Archive for Transaction Analysis

Fallout: Ryon Healy Heads To Seattle: Breaking Down The Winners & Losers (Healy, Olson, Chapman & More)

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

The Trade:

  • The Seattle Mariners acquired 1B/3B Ryon Healy
  • The Oakland A’s acquired RHP Emilio Pagan & INF Alexander Campos

 

Seattle Mariners – The Fallout
The acquisition of Healy is an interesting one, as they will utilize him as their 1B moving forward (he’s obviously not going to supplant Kyle Seager at the hot corner and while Nelson Cruz could be utilized in the outfield, he only saw 5 games there in ’17).  That means, for at least one season, Dan Vogelbach will be viewed as a depth option either off the bench or at Triple-A (though he could be flipped in a subsequent deal).

It makes sense, after Seattle’s first baseman finished the year with a league worst .389 SLG.  It was a spot that needed upgrading, and Healy does bring that potential after hitting .271 with 25 HR for Oakland.  What’s interesting, though, is that he actually struggled away from Oakland (.248 with 11 HR over 306 AB) and he also showed poor plate discipline:

  • SwStr% – 12.0%
  • O-Swing% – 35.8%

Read more

The Fallout From The Adeiny Hechavarria Trade: Beckham, Duffy & More

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

The rumors of Adeiny Hechavarria landing in Tampa Bay came to fruition yesterday, as the team dealt a pair of unheralded prospects to Miami for him.  At the end of the day this deal may cause more questions for Tampa Bay, long-term in ’17, as opposed to adding clarity for fantasy owners.  Let’s look at the fallout:

 

Adeiny Hechavarria
He’s long been known for his defensive prowess, not his ability at the plate.  A career .255 hitter with little power and speed, he’s never had good plate discipline (36.0% O-Swing% for his career) and doesn’t offer much potential in any category.  The move does nothing for his fantasy potential, which is waiver wire fodder, though it certainly impacts others around him. Read more

Rounding Up The Fallout From The Craig Kimbrel Trade

Over the past few days we’ve posted a few articles regarding the trade that saw Craig Kimbrel sent to the Red Sox in exchange for a quartet of prospects.  Let’s get all of the articles into one spot here, so make sure to check them all out:

Breaking Down The Mariners/Rays Trade (Karns A Bust, Miller Worth Targeting & More)

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

The Trade:
The Seattle Mariners Acquire: RHP Nate Karns, LHP C.J. Riefenhauser & OF Boog Powell
The Tampa Bay Rays Acquire: INF/OF Brad Miller, 1B Logan Morrison & RHP Danny Farquhar

 

The Mariners Fallout:
The key to the deal is obviously Karns, who posted some solid numbers over 147.0 IP for the Rays last season:

  • ERA – 3.67
  • WHIP – 1.28
  • Strikeouts – 8.88 K/9
  • Walks – 3.43 BB/9

That said we have to question his ability to maintain the strikeout rate.  He doesn’t generate many swings and misses (9.2% SwStr%) and he also doesn’t get opponents to chase outside the zone (29.5% O-Swing%).  He did own a 10.3 K/9 over 449.1 IP in the minors, which does offer some promise, but the underlying numbers speak volumes. Read more

Dissecting The Cole Hamels Trade: Did Philadelphia Acquire Their Future Closer, Catcher & Outfielder?

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

We’ve finally gotten a resolution to the Cole Hamels saga, as the Phillies and Rangers have reportedly struck a deal.  According to multiple reports the details are as follows:

Rangers Get: RHP Cole Hamels, LHP Jake Diekman
Phillies Get: LHP Matt Harrison, RHP Jake Thompson, RHP Alec Asher, RHP Jerad Eikhoff, C Jorge Alfaro, OF Nick Williams

We all know that the Rangers obtained the top starting pitcher that they coveted, forming a formidable one-two punch with Yu Darvish in the coming years.  Could Hamels take a hit in value, moving to the AL?  It’s possible, but not something that’s going to send him spiraling down rankings.  Diekman brings big strikeout stuff (12.03 K/9 this season), but has significant control issues (5.89 BB/9) and has failed to get left-handed hitters out (.276 BAA).  If they could fix the issues he has the makings of a dominant late inning reliever, but for now he’s not going to be a factor.

As for the Phillies return, it’s not just quantity that they got back (though they certainly got a lot of pieces) but also some potential quality.  Harrison is the one veteran, though he’s battled injuries over the past three seasons (9 total starts).  In his last full season (2012) he went 18-11 with a 3.29 ERA and 1.26 WHIP, using control (2.49 BB/9) and not strikeouts (5.61 K/9) to get the job done.  While a move to the NL could help improve the strikeouts, it’s impossible to know what we are going to get from him.  For now he can be ignored. Read more

Dissecting The Tulowitzki/Reyes Swap: Who Leads Off For Toronto, Closer Fallout, Trevor Story & More

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

Updated 7:00 AM EST

No one could’ve been expecting to wake up to this news, as the long rumored Troy Tulowitzki trade has finally come to fruition.  His landing spot makes the deal even more shocking, as was dealt to Toronto (not the Mets or one of the other long time rumored suitors).  According to Jon Heyman (via Twitter) the full trade is:

Toronto Gets: SS Troy Tulowitzki, RHP Latroy Hawkins
Colorado Gets: SS Jose Reyes, RHP Miguel Castro, RHP Jeff Hoffman, RHP Jose Tinoco

From Toronto’s perspective they add another masher to the lineup, forming a scary quartet with Josh Donaldson, Edwin Encarnacion and Jose Bautista.  They are gambling that Tulowitzki can stay healthy, especially playing half his games on turf (though potentially spending time at DH will help), but Encarnacion and Bautista are only signed through 2016 (both have 2016 club options) so Tulowitzki gives them a long-term fixture in the lineup.  He’s also an upgrade defensively over Reyes.  While it’s adding to a strength, from a long-term franchise outlook it makes sense. Read more