Archive for Player Analysis

Quick Hit: Is It Time For Giancarlo Stanton Owners To Push The Panic Button?

by William P

In February 2016 the RotoProfessor wrote that Giancarlo Stanton might not be worth a first round draft pick.  While it’s too soon to judge that call, with his batting average down to only .211 and coming off a brutal seven game stretch where he went 2 for 25 with 17 strikeouts, is now the time to officially panic on Stanton?  Not yet, but there are certainly some alarming trends.  Let’s look at his April and May splits:

April 2016 (79 AB)
.253, 8 HR, 19 RBI, .338 SLG, .944 OPS

During the first month of the 2016 season he struck out a lot (30 times in 79 AB) but no one cared due to his other numbers.  Another strong power season seemed in the cards for Stanton.  Thus far in May, however, it’s been a different story:

May 2016 (68 AB)
.162, 3 HR, 6 RBI, .582 SLG, .615 OPS Read more

Buy ‘Em or Deny ‘Em: Could Tim Lincecum Return To Fantasy Relevance?

by William P

Earlier this week the Angels finalized a deal to sign veteran free agent starter Tim Lincecum, who has been out since June of 2015 rehabbing from hip surgery.  Is he worth a pickup in fantasy leagues?  Perhaps, but we’d be cautious and let him prove his abilities have recovered with a few starts before moving too aggressively.

Lincecum’s career with the Giants was really a tale of two halves.  From 2007 through 2011, and particularly once he became a full time starter in 2008 he was absolutely dominant, throwing more than 200 innings per year, striking out more than 200 batters each season, posting ERAs below 3.00 three times and posting a WHIP below 1.28 every year:

Yr
GS
IP
K
ERA
WHIP
K/9
BB/9
Vel
‘0724146.11504.001.289.234.0095.0
’0833227.02652.621.1710.513.3394.1
’0932225.12612.481.0510.422.7292.4
’1033212.12313.431.279.793.2292.1
’1133217.02202.741.219.123.5792.3
Read more

Addressing Your Need For Speed: Who To Target In Deeper Formats

by Jeremy Gibbs

Early this week we told you why you wanted to address your need for speed immediately, as opposed to waiting for later in the season.  Which players should we be targeting as your league grows deeper?  Let’s take a look:

12-Team Formats

Melvin Upton, Jr. (OF) – 7 SB, ownership percentage on Yahoo/ESPN/CBS (34%/20%/41%)
Upton is worth owning.  We are 25% into the season, he has not stopped producing and is currently ranked 104th on Yahoo.  Not only has he produced the 7 SB, he also has 16 R, 16 RBI and 5 HR – all numbers better than his brother.  Expect 10 more stolen bases from him so pick him up while you can.

 Eduardo Nunez (3B/SS) – 6 SB, ownership percentage on Yahoo/ESPN/CBS (29%/21%/34%)
Nunez produces when he is in the lineup.  Of course, he seems to sit a little more than we as fantasy baseball owners would like and I think that’s what has kept his ownership percentages lower than they should be.  He is hitting .330 with 14 runs and 16 RBI.  It’s the 6 SBs that puts him on this list, but the other numbers will not hurt you.  Expect another 7 stolen bases.  Read more

Player Comparison: Can A Surprising Middle Infielder Maintain His Power Surge?

by William P.

On occasion during the MLB baseball season we like to compare statistics from a couple of well-known fantasy batters posting similar lines, despite having dissimilar profiles and preseason projections.  So, below we have listed Player “A” and Player “B” statistics through 39 and 36 games played each:

Player
Games
AB
AVG
HR
RBI
SB
SLG
OPS
Player A39123.22010182.472.779
Player B36129.23311250.527.873

One of these players is a relatively light-hitting middle infielder whose preseason projections were along the lines of a .250/16/50/12 batter.  The other player is generally viewed as one of the best power hitters in the game, whose preseason projections were approximately .270/42/110/9.  Yet at just under the one quarter point in the 2016 MLB season, Player “A” and Player “B” are posting quite similar statistical lines.  Who are they? Read more

Buy ‘Em or Deny ‘Em: Will Aaron Blair or Mike Foltynewicz Be Productive Options?

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

The Braves are obviously a rebuilding team, which means opportunity for numerous young players.  There are several intriguing options in the starting rotation, but does that mean that we should trust them?  Let’s take a look at two of them and try to determine whether there is value for the remainder of the season:

 

Aaron Blair
He wasn’t a particularly hyped prospect by many, but that doesn’t necessarily mean that there isn’t upside.  Of course his performance over his first few starts is going to cause some to have doubt:

20.0 IP, 4.05 ERA, 1.50 WHIP, 7 K, 11 BB

So many problems, where should we begin?

Strikeouts – His 3.15 K/9 is putrid, as he’s simply not generating swings and misses (6.9% SwStr%) and isn’t getting batters to chase outside the strike zone (24.9% O-Swing%).  He owns an 8.3 K/9 over his minor league career and 7.3 at Triple-A.  He’s also shown a put away pitch, with a 29.09% Whiff% on his changeup.  In other words, while they haven’t been there yet there is reason to believe. Read more

Sell High Candidates: Is Now The Time To Deal Jackie Bradley Jr. Or Michael Saunders?

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

We all know the players who are having big seasons, the question is if they are going to be able to continue producing or if now is the time to sell high.  Let’s take a look at a few and try to decide:

 

Jackie Bradley Jr. – Boston Red Sox – Outfielder
Is there anyone hotter than Bradley right now?  Entering play on Sunday he was hitting .440 with 5 HR, 17 RBI and 9 R in 53 PA in May.  Obviously he’s not that good, but it’s fair to wonder if the once heavily hyped outfielder has finally figured things out.

While the numbers are strong, there are warning signs all over the place even when looking at his entire body of work (not just the month of May):

  • Luck – .400 BABIP (20.8% line drive rate)
  • Groundballs – 51.5%
  • Strikeouts – 21.8% (12.3% SwStr%)

Read more