Archive for February 29, 2012

Dissecting A Dynasty Draft: Rounds 1-5

Will Overton and I have teamed up to join a new dynasty league (coincidentally run by Sean Agranov).  The basic settings for the league, which is being done via a slow draft:

  • 15-teams
  • 5 x 5
  • 23 starters, 7 bench, 15 minor leaguers (keep everyone)

The draft has been interesting, to say the least, as teams weigh whether to build for the future or to win immediately.  Team Rotoprofessor, as we are known, hedged our bets (especially early on).  While we continuously had an eye towards 2013 and beyond, we were never willing to simply through in the towel for 2012.  Hopefully we didn’t get caught in the middle, but time will tell.  Let’s take a look at our first five selections and our thought process:

Round 1 (7th pick) – Adrian Gonzalez – First Baseman
I was a bit surprised by the start of the draft, with Justin Upton and Troy Tulowitzki being the first names off the board.  Things normalized after that, with Albert Pujols, Miguel Cabrera, Matt Kemp and Joey Votto being the next four names.  That left us with a decision between Gonzalez, Jose Bautista (who ultimately was taken 12th) and Robinson Cano. Read more

2012 Analysis: Can Jon Lester Return To Fantasy Dominance?

You can name almost any Boston Red Sox player from 2011 and find some reason to complain about their performance (yes, there are some exceptions like Jacoby Ellsbury).  Among the disappointments were Jon Lester and, while the numbers were not completely terrible, he also didn’t live up to the expectations:

15 Wins
191.2 Innings
3.47 ERA
1.26 WHIP
182 Strikeouts (8.55 K/9)
75 Walks (3.52 BB/9)
.286 BABIP

At the end of the day the ERA was about what we would’ve expected (he has a career ERA of 3.53) and the WHIP wasn’t all that far off either.  In regards to the latter, an improvement could quickly come from his control.  Read more

Draft Day Decision: Five Outfielders To Avoid In 2012

There are a lot of reasons that people may suggest not drafting a player.  It could be based on injuries (both a high risk for one or the recovery of a previous one), potential loss of playing time, diminishing performance or various things in between.  Let’s take a look at five outfielders I likely won’t be drafting in 2012:

1) Jason Heyward – Atlanta Braves
I’ve already shared my feelings on Heyward (click here to view), but it definitely is worth repeating.  All the talk is of injuries in 2011 costing him from producing or that he has been working on improving his swing.  We can also talk about all of the potential in the world, but the fact of the matter is that until we see it on the field, how can we justify drafting him within the first 10 rounds (according to Mock Draft Central he has an ADP of 107.39 and has been drafted as early as 65)?

What do you need to hit home runs?  Fly balls, right?  How is Heyward going to do that when he consistently buries the ball into the ground?  It is not like it was just 2011 that this was a problem:

2012 Rankings (NL-Only): Top 12 Catchers

Last week we checked out how the catching position looked for AL-only owners (click here to view) and it didn’t look so bad.  However, can the same thing be said for those in NL-only formats?  Not quite, honestly.  Let’s take a look at how things shake out:

  1. Brian McCann – Atlanta Braves
  2. Buster Posey – San Francisco Giants
  3. Miguel Montero – Arizona Diamondbacks
  4. Jonathan Lucroy – Milwaukee Brewers
  5. Wilson Ramos – Washington Nationals
  6. Geovany Soto – Chicago Cubs
  7. Yadier Molina – St. Louis Cardinals
  8. John Buck – Miami Marlins
  9. Devin Mesoraco – Cincinnati Reds
  10. Nick Hundley – San Diego Padres Read more

Could Vinnie Pestano Claim The Indians Closers Role From Opening Day On?

I am already on record as saying that Chris Perez is a major risk this season, but his injury just makes things that much worse.  While Perez is gunning to be ready for Opening Day, it is far from a given.  The Indians have said that Vinnie Pestano will be the closer if Perez is to miss the start of the season, so let’s take a look at what he brings to the table.

First let’s look at his 2011 production, which was his first full year in the Majors:

1 Win
62.0 Innings
2.32 ERA
1.05 WHIP
84 Strikeouts (12.19 K/9)
24 Walks (3.48 BB/9)
.269 BABIP

It’s obvious that the strikeout rate is the most impressive number.  It’s interesting, because over his minor league career he posted a 9.62 K/9 and failed to be above 9.00 in 2008 & 2009.  Things clicked in 2010, however, across three levels: Read more

Closer Tracker Launched + Brett Myers Moved to Closer

In case you missed it over the weekend, I relaunched our Closer Tracker, which you can view by clicking here (and there is a link at the top right of the page).  This will be kept updated all year long, as we bring you all the news regarding the leagues closers and the next in line.

Today is a perfect day to make this announcement, as the Astros revealed that they will be moving Brett Myers out of the rotation and into the closers role.  Remember, Myers worked as the Phillies’ closer back in 2007, when he saved 21 games and posted a K/9 of 10.88.

He’s certainly a nice addition to the closer rankings and offers a much better fantasy alternative to Brandon Lyon.