Archive for Player Analysis

Is A Rebound In The Future For Carlos Beltran?

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

Carlos Beltran’s debut season in the Bronx was certainly a bitter disappointment. Expected to be one of the anchors of the middle of the lineup, he instead floundered hitting .233 with 15 HR over 403 AB. There is no doubt an elbow injury, which required repeated cortisone shots and offseason surgery, played a role in his performance. The question is, what can we expect moving forward?

The fact is Beltran actually got off to a solid start, hitting .263 with 5 HR and 13 RBI over 95 April AB. In May, when he was held to just 33 AB, is when things really went off track.

He still finished with a HR/AB if 26.9, not a significant regression off his 23.1 mark in 2013 (when he hit 24 HR for St. Louis) or 23.6 from 2011. Throw in playing half his games at Yankee Stadium, where he hit 11 of his 2014 home runs, and there is a lot to like from the power department.

As long as he stays healthy, which is a question for any player his age, there’s no reason to think 22-26 HR isn’t his floor in 2015. Read more

Buy ‘Em or Deny ‘Em: Why Justin Morneau Is A Player To Avoid In 2015

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

No one should’ve been surprised to see a bit of a revitalization for Justin Morneau in his debut year in Colorado. That said, did anyone really expect these types of numbers:

502 At Bats
.319 Batting Average (160 Hits)
17 Home Runs
82 RBI
62 Runs
0 Stolen Bases
.364 On Base Percentage
.496 Slugging Percentage
.330 Batting Average on Balls in Play

Obviously there’s a lot to like in the numbers, and some of the underlying metrics are promising. For instance a 23.1% line drive rate is realistic and helps support the elevated BABIP. A 10.9% strikeout rate… Ok, we are already into the realm of significant question marks. That certainly didn’t take long. Read more

Rookie Review: Did The Rangers’ Rougned Odor Show Enough Promise In 2014?

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

The Texas Rangers were pummeled by injuries in 2014, including losing their expected second baseman Jurickson Profar. That forced them to utilize 20-year old Rougned Odor for much of the season. There’s certainly upside, but before we get to that let’s take a look at the numbers he posted:

386 At Bats
.259 Batting Average (100 Hits)
9 Home Runs
48 RBI
39 Runs
4 Stolen Bases
.297 On Base Percentage
.402 Slugging Percentage
.294 Batting Average on Balls in Play

The numbers appear relatively underwhelming, but we have to take his age and experience into account (he was summoned directly from Double-A). It shouldn’t be surprising that he appeared over matched in the Majors, including a 15.0% line drive rate and 16.8% IFFB. Read more

Buy ‘Em or Deny ‘Em: Does Jimmy Rollins Have Anything Left?

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

As we entered 2014 there was little expected of Jimmy Rollins. However he quickly quieted his doubters, posting the following line:

538 At Bats
.243 Batting Average (131 Hits)
17 Home Runs
55 RBI
78 Runs
28 Stolen Bases
.323 On Base Percentage
.394 Slugging Percentage
.269 Batting Average on Balls in Play

He will be 36-years old entering the season, so now we have to ask ourselves once again if there is anything left. Read more

Will Scooter Gennett Develop Into A Viable Fantasy Option In 2015?

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

It was obvious that Gennett was the preferred second base option over Rickie Weeks last season, and chances are he’s going to be handed the full-time job in 2015. Does that make him a player we want to target, though?

First, let’s look at his numbers from last season:

440 At Bats
.289 Batting Average (127 Hits)
9 Home Runs
54 RBI
55 Runs
6 Stolen Bases
.320 On Base Percentage
.434 Slugging Percentage
.321 Batting Average on Balls in Play

While he did post a solid average, there was little power and little speed to speak of. A .297 hitter in the minor leagues, he owned a 13.0% strikeout rate and 5.0% walk rate since 2011. That certainly lends credence to his marks of 14.1% and 4.6%, respectively. Read more

Breakout or Bust: Will Michael Saunders Finally Emerge In 2015?

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

The Mariners’ Michael Saunders is hardly a new face, having made his Major League debut back in 2009. Since then he’s shown flashes but hasn’t been able to put things together over an entire season. If he had been healthy 2014 maybe been that year, but unfortunately it wasn’t to be. Still his line gives us hope heading into 2015:

231 At Bats
.273 Batting Average (63 Hits)
8 Home Runs
34 RBI
38 Runs
4 Stolen Bases
.341 On Base Percentage
.450 Slugging Percentage
.327 BABIP

The average, slugging and on base percentages all were career bests. Is there a chance he maintains that over an entire season, to go along with 20/20 potential? Let’s dig into the numbers and find out. Read more