Archive for Player Analysis

2017 Breakout Candidate: Is Chris Owings On The Verge Of Emerging?

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

The Diamondbacks’ Chris Owings has long been on fantasy radars, as a middle infielder with the potential to bring both power and speed. While he had consistently failed to live up to any expectations, that doesn’t mean that the time has come to give up on him either. First let’s look at the numbers from last season:

437 At Bats
.277 Batting Average (121 Hits)
5 Home Runs
49 RBI
52 Runs
21 Stolen Bases
.316 On Base Percentage
.416 Slugging Percentage
.334 Batting Average on Balls in Play

Obviously he showed off some speed and the average was solid, but is there more overall upside for the 25-year old? It would certainly appear so… Read more

Is There Any Way Mike Leake Holds Value In 2017?

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

It shouldn’t be a surprise that Mike Leake’s first season in St. Louis was somewhat underwhelming.  Can he actually turn things around and become a productive option moving forward or can we safely ignore him?  Before answering that, let’s first take a look at the numbers from ’16:

176.2 IP
9 Wins
4.69 ERA
1.32 WHIP
125 Strikeouts (6.37 K/9)
30 Walks (1.53 BB/9)
53.7% Groundball Rate
.318 BABIP

He’s never been a pitcher who brought big strikeout totals (6.11 K/9 for his career), so the limited number shouldn’t come as a surprise.  With his modest 7.2% SwStr% and 30.8% O-Swing%, there’s little reason to think that things are suddenly going to change.
Read more

Breakout or Bust: Is Cameron Rupp A Worthy Low-End Option Heading Into ’17?

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

It was clear that Phillies were rebuilding, so it shouldn’t have come as a surprise when they finally shipped Carlos Ruiz to Los Angeles. The move opened up playing time for Cameron Rupp, who had been seeing ample AB anyways (he finished the year with 389 AB). What did he do with the opportunity? He certainly gave reason to believe that he can excel in the Majors:

.252, 16 HR, 54 RBI

It’s a solid line, but we need to think twice before dubbing him an option in single-catcher formats heading into 2017. His average is a significant question, and we saw it in the second half (.211). He struggled all year to make contact (27.2% strikeout rate) and tohit the ball with authority (17.4% line drive rate), never a good combination.

His ability to make consistent contact is a major one, after he posted a 13.3% SwStr%. We’d feel better about an improvement if it was one pitch he struggled with, but his Whiff% was elevated against all types: Read more

Looking Back: 10 Lowest Fly Ball Rates In 2016 (Hitter’s Edition): Eric Hosmer, Ryan Braun & More

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

It seems like common sense, if you don’t put the ball in the air very much you aren’t going to hit for much power.  It’s logical, and while most of the names on this list make sense there are certainly some surprising names among the ten lowest marks in the league that deserve noting:

1. Howie Kendrick – 19.6%
2. Christian Yelich – 20.0%
3. Cesar Hernandez – 20.7%
4. Yunel Escobar – 20.8%
5. Joe Mauer – 21.3%
6. D.J. LeMahieu – 22.8%
7. Jonathan Villar – 24.1%
8t. Eric Hosmer – 24.7%
8t. Denard Span – 24.7%
10. Ryan Braun – 25.1% Read more

Heading Into 2017, Is Troy Tulowitzki Still A Top 10 Shortstop?

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

There was a time that Troy Tulowitzki was the hands down, premier shortstop in the game…  Outside of his injury concerns, of course, which always hung over him.  Still 110 games of Tulowitzki along with a temporary fill in was a near certainty to out-produce any other option in the league.

You would’ve thought that the trade to Toronto wouldn’t have impacted his production too much, though his first full season in the AL East was less than spectacular:

492 At Bats
.254 Batting Average (125 Hits)
24 Home Runs
79 RBI
54 Runs
1 Stolen Bases
.318 On Base Percentage
.443 Slugging Percentage
.272 Batting Average on Balls in Play Read more

Buy ‘Em or Deny ‘Em: Can Freddy Galvis Replicate His 2016 Success?

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

It was an impressive 2016 campaign for the Phillies’ Freddy Galvis, but was it enough to earn a future spot on the rebuilding team?  How about a place on your future fantasy rosters?  Before we can try to answer those questions, first let’s take a look at the numbers:

584 At Bats
.241 Batting Average (141 Hits)
20 Home Runs
67 RBI
61 Runs
17 Stolen Bases
.274 On Base Percentage
.399 Slugging Percentage
.280 Batting Average on Balls in Play

He obviously showed an impressive blend of power and speed, though is either number believable?  Consider that 2015 is the only other season where he had a full slate of MLB at bats and he posted just 7 HR and 10 SB that season.  In 633 minor league games he hit 25 HR with 73 SB, so it’s fair to call both numbers into doubt. Read more