERA
1.27 WHIP
167 Strikeouts (8.57 K/9)
49 Walks (2.52 BB/9)
31.3% Groundball Rate
.291 BABIP

Obviously there are skills that would bring hope, but at the end of the day a 4.88 ERA is a 4.88 ERA.  There was some bad luck (67.7% strand rate), but it goes deeper than that.  Now in Seattle, could those issues be wiped away? Read more

Buying the Breakout: Why The Marlins’ Tom Koehler Belongs On Your Radar

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

There are a significant number of potential breakout pitching candidates, especially if you are targeting the hard-throwing young arms who litter rosters across the league.  That makes it easy to potentially overlook an “older” starter who simply may have found something and turned the corner.

Enter the Marlins’ Tom Koehler, who altered his approach last season yielding improved results.  Here’s our writeup from our 2017 Fantasy Baseball Draft Guide (click here to purchase) to help get things started:

We saw his strikeout rate jump in the second half (7.03 to 8.03 K/9), while his control improved (4.59 to 3.79 BB/9).  The strikeouts are out of character, but he also changed his approach as the usage of his slider jumped to 23.7% (14.0% in ’15), and even more in the second half (26.4%).  That had an impact on his success, as it is his best swing and miss pitch (19.28%) and coupled a good changeup (16.44% Whiff%) there’s reason to believe he can maintain the elevated mark.  Add that to an expected improvement in his home run rate at home (1.34 HR/9) and a career 3.63 BB/9 and there’s suddenly a lot to like.  Mark him down as well worth the late round selection. Read more