Archive for Player Analysis

Rankings Review: Why Alex Bregman Falls Below Anthony Rendon & Jake Lamb On Our 3B Rankings

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

Alex Bregman is going to be a popular selection as we head into 2018, and given his skills and upside it makes sense.  However he checked in at #8 on our 3B rankings (click here to view), while many view him as a borderline Top 5 option at the position.  Are we “low” on him?  Does he belong ahead of Jake Lamb or Anthony Rendon, the two names that others typically have below him?

 

Alex Bregman
Don’t make the mistake of viewing the #8 ranking as a knock against him, because we are high on Bregman and the upside he showed in the second half of ’17.  The best way to summarize it is to look at our summary from the 2018 Rotoprofessor Fantasy Baseball Draft Guide: Read more

Buy ‘Em or Deny ‘Em: Why Yuli Gurriel Deserves Your Attention On Draft Day

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

The Astros’ Yuli Gurriel caused some drama during the playoffs, for the wrong reasons, but he also played hero hitting .305 with 2 HR (as well as 7 doubles and 1 triple) to help Houston to a World Series title.  Given the production it would be easy to get excited heading into 2018, but can we expect the postseason hero to produce?  Let’s take a look:

 

Average
Gurriel showed the ability to avoid strikeouts, with an 11.0% strikeout rate in 2017.  That doesn’t mean he has a strong approach, as he posted a 3.9% walk rate and a 32.8% O-Swing%.  The latter likely contributed to his pedestrian 18.6% line drive rate, a mark that was even worse in the second half (17.8%).

For a player without much speed, the lack of line drives could make it difficult for him to maintain his already average .308 BABIP.  You also have to wonder if pitchers will start to throw him more offspeed pitches than the 12.49% he saw last season.  Considering his 16.46% Whiff% against them, it makes a lot of sense. Read more

Fantasy Fallout: Yu Darvish Lands In Chicago Improving His Outlook For 2018

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

Yu Darvish was disastrous in the postseason, with a 6.14 ERA over 14.2 IP.  While there was talk that he was tipping his pitches, something that obviously would be fixable, he didn’t show any issues during the regular season.  That was especially true after the trade to Los Angeles, as he showed impressive numbers in his first taste of the National League:

Team
Innings
ERA
Strikeouts
SwStr%
Walks
Rangers137.04.019.7211.9%2.96
Dodgers49.23.4411.0513.1%2.36

While the strikeouts were “down” prior to the trade, his SwStr% justified a better mark.  He owns a career 12.2% SwStr%, leading to an 11.04 K/9, so the mark in the NL should be viewed as easily sustainable.  He also has always shown solid control, with a career 3.32 BB/9, though the mark has been better since returning from missing all of 2015 due to Tommy John surgery (2.78 and 2.80, respectively). Read more

Quick Hit: Will Logan Forsythe Re-Emerge As A Viable Fantasy Asset In 2018?

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

After thriving with the Rays in 2015 (.281 with 17 HR) and 2016 (.264 with 20 HR), there were high hopes for Logan Forsythe with his move to Los Angeles.  Unfortunately things fell flat and disappointment may not have been a strong enough word to describe his 2017.  Just look at these numbers:

361 At Bats
.224 Batting Average (81 Hits)
6 Home Runs
36 RBI
56 Runs
3 Stolen Bases
.351 On Base Percentage
.327 Slugging Percentage
.299 Batting Average on Balls in Play

On the surface you can argue that nothing went right and there is little reason to believe an improvement is coming, though that may actually not be accurate.  In fact if you dig deep there’s hope for a rebound coming. Read more

2018 Projection: Elvis Andrus: Can He Replicate His 2017 Success?

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

We’ve continually waited for Elvis Andrus to put it all together and live up to the hype once bestowed upon him.  The focus had been on his speed, but when it finally came together in 2017 it wasn’t just stolen bases that he provided.  Instead he surprisingly paired speed with power and posted an across the board impressive season:

643 At Bats
.297 Batting Average (191 Hits)
20 Home Runs
88 RBI
100 Runs
25 Stolen Bases
.337 On Base Percentage
.471 Slugging Percentage
.325 Batting Average on Balls in Play

The obvious question has become is he really a perennial .290/20/25 threat or was 2017 a career year, with a regression on the horizon?  The answer isn’t cut and dry, so let’s dive in and break it down. Read more

Quick Hit: Does Todd Frazier’s Move To The Mets Hurt His Fantasy Outlook?

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

Last night one of the dominoes we had been waiting for finally fell, with Todd Frazier and the Mets agreeing to a 2-year, $17 million contract.  The deal is definitely “light” from what everyone had expected entering the offseason, but the market (or lack thereof) ultimately capped his earning power.  Of course it’s not like Frazier has been an offensive monster over the past two seasons:

  • 2016 – .225, 40 HR, 98 RBI, 89 R, 15 SB
  • 2017 – .213, 27 HR, 76 RBI, 74 R, 4 SB

The concerns for Frazier are two-fold:

  1. Back-to-back years of poor averages
  2. Potential power loss due to move to CitiField

Read more