Archive for January 31, 2010

Get Your Copy Of The Rotoprofessor Fantasy Baseball Draft Guide For Just $5!

The first ever Rotoprofessor Fantasy Baseball Draft Guide is officially ready for delivery.  The early feedback has been great, so don’t miss out!  With the first update only days away of being sent out, now is the perfect time to buy.

This is not like the normal draft guide you purchase, because it will be consistently updated reflecting player movement and news (it has already been updated for Bengie Molina’s signing with the Giants).  The guide will be in Excel and you will receive an updated document every 2-3 weeks up until the start of the season.  For just $5, you will get to enjoy the following:

  • Over 525 player projections
  • The Rotoprofessor’s quick take on every player projected
  • Expanded Rankings (i.e. Top 30 Catchers, Top 100 Starting Pitchers)
  • Top 300 Overall (set to be released next week)
  • Projected lineups and rotations
  • As a special bonus, in mid-February you will receive a Top 50 Prospects for 2010 list (on the website, I will be releasing a Top 20 list)

Remember, this draft guide is not a replacement to the website.  Instead, it is a supplement to it.  In fact, if there is a player that I’ve done an article on their name will be linked back to the website so you can easily access those articles for more in depth information on any player.

If there is any player who is not included in the original draft guide that you would like to see added, please make the suggestion and I will do my best to include them in the next revision.

This is your chance to have all of the information you need to thrive in your fantasy leagues in 2010.  Place your order now and immediately start reaping the benefits!

Dispelling The “Positives” Of Ben Sheets

Ben Sheets is a pitcher that, when healthy, has the ability to be a fantasy stud…  Or does he, especially in 2010?  Sheets is a pitcher that has an allure surrounding him but much of it is just not accurate, especially in the strikeout department.

Many people want you to believe that Sheets has the potential to be an electric strikeout artist.  They rank him like he is going to be among the league leaders, one of the elite.  Why?

Just look at his strikeout rates in the two years prior to missing the 2009 season:

  • 2007 – 6.75 K/9 in 141.1 innings
  • 2008 – 7.17 K/9 in 198.1 innings

Granted, back in 2006 he posted a K/9 of 9.85, but in only 106 innings.  The only other time he was above his ’08 mark was in 2005, when he posted an 8.10 mark in 156.2 innings.

Now, he moves to the AL where he no longer has the pitcher to capitalize on.  He no longer has weaker hitters at the bottom of the order that he can feast on.  Coming back from missing a year, we are supposed to expect him to be an above average strikeout pitcher?  I think not. Read more

Where’s The Love For Andrew Bailey?

By Benjamin J. Pavlovic

Let’s take another look at the reigning AL ROY award-winner, Oakland’s Andrew Bailey.  Now I completely agree that there will be some regression here, but is there any good reason why Bailey can’t be a Top-10 closer in 2010.  To that I say, “negative Ghostrider, the pattern is full.”  And color me unsurprised should he finish the year as a Top-5 reliever.

Yes, he appeared out of nowhere, but he has always been a true strikeout arm – just check the numbers.  That’s what we look for when evaluating a young pitcher, right?  Strikeouts are one of the “Three True Outcomes” as noted by our friends at Baseball Prospectus. What’s that?  So are walks you decry?  Look at Bailey’s past control issues!  Valid point.  But pitchers find their control and learn how to pitch as they age.  We saw Bailey make that jump last year once he converted from starter to reliever.

Looking back at 2009, Bailey was dominant across the entire season.  He didn’t Ryan Franklin himself and fall apart down the stretch.  In fact, his control improved and his batting average against dropped slightly.  He only walked FIVE batters in the second half.  That’s Mariano territory, folks.  He also struck out 91 batters over the course of the season. Read more

Should Owners Buy Brett Wallace In 2010? Just Say No!

Brett Wallace is considered one of the best prospects in the game, yet he has been traded not once, but twice, since late July.  Should that tell us something about what teams truly think of him?  Could he be just an overhyped prospect fantasy owners should be ignoring?

First, let’s take a look at his statistics in 2009:

532 At Bats
.293 Batting Average (156 Hits)
20 Home Runs
63 RBI
76 Runs
1 Stolen Bases
.367 On Base Percentage
.455 Slugging Percentage

Things You Should Know:

  • While he was traded twice, once was as part of the Matt Holliday trade, so that explains the first deal very easily.  Going from Oakland to Toronto shouldn’t mean much, either, especially considering the A’s ultimate ability to acquire Kevin Kouzmanoff.
  • Jonathan Mayo of mlb.com recently ranked him as the 16th best prospect in baseball.
  • He could be in line to see everyday at bats in Toronto, who could use him as a DH and Adam Lind in the outfield. Read more

Quick 2010 Projection: Brian Roberts

Once considered one of the best second baseman in baseball, Brian Roberts has seen his value steadily decrease in recent years.  The problem is that the bulk of his value has been tied to his legs and his stolen base total has gone from 50 to 40 to 30 over the past three years.  That certainly isn’t a good sign, now is it?

Let’s take a look at his statistics from 2009:

632 At Bats
.283 Batting Average (179 Hits)
16 Home Runs
79 RBI
110 Runs
30 Stolen Bases
.356 On Base Percentage
.451 Slugging Percentage
.323 Batting Average on Balls in Play

Thoughts:

  • He only attempted 37 stolen bases last season, after attempting 57 and 50 the previous two seasons.  His OBP also dipped from the .377 & .378 the previous two years.  If he’s not on base as much, he’s not going to get as many opportunities to run.  If he’s not going to have as many opportunities to run, he’s going to steal fewer bases.  It’s just that simple. Read more

Top 15 Closers For 2010: Take Three

Relief pitchers are an unpredictable group.  A star pitcher one season could significantly struggle the next.  Brad Lidge anyone?  There’s something to be said about stability, about knowing someone is going to hold down the job and do it well.

With that said, let’s take a look at how I rank the closers heading into 2010:

  1. Jonathan Broxton – Los Angeles Dodgers
  2. Joe Nathan – Minnesota Twins
  3. Mariano Rivera – New York Yankees
  4. Joakim Soria – Kansas City Royals
  5. Jonathan Papelbon – Boston Red Sox
  6. Francisco Rodriguez – New York Mets
  7. Heath Bell – San Diego Padres
  8. Brian Wilson – San Francisco Giants
  9. Jose Valverde – Detroit Tigers
  10. Billy Wagner – Atlanta Braves Read more