Archive for 2010 Projections

Guess The Projection: February 17

It’s been a few days since we’ve done one of these, so let’s take a look:

2010 Projection:
.285 (157-550), 24 HR, 85 RBI, 90 R, 6 SB, .320 BABIP, .359 OBP, .502 SLG

Now, your clues:

  • He is eligible at more than one position
  • He is 25-years old or older
  • He does not play in the AL West

Do you know who this is?  Let’s hear your guesses!

Guess The Projection: February 11

Is anyone two for two in this little game of ours?  If you are, let’s see if you can get this one!

2010 Projection:
.283 (177-625), 27 HR, 85 RBI, 95 R, 5 SB, .298 BABIP, .335 OBP, .472 SLG

Clues:

  • He is not an outfielder or a catcher
  • He does not play in the AL West or NL West
  • He is between 25 and 29-years old as of 4/1/10

So, who do you think he is?

Guess The Projection: February 9

Congrats to everyone who successfully guessed our first projection.  Let’s try another one:

2010 Projection:
195.0 IP, 16 W, 3.51 ERA, 1.32 WHIP, 188 K (8.68 K/9), 80 BB (3.69 BB/9)

Clues:

  • He’s a right-handed pitcher
  • He’s under 28-years old
  • He does not pitch in the AL East or NL East

So, who do you think it is?

Guess The Projection: February 8

This is something new we’re going to try.  I’m going to post my 2010 projection and a few clues and it’s your job to take your guess as to who it is in the comments.  The following day (I’ll leave it open for about 24 hours), I’ll post the answer in the comments.

Please let me know if this is something you enjoy or not and please, if you bought the draft guide, don’t participate.

2010 Projection:
.297 (175-590), 12 HR, 55 RBI, 90 R, 29 SB, .321 BABIP, .359 OBP, .446 SLG

Clues:

  • He’s an outfielder
  • He plays in the NL
  • He is under 30-years old

Take your best guess…

Quick 2010 Projection: Brian Roberts

Once considered one of the best second baseman in baseball, Brian Roberts has seen his value steadily decrease in recent years.  The problem is that the bulk of his value has been tied to his legs and his stolen base total has gone from 50 to 40 to 30 over the past three years.  That certainly isn’t a good sign, now is it?

Let’s take a look at his statistics from 2009:

632 At Bats
.283 Batting Average (179 Hits)
16 Home Runs
79 RBI
110 Runs
30 Stolen Bases
.356 On Base Percentage
.451 Slugging Percentage
.323 Batting Average on Balls in Play

Thoughts:

  • He only attempted 37 stolen bases last season, after attempting 57 and 50 the previous two seasons.  His OBP also dipped from the .377 & .378 the previous two years.  If he’s not on base as much, he’s not going to get as many opportunities to run.  If he’s not going to have as many opportunities to run, he’s going to steal fewer bases.  It’s just that simple. Read more

Quick 2010 Projection: Roy Oswalt

Roy Oswalt is one of those pitchers who people are very decisive in their thoughts, you either consider him a viable fantasy option as a low-end #2/high-end #3 or you avoid him at all costs.  He’s one of those few, very polarizing players. 

As far as where I stand on him, let’s take a look at my 2010 projections:

195.0 IP, 12 W, 3.97 ERA, 1.26 WHIP, 143 K (6.60 K/9), 45 BB (2.08 BB/9)

Thoughts:

  • His control has always been his saving grace, with a career BB/9 of 2.06.  Last season he posted a 2.08 mark and since 2005, he’s only been above that once (2.55 in ’07).  That type of control makes it easy for him to post a solid WHIP year in and year out (career WHIP of 1.20).
  • One of the detriments, however, is the strikeouts.  Since 2005 he’s posted a K/9 better than 7.00 once (7.12 in ’08).  The other years have seen him post marks of 6.85, 6.77, 6.54 & 6.85.  I know, my projection is slightly below what he’s done, but the back injury he suffered last season plays a role in that.  If you own him you need to make sure that you have a high-end strikeout artist to offset him. Read more