Archive for Player Analysis

Is Curtis Granderson The Next Jason Bay Or A Buy Low Candidate?


by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

To say that it has been a disappointing start for Curtis Granderson would be a massive understatement. In his first 17 games (through Sunday) he’s managed to hit just .127 with 1 HR, 5 RBI, 5 R and 2 SB. Met fans are certainly having flashbacks of their last big ticket bust (who coincidentally was also an outfielder), but could it really be that Granderson is the next Jason Bay?

It’s fair to be nervous, especially considering the concerns about moving to CitiField to begin with. However, it’s just 63 AB. Everyone needs to calm down a bit and give him a chance to find his footing.  It’s not like he’s never shown an ability to produce in New York.

Since becoming more of a power hitter his average has always been an issue. From 2009-2013 he hit under .250 in four of the five seasons, so no one was going to expect big numbers there. Granted .127 is pathetic, but it’s hard not to imagine better days ahead.

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Downward Trend: Are Justin Smoak or Kolten Wong Worth Owning?


by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

Obviously seeing someone like Ivan Nova, Matt Moore or Jose Valverde atop a list of most dropped players makes sense. They have either been lost for the year or, in Valverde’s case, has lost his closing job with little hope of regaining it. How about some of the other names that owners are fleeing from? Is it too early to give up on them? Are they worth grabbing if someone did cut them? Let’s take a look (all drop percentages are as of Tuesday evening):

 

Justin Smoak – Seattle Mariners
CBS – Down 20%
ESPN – Down 28.2%

After getting off to a hot start, Smoak has cooled off considerably over the past few weeks. In fact, three games in he had 2 HR and 7 RBI. Now? He has 2 HR and 10 RBI to go along with a .227 average (and seven consecutive games without an extra base hit).

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Is It Time To Trade Jean Segura Before It’s Too Late?


by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

There were high expecting for Jean Segura heading into 2014, but thus far he has clearly been a disaster. It has gotten so bad that he was actually dropped out of the second spot in the order yesterday, instead hitting sixth in the lineup.

Having watched a few Brewers games, it was actually a move that had to be made. Segura has shown a complete lack of patience at the plate, seeing just 3.15 pitcher per plate appearance thus far. That puts him 225th out of 229 players with at least 50 plate appearances on the season.

Hitting in the second spot, you need to have patience to allow your leadoff hitter to steal a base (especially when he has the speed of Carlos Gomez). It’s clear he wasn’t doing this and simply may not have the makeup to hit second.

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Pitching Sleeper Of The Week: Brandon McCarthy


by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

As Ray Kuhn pointed out yesterday (click here for the article), there are a significant number of two-start options for the coming week.  While there are a lot of good options, there also are a lot of bad ones…  Yes, there are some really bad options, no one is going to argue that, but there are also some “bad” options that are a bit deceiving.  While gambling may not make sense, there could be at least one instance that it proves extremely worth doing this week.

When we look at a number like a 7.11 ERA, it is extremely easy to dismiss the pitcher as a viable option.  However, when it comes to Brandon McCarthy that would be an extremely big mistake.

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Are Billy Butler & Hunter Pence Buy Low Candidates?


by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

We are just in the early stages of the 2014 season, but it’s easy to push the panic button if things haven’t gotten off to the start that you expected.  Is it too early?  Probably, but that doesn’t stop people from doing it.  The question is, can you capitalize on that and buy a player low?  It’s certainly possible, but slow starts don’t necessarily make a struggling player an ideal buy low candidate.  Let’s take a look at two slow starters to try and determine if they are worth targeting or not:

 

Billy Butler – Kansas City Royals
No one is going to argue that the Royals’ Billy Butler has been one of the biggest disappointments to open 2014. However, there is still reason for optimism. While his 2012 power surge is looking more and more like an aberration, a quick look at his batted ball profile tells us things should get better: Read more

Rich’s Random Ramblings: The Legend of Evan Gattis & Homage to Moses Fleetwood Walker

by Rich Justmann

Ladies & gentlemen, I would like to tell you right now that I knew about Evan Gattis all along.  I knew he would be a late bloomer and allow Atlanta to save the McCann money.  But…..  Unfortunately, I can’t.  Who would have thought it?  The Legend of Gattis.  At a ball field near you.

Jason Kipnis got you down?  Taking anti-depressants every time you think of him?  Worry not, my young ones.  His stats from last year in April?  Try one home run with an overall 555 OPS.  (Hint:  That’s not good.)  His OPS at year end?  Try .818 and let’s not forget the home runs and stolen bases.  Great player but slow starter.  Keep playing him and let things work themselves out.

Speaking of things working themselves out:  Trust your draft.  After all, you read all those fantasy baseball magazines during the off-season.  You memorized the Rotoprofessor draft kit.  Yes, it’s been a lousy first three weeks for many great players but hang in there.  Do NOT drop a good player just because of a slow start.  Didn’t I say something about this last week also?  So has it been written.  So shall it be done.

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