Archive for Simon Jones

The Trade Counsel: Putting Our Trade Theories Into Action (Part 2)

by Simon Jones

In the last column, I broke down the deals that I’ve made in three of my leagues. I’ll continue my analysis of my early season trades by looking at the last of my leagues.

 

League 4: 12 team H2H redraft, 6×6 (OBP, SLG, IP, QS and K/9)

April 11th: Trade away Kyle Schwarber for Chris Archer
One thing that I never massively concern myself with early in the season is roster balance, either in terms of player positions or categories. In the draft the way the players fell meant that I’d drafted an awful lot of starting pitching – Noah Syndergaard, Yu Darvish, Cole Hamels and Kenta Maeda in the first 10 rounds. Ordinarily I wouldn’t be looking to get another SP, but I’ll never turn down value at this point of the season. Looking through the rosters and trade blocks I noticed that this owner had drafted quite a lot of pitching too, and was looking for OF as JD Martinez was on the DL.  Read more

10 Important Stories From 04/21/17 Box Scores: Gallo’s Power Surge, Verlander Struggles Again & More

by Simon Jones

There was plenty happening in the baseball parks on Friday night, however the biggest fantasy story revolved around a dirt bike accident, which set social media alight. I seems that Bumgarner’s owners are even angrier about his stupidity than Marte owners were about him cheating!

So let’s look at some of the bigger stories from Friday’s games.

1) Gallo crushes two homers….
Joey Gallo notched up his first multi-HR game of his young career last night against the Royals. His boom or bust approach appears to be paying dividends. He strikes out a load (now 23 Ks in 56 ABs) and he will never help you in the Average department, but the power is there for all to see, and both home runs last night were absolute no-doubters. Texas will look to find at-bats for Gallo, even when Adrian Beltre does eventually return. Read more

The Trade Counsel: Putting Our Trade Theories Into Action (Part 1)

by Simon Jones

I’m aware that many of my columns deal with trading theory and different tactics behind trading, but I also spend a fair amount of time discussing and negotiating actual deals too. Often, I’m chatting to other guys in the leagues I play in about why I’m made a particular trade, or how trade talks culminated in a particular offer, so this week I’m devoting the column to the deals I’ve made since the start of the season as a way to show how I put the theories we discuss into action. It will break down how the trade came to be, what was driving my thinking and my thoughts in retrospect.

As background, I play in 4 leagues, most of which drafted a week before the season began. I’ll break down all the deals by league, and give a brief background to each league.

League 1: 12 team Roto redraft, 5×5 (QS instead of W)

April 7th: Trade away Zack Greinke for Jose Bautista
At the time of this deal it was nearly 2 weeks since my drafts, and I have to admit I was going a bit crazy due to lack of trade activity. I’ve been known to execute trades during a draft, so a 2 week barren spell post-draft is unheard of. This was a trade I was more than happy with at the time. Greinke fell at the right place in the draft, but I had no real trust in him. Bautista was a guy that I thought was undervalued, plus the other owner hadn’t drafted much pitching. This was just a simple offer and accept – no chat or counters. I’m still relatively confident in this deal, though Bautista hasn’t performed as I’d like after a strong spring. Read more

The Trade Counsel – Exploiting “Skewed” Early Season Pitching Lines

by Simon Jones

At the time of writing we’ve had 10 days of Major League play and the season is slowly starting to take shape. The first few weeks of a season are always difficult as you wait for players roles to be defined and to get a clear indication of a player’s true form against small sample sizes.

One thing that has jumped out at me thus far has been a host of strange starting pitching performances. There have been a few starts where there were few or no earned runs, but the pitching line looked ugly in pretty much every other way. There were some others where the starter was racking up strikeouts with very few walks, yet they were getting hit hard and conceding runs. It raised a few questions on how we perceive pitchers’ performances, and how we can use that to our advantage when trying to put together fantasy trade offers.

When we look at hitting in our fantasy leagues, or indeed within a real life box score, I think we’re all pretty good at sifting out the value from a player’s stat line. So we can look at a player and take note of the relative value of him getting 2 SB but going 0 for 4, and compare it to another who hits 2 HR or another who just goes 4-4. However when we look at a starting pitcher’s line, everything turns a bit muddy. Read more

10 Important Stories From 04/14/17 Box Scores: Struggles For Greinke & Porcello & More

by Simon Jones

It was another interesting night in the majors, highlighted by the first game at Sun Trust Park, but also injury news with Josh Donaldson hitting the DL and Jon Gray being diagnosed with a stress fracture, but Matt Bush appearing to dodge a bullet and avoid the DL.

So let’s look at some of the bigger stories from Friday’s games.

1) Altuve has another perfect night…
Jose Altuve looks to have put his early season struggles behind him, after reaching base successfully in all 5 plate appearances, for the second night running. Last night he went 3-3, including two doubles and a steal for good measure. In the space of 48 hours, he’s seen his OBP skyrocket from under .300 to .420.

2) Greinke’s rebound doesn’t last long…
After two encouraging starts to begin 2017, Zack Greinke was roughed up last night by his former team. The Dodgers racked up 10 hits on him, which when added to the 3 walks that Greinke gave up, left the starter with a much uglier line than the five earned runs alone. It was much more reminiscent of 2016 that 2015 unfortunately. Read more

10 Important Stories From 04/07/17 Box Scores: Margot Flashes Power, Velasquez’ Mixed Bag & More

by Simon Jones

Friday was another fascinating night of MLB action. The Cubs lose in extra innings on a wild pitch, Javier Baez escapes serious injury in a nasty looking collision, a near meltdown in the Nats’ bullpen and first home runs for Machado, Cespedes, Yelich and Sanchez amongst others.

So let’s look at some of the bigger stories from Friday’s games.

1) Mazara hits first career grand-slam…
Nomar Mazara had a huge night against the Athletics last night, going 3-5 with a grand slam. He also added another two RBIs for a career-high six on the night. He’s now had 4 straight multi-hit games going 10-17 and this was his second home run. If he continues on this form then his price will rise quickly. Read more