Archive for July 31, 2011

Fantasy Analysis: Erik Bedard Traded To The Red Sox

Updated as of 4:18 PM EST

According to Buster Olney (via Twitter) this is a three team that breaks down as follows:

Seattle Gets: Trayvon Robinson & Chih Hsien Chiang
Los Angeles Gets: Tim Federowicz & 2 minor leaguers
Boston Gets: Erik Bedard & Josh Fields

We all know that Bedard is an injury risk, especially considering he just came off the DL (and struggled in his first start off the DL, allowing 5 ER over 1.1 innings).  When healthy the lefty is an extremely talented pitcher.  He has a 3.45 ERA and 1.17 WHIP this season showing a good ability for strikeouts (8.57 K/9) and great control (2.96 BB/9).  The numbers have also been believable, with a .270 BABIP and 72.4% strand rate.

He should slide right into the starting rotation, replacing either Tim Wakefield or Andrew Miller as the Red Sox wait for Clay Buchholz to get healthy.  He has struggled against the Rays this season (8.64 ERA over 8.1 innings), so it will be interesting to see how he fares in the AL East.  However, the stuff is there and he now has a significantly better offense behind him.  While you may want to consider sitting him against tougher opponents, his fantasy value increases. Read more

Fantasy Analysis: Ryan Ludwick Traded to Pirates

According to Jon Morosi (via Twitter) the San Diego Padres have traded Ryan Ludwick to the Pittsburgh Pirates for a player to be named later.

One day after the Pirates obtained Derrek Lee to replace the struggling Lyle Overbay at 1B, the team adds Ludwick to the lineup as well.  The Pirates entered the day with Xavier Paul and Garrett Jones at the corner outfield spots (Jose Tabata is on the DL), so they clearly were in need of an upgrade.  Jones, who does have some power potential, has struggled this season hitting .230 with 10 HR and 37 RBI.  A career .252 hitter, he figures to be the odd man out, especially with the Pirates needing Paul at the top of the lineup (until Tabata is healthy).

Ludwick has not been overly impressive himself this season, hitting .238 with 11 HR and 64 RBI on the year.  Of course, you have to take the Petco Park factor into account:

  • Home: .218, 5 HR, 25 RBI in 188 AB
  • Road: .258, 6 HR, 39 RBI in 190 AB

His value doesn’t increase significantly, but it does increase moving out of San Diego.  He had low-end value in five-outfielder formats to begin with, and that’s basically where he should remain.  His bigger impact, along with Lee, could be in providing protection/taking pressure off of Pedro Alvarez.

Make sure to get all of Rotoprofessor’s Trade Deadline coverage by clicking here.

Fantasy Analysis: The Rangers Acquire Mike Adams

According to Jon Heyman (via Twitter) the San Diego Padres have traded relief pitcher Mike Adams to the Texas Rangers for Joe Wieland & Robbie Erlin.

One day after acquiring Koji Uehara, the Rangers took the improvement of their bullpen a step further be adding Mike Adams.  Adams’ is widely considered one of the elite setup men in the game.  In 2011 he is sporting a 1.12 ERA, 0.73 WHIP and 49 K over 48.0 innings.  He was expected to step into the closers role if Heath Bell were to be traded (or if he was not resigned after the season).  Now, there are two questions that you can ask:

  1. Will Bell now resign in San Diego after the season?
  2. Could Adams’ presence allow the Rangers to try and move Neftali Feliz back to the rotation for 2012?

We’ll just have to wait and see the answers to both of those questions, but they should be kept in mind.  At this point, the move does little to change the fantasy value of Adams, Bell (barring another move) or Feliz. Read more

Fantasy Analysis: Ziegler Traded For Allen; Could Goldschmidt Finally Arrive?

According to Steve Gilbert of MLBlogs.com (click here for the post), the Arizona Diamondbacks have acquired relief pitcher Brad Ziegler from the Oakland A’s in exchange for 1B/OF Brandon Allen and relief pitcher Jordan Norberto.

Ziegler has posted a 2.39 ERA, 1.35 WHIP and 29 K over 37.2 IP for the A’s this season and should slide right into a setup role.  He’s not going to jump over either J.J. Putz or David Hernandez on the depth chart, so his fantasy appeal is minimal, at best.

Norberto is a lefty reliever who has spent the year at Triple-A.  He’s gone 6-2 with a 4.25 ERA, 54 K and 26 BB over 48.2 IP.  Between the Majors and Minors in 2010 he walked 41 batters over 49.1 innings.  If he cannot find the strike zone, his value is going to be minimal, at best.

The real kicker in this trade is the inclusion of Allen, who had recently been recalled and had been sharing time with Xavier Nady at 1B.  In 29 AB he hit .172 with 3 HR, 7 RBI and 5 R.  However, at Triple-A (PCL) he had hit .306 with 18 HR, 66 RBI, 75 R and 7 SB.  With Conor Jackson (.268 and 4 HR in 276 AB) at 1B and rumors swirling around the A’s outfielders (most notably Josh Willingham), there is little doubt that Allen is going to go to Oakland and play every day.  While it’s not an ideal landing place for a power hitter, if you need some pop he will be worth considering. Read more

Fantasy Analysis: Michael Bourn Traded To Braves For Four Players

Updated as of 10:15 AM EST

Ken Rosenthal (via Twitter) is reporting that Michael Bourn has been traded to the Atlanta Braves.  He had previously reported that four prospects would be headed to Houston, though we have not yet heard the players involved.

According to Jason Stark (via Twitter) the Astros will receive Jordan Schafer, Brett Oberholtzer, Paul Clemens and Juan Abreu in return.

Atlanta has been in desperate need of help in CF and atop their lineup, especially with both Nate McLouth and Jordan Schafer currently on the DL.  Bourn fits that bill and should benefit from leaving Houston and arriving in Atlanta.  It has nothing to do with the ballpark, but the lineup around is that much better.

Bourn is currently hitting .303 with 1 HR, 32 RBI, 64 R and 39 SB (leads the league) on the season.  While his .381 BABIP is on the higher side, with his speed it is not impossible to maintain (he posted a year of .366 in 2009).  A constant threat on the bases, he has a .363 OBP and could score even more runs now that he has a better offense hitting behind him, while continuing to run wild on the bases.  That’s not to say that the Braves are elite by any stretch (they enter play today 15th in the league in runs scored with 438), but a Hunter Pence-less Astros’ lineup would bring little potential upside. Read more

Injury Report: July 31: Elvis Andrus, Carlos Gonzalez & More

Let’s take a look at this morning’s injury news and notes:

Elvis Andrus – Texas Rangers – T.R. Sullivan of mlb.com (click here for the article) is reporting that, “Shortstop Elvis Andrus was also out of the lineup on Saturday while dealing with a sore right knee that he twisted in Friday’s game. He is day to day.”  This doesn’t seem to be a major concern at the moment, though we will have to monitor the situation and see if it will affect his ability to steal bases.  On the year he’s hitting .281 with 3 HR, 38 RBI, 65 R and 30 SB.

Carlos Gonzalez – Colorado Rockies – According to Troy Renck (via Twitter), “Cargo took bp. Will rest tomorrow. Wrist improving ‘I want to be ready to play as soon as 15 days are over’”.  Fantasy owners can hope, though time will tell.  He is eligible to be activated off the DL on August 6.

Casey Blake – Los Angeles Dodgers – He came off the DL to hit second for the Dodgers, going 0-4 with 1 RBI.  While he has had his issues this season, especially with injuries, if you are desperate for a 3B in deeper formats he does have minimal value. Read more