Archive for Transaction Analysis

Trade Fallout: Scott Kazmir Dealt To Houston, Is A Regression On The Horizon?

Kazmir has flourished in Oakland the past two seasons, including a 2.38 ERA, 1.09 WHIP, 8.29 K/9 and 2.87 BB/9 over 109.2 IP this season.  He has had a bit of luck, though, with a .262 BABIP and 77.5% strand rate.  He’s also been significantly better at home:

  • Home – 1.36 ERA
  • Road – 3.92 ERA

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Fantasy Fallout: With Castillo Traded To Seattle Has Zunino’s Value Disappeared?

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

Yesterday the Seattle Mariners and Chicago Cubs matched up on a trade, with C Welington Castillo heading to Seattle in exchange for RHP Yoervis Medina. For the Cubs it was a fairly straight forward move, having been carrying three catchers on the roster and trying to find playing time for all of them. For Seattle the deal is a little bit more intriguing.

Heading into yesterday Mariner catchers had posted the following unimpressive marks:

  • Average – .165 (fourth worst in the league)
  • On Base Percentage – .221 (third worst in the league)
  • Slugging Percentage – .322 (tenth worst in the league)

Mike Zunino had been getting the lion’s share of the AB (106) hitting .179 with 5 HR. So the question now is if he has officially lost his job? Read more

Shocker: Craig Kimbrel Traded to San Diego: Atlanta’s Closer Situation, Maybin’s Stock Rises & More

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

The Deal:
The San Diego Padres acquired RP Craig Kimbrel & OF Melvin Upton from the Atlanta Braves in exchange for OF Cameron Maybin, OF Carlos Quentin, SP Matt Wisler, OF Jordan Paroulbeck and the 41st pick in the 2015 draft.


The Padres Fallout:
The acquisition of Upton has no impact from a fantasy perspective, as he was unusable to begin with.  When healthy he’ll operate as a fourth outfielder behind the newly acquired trio of Matt Kemp, Justin Upton and Wil Myers.

Obviously the major fallout is Kimbrel, whose own value is unchanged.  However he bumps Joaquin Benoit from the Padres’ closer job and shifts him back into setup role.  While he’ll still hold value, thanks to his peripherals and strikeout potential, anyone who grabbed Kevin Quackenbush in hopes that he gained the job can safely move on. Read more

Fantasy Fallout: Fowler Heads To Chicago, Sending Both Alcantara & Baez Into Doubt For 2015

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

On the surface you would think that Dexter Fowler heading to Chicago shouldn’t have such wide ranging effects.  In fact, Fowler’s projection is virtually unchanged, he’s still likely slotting atop a burgeoning young lineup with the potential to plummet down the order should he struggle.

However the newest member of the Cubs is going to have a significant impact on the players around him.  Most importantly, the rope for both Arismendy Alcantara and Javier Baez just became significantly shorter.

Expectations were that Alcantara would play CF, Baez would be at 2B and Luis Valbuena would man 3B until Kris Bryant was deemed ready.  Suddenly the potential spots for these two players have been reduced by one long-term (Valbuena was sent to Houston in the trade).  It’s possible they could both still open the season in the Majors (Alcantara as the 3B place holder), though the Cubs also have Tommy La Stella who can man the hot corner.  If/when Bryant is ready?  Alcantara could move to a utility role…  Baez or Alcantara could end up back at Triple-A…  In fact, neither player is guaranteed a job at all. Read more

Fantasy Fallout: Adam Lind Traded To Milwaukee, Buy Is He Now A Viable Option?

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

After rumors of a possible trade the Blue Jays found a taker for first baseman Adam Lind, sending him to Milwaukee in exchange for Marco Estrada.  It was obvious that the Brewers had a gaping hole at 1B, so the reason behind the trade makes sense for them but does it truly fill the void?  Let’s take a look at the deal from both team’s perspective, looking at the fantasy outlook of both:

The Brewers Fallout
Brewers’ first basemen posted the fifth lowest SLG in the league in 2014, with a .356 mark, and their 61 RBI were second fewest in the league.  Even in an injury plagued season Lind posted a .479 SLG over 290 AB and owns a career mark of .466.

Of course, that’s not to say that there isn’t flaws to his game.  Just look at his splits from 2014:

  • vs. RHP – .354/.409/.533
  • vs. LHP – .061/.162/.061x`

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Fantasy Fallout: Martin Prado Traded To Yankees

Yankees Fallout:
The Yankees were looking for an upgrade over Ichiro Suzuki in the outfield and Prado certainly offers that, as well as positional felixibility.  Signed through 2016, Prado could move to 2B or 3B in 2015, depending on the other moves the team makes.  He’s a solid bat who holds definite value, though it’s no more or less being in New York. Read more