Archive for March 31, 2009

2009 Projection for Edinson Volquez

As the season nears, I’m trying to get in as many projections as possible.  Tonight, I’m looking at the Reds’ Edinson Volquez.  So, without further adieu, let’s take a look at my expectations:

190.0 IP, 14 W, 3.84 ERA, 1.37 WHIP, 184 K (8.72 K/9), 85 BB (4.03 BB/9)

For as good as he was in the early going, his second half saw a huge regression.  Maybe it was fatigue.  I know a lot of owners hope that was it.  He’s got a ton of talent, but he definitely brings concerns.  A HR/9 of 0.64 in that ballpark?  Groundball pitcher or not, I just can’t but it.  How about his struggles with his control, walking 4.27 per 9 innings last season?  I certainly think he’s going to be worth using as a #2 or 3 starter in your rotation, but I’d temper my expectations.

What does everyone else think?  Am I being too harsh?

Picture courtesy of Icon Sports Media, Inc.

Wild Predictions – Kershaw

Let’s continue with the Wild Predictions.  If you are new to Rotoprofessor, keep in mind that these are occurrences that I wouldn’t expect to happen more then 20% of the time (in most cases, the chances are a lot less then that).

Clayton Kershaw strikes out 190 batters or more
He struck out 8.36 last season in the major leagues over 107.2 innings.  If he doesn’t face an innings cap (which I don’t think he will having pitched 169 innings last season between the majors and minors), why couldn’t he reach this?  I’ve said that he could be this seasons Tim Lincecum, and while he won’t match that type of strikeout rate (10.51 K/9), he has the potential to be among the Top 20.

Chance of happening: 12%

What does everyone think?  Any chance of this happening or am I completely crazy? Read more

Sheffield Released…

Wow, I never thought I’d be writing that, especially with $14 million owed to him.  According to mlb.com (click here for the article), the Tigers have done just that, saying that “the team wanted to go with a more versatile lineup”.

Sheffield, who is just 1 HR shy of 500, hit .225 with 19 HR, 57 RBI and 52 R in 418 AB last season.  His struggles continued this spring, hitting .178 (8-45) with 3 HR.

This move could open a spot for the newly acquired Josh Anderson, originally thought to be nothing more then an extra OFer.  It also could open up more AB for Jeff Larish.  Most likely, it opens regular AB for Marcus Thames, who hit 25 HR last season in just 316 AB.  If you are in need of some help in the power department, he’s a player I certainly would try to snag off the waiver wire in 5 OFer formats.

As for Sheffield, I’m sure someone will give him a chance, though I have no clue who at this point.  He had minimal value heading into the season, but if you had decided to take a chance on him you probably want to reconsider.

What do you think?  Will/should Sheffield get a job elsewhere?

Analyzing the 4th Round of Fantasy Drafts

Well, we’ve done Round 1 (click here to view), Round 2 (click here to view) and Round 3 (click here to view), giving us a solid Top 36.  Today, we’re going to take a look at Round 4, plus an additional two players, rounding out my Top 50 heading into 2009.

So, with that said, let’s look at the list:

  1. C.C. Sabathia – New York Yankees
  2. Vladimir Guerrero – Los Angeles Angels
  3. Roy Halladay – Toronto Blue Jays
  4. Nick Markakis – Baltimore Orioles
  5. David Ortiz – Boston Red Sox
  6. Brian Roberts – Baltimore Orioles
  7. Jake Peavy – San Diego Padres
  8. Cole Hamels – Philadelphia Phillies
  9. Kevin Youkilis – Boston Red Sox
  10. Jonathan Papelbon – Boston Red Sox
  11. Ichiro Suzuki – Seattle Mariners
  12. Brian McCann – Atlanta Braves
  13. Curtis Granderson – Detroit Tigers
  14. Geovanny Soto – Chicago Cubs Read more

Jordan Schafer now the man in CF?

I’ve spoken about him recently, mentioning him as a sleeper for the Braves (click here to read).  With the trade of Josh Anderson to Detroit (for Pitcher Rudy Darrow) the door now seems open for him to break camp with the team (click here for more on the trade).  Yes, they could still utilize Gregor Blanco, but Schafer has been quite impressive this spring and that scenario just seems unlikely.  If Schafer wasn’t going to be given the job, it seems like the Braves, a team who want to compete in the NL East, would have kept Anderson around a bit longer, until Schafer was ready.

This spring, Schafer is hitting .373 (22-59) with 1 HR, 3 RBI, 13 R and 5 SB.  That seems like the perfect type of player to be sitting atop the Braves order.  This is the type of performance everyone expected to see from him last season (in 2007 he hit 15 HR, and had 23 SB between two Single-A levels), though a 50-game suspension for HGH certainly played a role.

Strikeouts have continued to plague him, striking out16 times this spring (a K% of 27.12%).  That certainly is not prototypical of a speed option and should be kept in mind.  Last season at Double-A his K% was 29.63%. Read more

Wild Prediction – Fielder

Let’s continue with the Wild Predictions.  If you are new to Rotoprofessor, keep in mind that these are occurrences that I wouldn’t expect to happen more then 20% of the time (in most cases, the chances are a lot less then that).

Prince Fielder leads the league in RBI
He had just 102 last season…  Yeah, I know, “just” 102…  The fact of the matter is that 2008 was a down year, especially considering he hit 50 HR with 119 RBI the year before.  Is he going to return to the world of 50 HR?  Probably not, but even if he gets back to 40, the Brewers offense has the potential to be electric.  What if the Brewers can finally find a leadoff hitter who can consistently get on base, be it Rickie Weeks or someone else?  If that were to happen, with Ryan Braun and Corey Hart potentially hitting in front of him (in today’s Spring Training game, Hart hit second), Fielder would have a chance to do some serious, serious damage.

Chance of happening: 14%

What does everyone think?  Any chance of this happening? Read more