Archive for Player Comparison

Should Fantasy Owners Draft Alcides Escobar And Pass On Jose Reyes?

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

No one is going to argue that Alcides Escobar is a better fantasy option than Jose Reyes.  However does it make sense to bypass Reyes (ADP of 45.3) and select Escobar (ADP of 189.8)?  The health concerns surrounding Reyes alone would be a strike against Reyes, and the alternatives you can get in the fourth round make it that much more alluring:

  • Corey Dickerson – 44.8
  • George Springer – 45.2
  • Todd Frazier – 49.7

That said, would it be surprising to find out that Escobar’s stats could actually come close to Reyes’?  Let’s take a look:


Reyes is a career .291 hitter whose lowest average since 2006 has been .279 (2009).  Sure Escobar is just a .263 hitter, but look at his marks the past three seasons: Read more

Fantasy Throwdown: Chris Carter vs. Brandon Belt: Who Is The Better Target For ’15?

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

Remember when Brandon Belt was viewed as a potential fantasy star?  It wasn’t that long ago, but injuries and inability have helped to derail him.  Sure he hit .289 with 17 HR back in 2013, but from a first baseman that’s obviously not enough power.

Fantasy owners are looking for someone more like the Astros’ Chris Carter, who slugged 37 HR in 2014.  Given the general lack of power around the game, it makes sense that the ADPs for the two currently are as follows:

  • Carter – 117.3
  • Belt – 200.7

Is that really the best strategy, though?  Is Carter really a better bet for 2015?  Let’s take a look:


Chris Carter
We all know that the power is there, it always has been, but what is drawing people to Carter is the improvement he showed in his average in the second half of 2014.  A strikeout machine, he posted a .252 average after the All-Star Break (.205 in the first half) thanks to a boost in line drive rate (24.0%). Read more

Fantasy Throwdown: Ben Revere vs. Shin-Soo Choo: Who’s The Better Target?

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

Can Shin-Soo Choo rebound in 2015?  There’s no doubt that his 2014 was a miserable campaign, even more so than anyone expected, and it has certainly impacted his ADP (he’s currently the 46th outfielder coming off the board with an average ADP of 167.5).

On the flipside Ben Revere enjoyed something of a career year, hitting .306 with 49 SB.  It’s an appealing line, but does that justify an ADP of 138.8 (38th outfielder being selected)?  Does it make him a better selection than Choo?  Let’s take a look:


Ben Revere
When healthy there is no arguing that Revere is an impressive stolen base option.  Of course last season was the first time he played over 124 games in a season so thinking that he’s a lock for 40+ SB would be a mistake.  If he gets 500 PA sure, especially in a lineup that’s in transition, but it’s not a given. Read more

Pass on Jason Heyward, Draft Austin Jackson?! It May Seem Crazy, But It’s True…

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

Jason Heyward carries a big name for fantasy owners, though it’s more centered on the perception of upside as opposed to actual production.  After all he owns a career .262 average, only once has hit more than 18 HR in a season (in 2012) and has more seasons of 11 SB or fewer (three) than 20+ (two).  So the question is, when do we give up on him?  Better yet, why do we draft him so highly?

Just look at his average ADP, compared to Austin Jackson’s:

  • Jason Heyward – 84.0
  • Austin Jackson – 251.3

Would it surprise you to learn that, despite the 170 pick difference the two players are actually extremely similar?  Let’s take a look: Read more

Fantasy Throwdown: Nolan Arenado vs. Manny Machado: Which Young 3B Is The Better Bet?

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

Both Nolan Arenado and Manny Machado are squarely on fantasy radars, whether it be redraft leagues or dynasty formats. Both have the potential to be top options for many years to come, but who is actually the better target? Let’s try to figure it out:

2014 Statistics

Nolan Arenado432.2871861582
Manny Machado327.2781232382

Manny Machado
Knee injuries have cut his last two seasons short, otherwise you have to wonder if this would even be a debate. There was nothing unrealistic in Machado’s average last season (20.5% line drive rate, .317 BABIP, 19.2% strikeout rate) and he showed some growth in the power department.

Is a 15.0% HR/FB believable? His average distance on non-groundballs of 267.986 was up from 262.402 in 2013 and he’s still just 22-years old. Would it really be a surprise that he’s showing a bit more power? Read more

2015 Fantasy Throwdown: Hunter Pence vs. Alex Gordon

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

They squared off in the 2014 World Series, but who is actually the better option heading into 2015 fantasy drafts?  While a lot could change between now and draft day, it’s definitely an interesting comparison to make.

First let’s compare the numbers from last season, which are extremely similar:

Hunter Pence
Alex Gordon
Home Runs2019
Stolen Bases1312

Outside of the runs scored, there clearly wasn’t much difference. So, with that in mind, let’s take a look at the upside in each category to help reach our decision.

Pence has hit at least 20 HR in seven consecutive seasons, including four of at least 25. While his power was down last season, he did hit 27 in his first year in San Francisco though he has shown a dramatic home/road split in the two years since the trade: Read more