Archive for Player Analysis

Believer or Deceiver: Which Player Getting An Opportunity Is Worth The Gamble?

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

A lot of success in September comes from taking advantage of an opportunity.  For fantasy players it’s all about determining which players in these situations could make the most of it and help carry your squad to a fantasy title.  Let’s take a look at two players getting their shot and whether or not we should be believing or if they are deceiving:

 

Brandon Nimmo – New York Mets – Outfielder
A former first round pick (2011), Nimmo has been exceptionally slow to develop and even now you can argue that he’s not deserving of our attention.  Sure he’s making the most of the opportunity given to him, as the Mets have dealt with injury after injury (as well as trading off a few of their veterans).  Then again, are the numbers really all that impressive:

.283 (28-99), 3 HR, 14 RBI, 17 R, 2 SB Read more

The Ditch List: Identifying Four Players That It’s Time To Cut Ties With (Carpenter, Thames & More)

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

It’s easy to make cut decisions on injured players this time of year, but what about those who are still on the field and struggling to produce (or whose outlook has simply changed)?  Let’s take a look at a few players who we’d be comfortable moving away from in redraft formats (obviously keeper leagues have different rules and many of these players would be worth stashing):

 

Matt Carpenter – St. Louis Cardinals – Infielder
It seemed off when he was on the bench for back-to-back games last week, though it was assumed that it was just for a mental break.  However it’s since been revealed that his benching was actually injury related.  Derrick Goold of the St. Louis Post-Dispatch recently published the following quote from Carpenter: Read more

Fantasy Stock Report: Garrett Richards Overhyped For 2017?!? & More

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

Buy low…  Sell high…  It’s an easy philosophy, in theory, but not always one that is followed by the masses.  Knowing whose value is on the rise and whose is falling is one of the biggest keys, so let’s take a look at a few players and try to determine who we can trust and who could disappoint moving forward:

 

Jacoby Ellsbury – New York Yankees – Outfielder
Often a forgotten player, given the alternatives the team has Ellsbury has suddenly been thrust into a regular role (thanks to the loss of Aaron Hicks and Clint Frazier).  Of course Frazier is soon set to start a rehab assignment and could conceivably return this weekend, though if Ellsbury is hitting it’s hard to imagine him being pulled from the lineup so quickly.

He showed signs on Sunday, going 3-3 with 1 R and 1 SB.  While he’s never going to be the player he was back in 2011, he does offer speed (17 SB thus far, and had 20+ in five of the previous six seasons) and has the potential to put a few balls over the fence (10.1% HR/FB this season, plus playing half his games in Yankee Stadium).  There also is significantly more upside in his average (.253 entering Monday): Read more

Buy ‘Em or Deny ‘Em: Is Andrew Heaney A Must Own Option For September?

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

Andrew Heaney has long been a hyped “prospect” and a pitcher on our radars, though he’s generally fallen flat when given an opportunity.  Sure he posted a 3.49 ERA in 18 starts back in 2015 (he missed most of ’16), but he did it with a bit of mirrors and magic wands considering the underlying metrics:

  • Strikeouts – 6.64 K/9
  • Walks – 2.38 BB/9
  • Groundballs – 38.3%

Control has always been an asset (2.4 BB/9 over his minor league career), and while there’s a risk coming back from a lengthy absence that’s simply not the case here.  It’s the other two skills that we have to question, though his most recent start gives a sense of hope.  Taking on Oakland he allowed 1 R on 2 H and 3 BB, striking out 10 batters over 6.0 IP.  He had his swing and miss stuff, with 19 swinging strikes, so the question now is if he can take that and replicate it over and over. Read more

Buy ‘Em or Deny ‘Em: Tigers To Watch In September (Mahtook, Candelario & More)

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

As if they hadn’t already signaled it to the masses, yesterday’s trades make it clear that the Detroit Tigers are set to undertake a significant rebuild.  Gone are Justin Upton and Justin Verlander, after they dealt J.D. Martinez earlier in the season and have likely lost Victor Martinez as well.  With Miguel Cabrera hobbled, would it be surprising if he too is shut down at some point?

The turnover means opportunity, as the Tigers will be taking a look at numerous youngsters to see if they could be part of the long-term solution.  Who should fantasy owners be looking at for a potential September impact?  Let’s take a look:

 

Mikie Mahtook – Outfielder
We’ve talked about him before and he’s already been getting his shot, but the moves assure that he’s in the lineup nearly every day from this point forward.  He’s now hitting .276 with 10 HR over 317 PA, with the big development being an improved approach at the plate.  He’s cut his SwStr% down to 8.3% and O-Swing% to 28.4%, and that has definitely led to the productive numbers.  It’s also been an across the board improvement (Whiff%): Read more

Not Just The Prospects: Three “Veteran” September Callups To Monitor

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

When it comes to September callups most people are eyeing the prospects who could get their feet wet in the Majors (something we’ve covered over on our prospect page, which you can read by clicking here).  However sometimes it’s the player who has previous experience, who therefore doesn’t necessarily get the same attention, that could prove to make the biggest impact.  With that in mind, let’s take a look at a few names that the savvy fantasy owner will be paying close attention to this September:

 

Tyler Glasnow – Pittsburgh Pirates – Pitcher
There was a time that Glasnow was considered one of the premier pitching prospects in the game.  Obviously he’s still highly regarded, though his struggles with his control in the Majors over the past two seasons (4.87 BB/9 over 77.2 IP) has taken off a little bit of the luster.  That said when you look at what he’s done over his past six starts at Triple-A you have to think that maybe he’s started to turn the corner:

38.0 IP, 58 K, 8 BB Read more