Archive for October 31, 2010

Player to Avoid: Bruce Chen

There were many surprising performances in 2010, but were any more shocking then Bruce Chen’s?  He’s been around the majors since 1998 and has very rarely proven to be close to a usable option for fantasy owners.  Last season was a different story, however, as he posted the following line:

12 Wins
140.1 Innings
4.17 ERA
1.38 WHIP
98 Strikeouts (6.3 K/9)
57 Walks (3.7 BB/9)
.256 BABIP

A free agent heading into 2010 it’s possible that he returns to Kansas City, but no matter where he lands the chances are that he is going to not come close to being usable in 2011.  Knowing nothing else about him, his long history of mediocrity (even that may be too nice of a term), tells us that. Read more

Prospect Report: Ben Revere

Selected in the first round of the 2007 draft by the Minnesota Twins, outfielder Ben Revere got his first taste of the Major Leagues in 2010 and could be inline to make an impact in 2011.  The 22-year old has shown tremendous speed since making his professional debut, and that could certainly make him an important cog in the Twins lineup.

Before we get into what he can bring to the table in 2011, let’s look at the numbers he posted at Double-A in 2010:

361 At Bats
.305 Batting Average (110 Hits)
1 Home Runs
23 RBI
44 Runs
36 Stolen Bases
.361 On Base Percentage
.363 Slugging Percentage
.342 Batting Average on Balls in Play

He brings a good ability to make contact with him, with a strikeout rate of 11.4%.  Of course, you would like to see him draw a few more walks, having drawn just 32 in ’10, a 8.1% rate. Read more

Is Howie Kendrick A Breakout Or Bust Candidate In 2011?

It feels like Howie Kendrick has been considered a potential sleeper for the past ten years.  While it hasn’t quite been that long, as we enter 2011, his age 27 season, the time has finally come for Kendrick to either put up or shut up.

Known as a high-level average guy in the minor leagues, he has perpetually disappointed since making his debut.  Unfortunately for owners, 2010 was no exception:

658 At Bats
.279 Batting Average (172 Hits)
10 Home Runs
75 RBI
67 Runs
14 Stolen Bases
.313 On Base Percentage
.407 Slugging Percentage
.313 Batting Average on Balls in Play

His average was supposed to carry him into stardom, having hit .369 in 290 AB at Triple-A in 2006.  However, you have to realize that the number was based on an incredibly unrealistic .409 BABIP.

In other words, he never stood a chance of matching that type of mark in the Major Leagues.  It was simply impossible.  When you take that aspect out of his game out of play, there really is little to get excited about. Read more

Top 15 Second Baseman For 2011

The 2010 season saw a changing of the guard atop the second base rankings, with Robinson Cano overtaking Chase Utley in what has become an extremely deep position.  That was just one tough decision among many when it comes to our early rankings.  Let’s take a look at how things currently look (and keep in mind that these will be updated throughout the offseason):

  1. Robinson Cano – New York Yankees
  2. Chase Utley – Philadelphia Phillies
  3. Dustin Pedroia – Boston Red Sox
  4. Ian Kinsler – Texas Rangers
  5. Brandon Phillips – Cincinnati Reds
  6. Dan Uggla – Florida Marlins
  7. Aaron Hill – Toronto Blue Jays
  8. Ben Zobrist – Tampa Bay Rays
  9. Martin Prado – Atlanta Braves
  10. Rickie Weeks – Milwaukee Brewers Read more

Does Mike Aviles Have Fantasy Staying Power?

by Will Overton

Mike Aviles might not have set the fantasy baseball world on fire in 2010, but he made us all realize that his abysmal 2009 season probably had more to do with injury than skill. Aviles was an afterthought on draft day, his name only mentioned in the draft rooms of AL-Only players and the deepest of all deep leagues. At the end of the year though Mike Aviles was owned in a little over 85% of leagues on ESPN and was just about everyone’s radar, no matter the size of the league. Let’s take a look at the final 2010 stats for Aviles: 

424 AB’s
.304 BA
8 HR’s
32 RBI
63 R’s
14 SB’s
.327 BABIP

Like I said Aviles didn’t light the world on fire, but he exceeded people’s expectations and reminded us why he was a sleeper after the 2008 season, which of course added to the letdown that was 2009. Aviles batting average was consistent throughout the year with only one down month, that being July in which he hit .216. Other than that Aviles average never dipped below .300 in any month. More importantly it looks be an average that is certainly repeatable. The BABIP is not really skewed higher than it should be and Aviles has proven he can be a .300 hitter. He hovered around the .300 mark throughout his minor league career and he hit .325 as a rookie in 2008. It appears as if Aviles has the potential of a year in and year out .300 hitter. Read more

2011 Sleeper? A Look At Jonathan Niese

The Mets pitching was surprisingly the team’s strength in 2010.  Did it matter in the long run?  Of course not, but with the majority of the starting pitching staff expected back in 2011, they certainly have something to build on.

Front and center in the resurgence was Jonathan Niese, who posted the following line in 2010:

9 Wins
173.2 Innings
4.20 ERA
1.46 WHIP
148 Strikeouts (7.7 K/9)
62 Walks (3.2 BB/9)
.335 BABIP

Simply looking at the ERA and WHIP does not tell the entire story of Niese’s season.  Right off the bat you can see that he was extremely unlucky.  You have to expect that to improve, helping him immediately across the board. Read more