Archive for Player Analysis

Spring Battle: Pirates’ Left Fielders: Dickerson Stabilizes Spot, At Least In Short-Term

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

The Pittsburgh Pirates insist that they aren’t “tanking”, despite jettisoning two of their best and most well-established players in the offseason (Andrew McCutchen and Gerrit Cole).  Those moves opened opportunity, especially in the outfield, where there are a handful of options who could emerge and claim regular at bats.  After the team acquired Corey Dickerson yesterday the assumption is that he’ll claim the role, but that may not be guaranteed.  Is there someone else that fantasy owners should be pulling for?  Could any of them emerge as a fantasy sleeper?  Let’s look at the battle and figure it out:

 

Corey Dickerson
It was a surprise that he was designated for assignment by the Tampa Bay Rays, though he found a favorable landing spot.  He is coming off a year where he hit .282 with 27 HR (while adding 33 doubles and 4 triples).  The question is going to be if he can continue to make enough contact to tap into that power, considering his abysmal plate discipline:

  • SwStr% – 15.4%
  • O-Swing% – 45.6%

Read more

Draft Day Decision: Will Matt Carpenter Rebound & Bring Value In 2018?

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

There was a lot of hype for Matt Carpenter heading into 2017, thanks to both his positional flexibility and potential at the plate.  A year later he enters 2018 with eligibility at just 1B (if your league requires 20 games played), which isn’t ideal considering the numbers he posted last year:

497 At Bats
.241 Batting Average (120 Hits)
23 Home Runs
69 RBI
91 Runs
2 Stolen Bases
.384 On Base Percentage
.451 Slugging Percentage
.274 Batting Average on Balls in Play

On the surface the only “issue” is really his average, though a 20-25 HR hitting first baseman isn’t a highly sought-after commodity.  In OBP formats it’s a slightly different story, as his consistently elevated walk rate helps him maintain nearly a Top 10 status, but even in standard formats there remains upside. Read more

Quick Hit: Why The A’s Matt Olson May Not Be Worth The 2018 Investment

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

With playing time seemingly available and having shown ample power in 2017, as he hit 47 HR between Triple-A and the Majors, it’s easy to get excited about the A’s Matt Olson.  That said just looking at those two things and ignoring the other relevant numbers is doing yourself a disservice.  There are significant warning signs up and down his profile which shouldn’t be ignored:

 

Power
Key Stats

  • 2 doubles in Majors
  • 41.4% HR/FB

Sure he hit 24 HR in 216 PA in the Majors, but does anyone really be!ove he can maintain that pace?  It’s virtually impossible, given the two numbers above.  At least some of those home runs are going to fall short, whether they turn into doubles or outs.  Either way, it’s impossible to anticipate a similar home run pace. Read more

Fantasy Throwdown: Luis Severino vs. Noah Syndergaard: Who Brings The Higher Upside For 2018?

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

With both pitching in New York, though for different teams, comparing the Yankees’ Luis Severino and the Mets’ Noah Syndergaard is intriguing.  One (Syndergaard) is coming off a lost season due to injury, but a year ago was viewed as potentially one of the elite in the game.  The other (Severino) stepped up and grabbed that spotlight, and is coming off an impressive breakout season.  Which is the preferred option heading into 2018?  Currently, based on ADP, it’s a split decision:

  • Severino – 33.3
  • Syndergaard – 34.2

The fact that it’s that close is fair, and the argument could go either way.  Which one do we prefer at this point?  Before we try to answer that question, let’s look at the three key metrics for Severino (2017) and Syndergaard (2016):

Pitcher
Strikeout Rate
Walk Rate
Groundball Rate
Luis Severino10.712.3750.6%
Noah Syndergaard10.682.1151.2%
Read more

Sleeper or Stay Away: Is Jacob Faria A Player Worth Targeting In 2018?

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

The Rays always seem to be able to churn out young pitchers, and this season appears to be no different.  With trade rumors swirling around Jake Odorizzi and Chris Archer, the arrival of Brett Honeywell is finally imminent.  While he is going to get all of the attention, what about Jacob Faria?  It’s easy to overlook him for various reasons, though the numbers he posted last season were impressive:

86.2 IP
5 Wins
3.43 ERA
1.18 WHIP
84 Strikeouts (8.72 K/9)
31 Walks (3.22 BB/9)
38.3% Groundball Rate
.265 BABIP

We can look at a few of the numbers and get excited, though fantasy owners need to potentially pump the breaks.  While there appears to be strikeout stuff, the rest of the numbers indicate significant risk. Read more

Another Look At Why Willson Contreras Is Destined To Be A 2018 Overdraft

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

When we think of the elite catchers in the league Gary Sanchez is the easy selection as the best of the best.  Buster Posey, who once held that title, is a step behind entering 2018 but he’s still among the better options.  J.T. Realmuto?  While we believe (he was ranked #2 in the initial posting of our Top 15, which you can view by clicking here), others likely do not.

Then there’s the Cubs’ Willson Contreras, who most want to believe belongs in the top class.  The numbers from last season seem to support that conclusion as well:

377 At Bats
.276 Batting Average (104 Hits)
21 Home Runs
74 RBI
50 Runs
5 Stolen Bases
.356 On Base Percentage
.499 Slugging Percentage
.319 Batting Average on Balls in Play

We’ve touched on him before, but many still don’t believe in our assessment.  So why do we think that the perception will cause him to be among the most over drafted players heading into 2018?  Let’s take a look: Read more