Archive for Waiver Worthy

Waiver Worthy: Looking At The Recent Hot Additions & Determining If They Are Worthy (Avisail Garcia & More)

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

We all know who the hot additions around the league are, but are they worth the investment?  Should we be rushing to the wire in order to add them, or should we let somebody take the gamble.  Let’s take a look and try to decide:

 

Avisail Garcia – Chicago White Sox – Outfielder
CBS Sports Add Percent – 27%

It’s hard to argue against how hot he’s been of late (though a hamstring injury forced him from Sunday’s game), translating to an overall .281 with 9 HR, 17 RBI and 21 R over 139 AB.  Many assumed that he’d contribute a strong average (he hit .330 last season), so it’s the power surge that’s surprising.  That said, there’s a good chance that both regress moving forward.

Last season he benefited from an unrealistic .392 BABIP.  He’s down to .303 this season, and while he is hitting the ball hard (44.4% Hard%), he’s also become pull happy (49.1%) and would rank with the fifth highest mark if he had enough AB to qualify.  That will make him prone to extensive shifts, and when coupled with his poor approach the average is a legitimate concern: Read more

Waiver Worthy: OBP Edition: Two Multi-Positional Players You Should Be Targeting

by Stephen McFadden

Do you play in a league that utilizes OBP, as opposed to Batting Average?  While in many cases a player’s value doesn’t change dramatically there are some who have a great disparity.  A high-end player is likely going to be a high-end player, but what about the mid-to-lower tiers?  With that in mind, let’s take a look at two players who may be sitting on your waiver wire and determine their potential value for those in OBP formats:

 

Enrique Hernandez – 2B, 3B, SS, OF – Los Angeles Dodgers
42% ownership in CBS leagues, 42% ownership in Yahoo leagues

With Max Muncy already a must-own in every fantasy league, another Dodger with eligibility all over the field is putting himself on the radar with impressive power and on-base ability. Hernandez has blasted 15 HR in only 235 PA with an OBP of .316. Seven of those home runs have come in the last week as the slugging outfielder has also boasted a .371 OBP during that time span. Read more

Waiver Wire Guidelines: Breaking Down The “Hot” Adds & Closer Battles In Search Of Potential Value

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

It’s easy to get excited about the shiny new toy on the waiver wire, especially when they show a little bit of upside.  Are they really worth the addition, though?  Let’s take a look at three of the most added players recently, as well as some of the intriguing closer situations, and try to determine if they are worth it:

 

Max Fried – Atlanta Braves – Starting Pitcher
He put on a show on Saturday night against the Cardinals, throwing 6.2 shutout innings allowing 4 H and 3 BB, striking out 11.  No one has questioned his strikeout potential (9.12 K/9 over 50.1 IP at Triple-A in ’18, 8.8 K/9 over his minor league career), and he has the potential to be an above average groundball artist:

  • Double-A (86.2 IP, 2017) – 51.7%
  • Triple-A (50.1 IP, 2018) – 57.1%

Read more

Waiver Worthy: OBP Edition: Identifying Three Players You Want To Target (Jake Bauers & More)

by Stephen McFadden

Justin Bour – 1B – Miami Marlins
60% ownership in CBS leagues, 47% ownership in Yahoo leagues

There’s a good chance Bour is sitting on the waiver wire in your league right now. With a low batting average (.240) and high OBP (.371), he makes for a particularly excellent addition in OBP leagues.

He is currently 6th in OBP for qualified 1st baseman, powered by a walk rate of 17.3% (only walk machines Joey Votto and Carlos Santana have a higher walk rate among qualified 1st basemen). Bour’s plate discipline numbers show a player that is continuing to improve as well. His O-Swing% is down to 26.9% from 32.4% last season with an improved SwStr% of 9.3%, down from 11.5%. Read more

Waiver Worthy: Looking At The Recent Hot Additions & Determining If They Are Worthy (Shane Bieber, Shelby Miller & More)

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

We all know who the hot additions around the league are, but are they worth the investment?  Should we be rushing to the wire in order to add them, or should we let somebody take the gamble.  Let’s take a look and try to decide:

 

Shane Bieber – Cleveland Indians – Starting Pitcher
CBS Sports – +20%, ESPN – +11%

Bieber has been on radars due to his meteoric rise through the minors this season:

  • Double-A (31.0 IP) – 1.16 ERA, 8.71 K/9, 0.29 BB/9, 46.6% groundball rate
  • Triple-A (45.2 IP) – 1.38 ERA, 8.28 K/9, 0.99 BB/9, 55.8% groundball rate

He’s continued to show elite control (1.47 BB/9) and a solid groundball rate (51.0%) over his first three starts in the Majors, but the biggest question was if he’d be able to maintain his strikeout stuff.  So far so good, with a 10.80 K/9 courtesy of a 12.0% SwStr%, and while he was at 11.7% over his time it’s still a believable mark. Read more

Waiver Worthy: OBP Edition: Digging Deep To Uncover Under-the-Radar Gems (Descalso & More)

by Stephen McFadden

Daniel Descalso – Arizona Diamondbacks – 1B, 2B, 3B, OF
40% ownership in CBS leagues, 32% in Yahoo leagues

Descalso is an easy name to overlook in fantasy circles. The 31-year-old journeyman has never really been relevant in anything but the deepest of the leagues. but his recent hot streak combined with his on-base prowess and elite plate discipline make him worth a look. 

Descalso has a 14.4% BB% rate, good enough to pull his OBP up to .383. He has already homered 8 times in only 209 plate appearances, only two off his career high that he accomplished in nearly twice as many plate appearances last year. While it’s  still too early to know the effect of the humidor, Chase Field ranks as a below average environment for home runs this season (22nd in ESPN’s park factor, compared to last season when it produced the 4th highest total of home runs.   Read more