Archive for Transaction Analysis

Fantasy Fallout: Don’t Expect Jay’s Departure To Lead To A Mondesi Promotion & More

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

It’s a minor deal on paper, with the Kansas City Royals sending Jon Jay to the Arizona Diamondbacks in exchange for a pair of prospects.  However it does have a trickle down effect on both rosters (outside of the obvious indication that the Royals are going to be willing to trade away their veterans in an effort to expedite the rebuilding process).  Exactly how does Jay fit in Arizona and what will the impact be for Kansas City?  Let’s take a look:

 

Arizona Diamondbacks’ Fallout
Jay is a nice addition for a team that’s been battling injuries.  Both A.J. Pollock and Steven Souza are on the DL (and have missed a fair amount of time), forcing Arizona to routinely utilize Jarrod Dyson and Chris Owings in the outfield.  Jay will provide consistency in the short-term, and when everyone is healthy will operate as a strong fourth outfielder. Read more

Fantasy Fallout: Looking At The Implications From The Rays/Mariners Trade (Drop Alex Colome, Add Jake Bauers & More)

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

In a bit of a surprise, the Mariners and Rays kicked off the MLB trading season with the Rays sending RHP Alex Colome and OF Denard Span to the Mariners in exchange for RHP Andrew Moore and RHP Tommy Romero.  Obviously the biggest fallout will be in the Rays’ bullpen, where they will need a new closer.  Let’s take a look at who is primed to take over that role, as well as the rest of the fallout:

 

Mariners Fallout:
Obviously Colome gives the team a safety net in case there are struggle from Edwin Diaz, but he’s going to be used in an 8th inning role (which has a significant negative impact on his value).  If your league doesn’t value HLD, Colome is no longer a great option and can be cut.

The addition of Span is possibly more intriguing, as he can play CF and allow Dee Gordon to slide to 2B full-time (once he’s healthy).  With Robinson Cano out due to a suspension you knew Seattle would do something, so this makes sense. Read more

Fallout: Ryon Healy Heads To Seattle: Breaking Down The Winners & Losers (Healy, Olson, Chapman & More)

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

The Trade:

  • The Seattle Mariners acquired 1B/3B Ryon Healy
  • The Oakland A’s acquired RHP Emilio Pagan & INF Alexander Campos

 

Seattle Mariners – The Fallout
The acquisition of Healy is an interesting one, as they will utilize him as their 1B moving forward (he’s obviously not going to supplant Kyle Seager at the hot corner and while Nelson Cruz could be utilized in the outfield, he only saw 5 games there in ’17).  That means, for at least one season, Dan Vogelbach will be viewed as a depth option either off the bench or at Triple-A (though he could be flipped in a subsequent deal).

It makes sense, after Seattle’s first baseman finished the year with a league worst .389 SLG.  It was a spot that needed upgrading, and Healy does bring that potential after hitting .271 with 25 HR for Oakland.  What’s interesting, though, is that he actually struggled away from Oakland (.248 with 11 HR over 306 AB) and he also showed poor plate discipline:

  • SwStr% – 12.0%
  • O-Swing% – 35.8%

Read more

The Fallout From The Adeiny Hechavarria Trade: Beckham, Duffy & More

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

The rumors of Adeiny Hechavarria landing in Tampa Bay came to fruition yesterday, as the team dealt a pair of unheralded prospects to Miami for him.  At the end of the day this deal may cause more questions for Tampa Bay, long-term in ’17, as opposed to adding clarity for fantasy owners.  Let’s look at the fallout:

 

Adeiny Hechavarria
He’s long been known for his defensive prowess, not his ability at the plate.  A career .255 hitter with little power and speed, he’s never had good plate discipline (36.0% O-Swing% for his career) and doesn’t offer much potential in any category.  The move does nothing for his fantasy potential, which is waiver wire fodder, though it certainly impacts others around him. Read more

Rounding Up The Fallout From The Craig Kimbrel Trade

Over the past few days we’ve posted a few articles regarding the trade that saw Craig Kimbrel sent to the Red Sox in exchange for a quartet of prospects.  Let’s get all of the articles into one spot here, so make sure to check them all out:

Breaking Down The Mariners/Rays Trade (Karns A Bust, Miller Worth Targeting & More)

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

The Trade:
The Seattle Mariners Acquire: RHP Nate Karns, LHP C.J. Riefenhauser & OF Boog Powell
The Tampa Bay Rays Acquire: INF/OF Brad Miller, 1B Logan Morrison & RHP Danny Farquhar

 

The Mariners Fallout:
The key to the deal is obviously Karns, who posted some solid numbers over 147.0 IP for the Rays last season:

  • ERA – 3.67
  • WHIP – 1.28
  • Strikeouts – 8.88 K/9
  • Walks – 3.43 BB/9

That said we have to question his ability to maintain the strikeout rate.  He doesn’t generate many swings and misses (9.2% SwStr%) and he also doesn’t get opponents to chase outside the zone (29.5% O-Swing%).  He did own a 10.3 K/9 over 449.1 IP in the minors, which does offer some promise, but the underlying numbers speak volumes. Read more