Archive for Player Analysis

Waiver Worthy: Alex “Chi Chi” Gonzalez Set For MLB Debut Today

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

The Rangers’ Alex “Chi Chi” Gonzalez will make his Major League debut tonight, but should fantasy owners really be interested? If you simply look at his Triple-A numbers the answer would be an easy no:

43.1 IP
4.15 ERA
1.50 WHIP
5.40 K/9
3.95 BB/9

Granted he was pitching in the Pacific Coast League, but that’s not enough of an excuse for his abysmal numbers. The 23rd overall selection in 2013, the lack of strikeouts and control is interesting because that wasn’t what he had previously shown. Last season splitting time between High-A and Double-A he posted a 7.33 K/9 and 2.66 BB/9. It’s not surprising that he regressed against stiffer competition, but the falloff is bigger than we’d have expected. Read more

Fantasy Training Room: Looking At Jacoby Ellsbury & His Outloook For 2015

by Jeremy Tiermini

Stop me if you have heard this before: Jacoby Ellsbury was placed on the disabled list (STOP!). The Yankees placed their center fielder on the DL on May 20 with a sprained right knee, which he injured during a swing in a game against the Nationals and reports indicate that he is expected to miss at least one month of action. In looking at the video of the injury on MLB.com it is hard to make out the initial mechanism of injury because Washington’s pitcher, Gio Gonzalez, is obscuring the view of Ellsbury’s plant leg.

In watching the video numerous times my thoughts were leaning towards an injury to Ellsbury’s LCL (lateral collateral ligament), which is on the outer side of the knee. However I have not seen any reports where the Yankees have released the specific structure that was injured, so please keep in mind that this is just an educated guess on my part based on my athletic training background. Read more

Is Mookie Betts The Next Brian Dozier? Probably Not, Though Not In A Bad Way…

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

You can argue that Mookie Betts has been a disappointment thus far in 2015, hitting .241 with 5 HR, 24 RBI, 20 R and 6 SB over his first 46 games (entering play yesterday). Of course “disappointment” is a relative term. If you projected those numbers out for 162 games you’d get (rounding up):

18 HR
21 SB
85 RBI
70 R

Sure the average has been poor, but would anyone complain about those counting stats? In fact, compare them to Brian Dozier from a year ago (he played in 156 games):

23 HR
21 SB
71 RBI
112 R Read more

Buy ‘Em or Deny ‘Em: Why Now Is Not Necessarily The Time To Stash Javier Baez

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

When asking if Javier Baez’ return to the Majors is nearing the first question has to be where is he going to play? There are two scenarios that could clear room for him, though neither appear to be inevitable at this point:

  1. He replaces Addison Russell at 2B
  2. Kris Bryant shifts to LF, with Baez or Russell moving to 3

Of course the third option would be a trade, but that too doesn’t seem likely at the moment. While it makes it hard to imagine Baez returning soon, he is certainly trying to force the issue with his bat.

Over his first 90 AB he’s hitting .311 with 5 HR, 17 RBI, 12 R and 6 SB. We all know that the power is for real (despite a currently bloated HR/OFB) as he did hit a total of 32 HR in 2014, with 9 coming in the Majors. It’s the average that has always been the biggest question. Read more

Hold ‘Em or Fold ‘Em: Should Fantasy Owners Stick With Cozart, Simmons or M. Cabrera?

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

All players go through slumps, but what is the indication that we should write a player off and what tells us we should stick with him? There’s nothing absolute, but there definitely are signs. Let’s take a look at three players who have been struggling over the past 14 days (entering play on Monday) and try to determine who we should stick with and who we should move on from:

 

Zack Cozart – Shortstop – Cincinnati Reds
.118, 1 HR, 3 RBI, 4 R, 0 SB (40 PA)

After an impressive start to the season Cozart has hit a wall recently. While he’s continued to make consistent contact (10.0% strikeout rate over this stretch, 13.8% overall), it’s his line drives that have completely disappeared. Over the past 14 days he’s posted a 6.5% line drive rate, instead seemingly swinging for the fences (54.8% fly ball rate). Read more

Deep League Waiver Worthy: Does The Marlins’ Jose Urena Warrant Fantasy Attention?

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

The Marlins have been decimated by injuries to their starting rotation this season. Currently on the DL include ace Jose Fernandez, Henderson Alvarez, Mat Latos and Jarred Cosart, leaving the team searching for options to fill things out. Today they turn to a rookie, though not necessarily the one everyone expected.

It will be Jose Urena taking the ball, not Justin Nicolino. Urena has thrived this season at Triple-A, with a 1.21 ERA and 1.18 WHIP over 37.1 IP. The numbers warrant our attention, but do they make him a must own option? Not so fast…

As it is the strikeouts have been less than impressive, with a 5.30 K/9 in ’15 (6.5 over his minor league career). His control has also taken a step backwards, albeit in it a relatively small sample size. Over his minor league career he owns a 2.0 BB/9 (including a 1.61 mark at Double-A in ’14), but it’s jumped to 2.89 this season. Still a solid mark, given the strikeouts we’d like to see a bit better. Read more