Archive for July 31, 2012

Fantasy Fallout: Ryan Dempster Traded To Texas Equals Bad News For Fantasy Owners

All of the rumors had him first going to the Cubs then to the Yankees, but ultimately it is the Rangers who acquired Ryan Dempster in exchange for 3B Christian Villanueva and RHP Kyle Hendricks. Let’s take a look:

The Rangers Get:
I have never been the biggest Dempster supporter and I wonder how he will perform in the American League, where the lineups are generally deeper. As it is his strikeouts are down this season (7.18 K/9) and his success has been aided by a lot of luck (.242 BABIP and 84.0% strand rate). Throw in his 24.4% line drive rate and it was only a matter of time before the bubble burst if he stayed in Chicago.  Now in Texas…

While it’s not like Wrigley is the greatest pitchers park (especially when the wind is blowing out), The Ballpark at Arlington is far from a prize.

The league…

The ballpark…

The luck…

Sure he as good control, but I would be running away from Dempster as quickly as possible.  Everything is just stacked for this trade to ultimately look like a disaster. Read more

Fantasy Fallout: The Smaller Deadline Deals (Jonathan Broxton, Zack Cox, Gaby Sanchez & More)

There was a flurry of smaller moves made around the deadline today.  Let’s take a look at all the details:

The St. Louis Cardinals acquired Edward Mujica from the Florida Marlins for 3B Zack Cox
Mujica is a middle reliever who has always shown pinpoint control (1.55 B/9 for hs career), but does not possess strikeout upside. He has no value for fantasy owners.

Cox is a 2010 first round draft pick who has not been overly impressive in his first taste of Triple-A this season, hitting .254 with 9 HR over 299 AB. That said, his bat has always been discussed highly,he is still just 23-years old and Baseball America ranked him as the team’s fourth best prospect entering the year. We will take a much closer look at him in the next few days, but he has the potential t make an impact in 2012 now that he is out from behind David Freese.

The Boston Red Sox acquired LHP Craig Breslow from the Arizona Diamondbacks for RHP Matt Albers & OF Scott Podsedik
From a fantasy perspective here isn’t much to this trade. Podsednik will be depth for the Diamondbacks while Breslow and Albers are both solid middle relievers in leagues that value them, but in the majority if formats they hold no value. Read more

Fantasy Fallout: Phillies Trade Shane Victorino & Hunter Pence

The dismantling of the Phillies is in full force.  Let’s break down the fallout from their deals:

  1. The Phillies traded Shane Victorino to the Los Angeles Dodgers for Josh Lindblom & Etan Martin
  2. The Phillies traded Hunter Pence to the San Francisco Giants for Nate Schierholtz, Tommy Joseph & Seth Rosin

The Dodgers Fallout:
Victorino has not been himself this season, but the Phillies lineup was also battered and bruised much of the season.  Now, he should slide into the Dodgers leadoff spot and hit in front of Matt Kemp, Andre Ethier & Hanley Ramirez.  That’s a spot that anyone would be envious of.

As it is, even while he has “struggled” he has managed 24 SB, 40 RBI and 46 R.  Now at the top of the Dodgers lineup, he should be a huge source of runs scored as he is re-energized for the pennant race.  Those who bought low on him recently should be extremely happy.

The long-term effects, at least for 2012, will be that Dee Gordon will likely be slotted towards the bottom of the order once he returns from injury.  That shouldn’t be a surprise, considering how poorly he was hitting earlier in the year, but it will have a significant effect on his value.  How much is he going to get to run batting seventh?  How many runs is he going to be able to score?  While he should be valuable in 2013 and beyond, his immediate value has been diminished greatly.  If you are desperate for stolen bases I would continue to hold onto him, but just be aware of what you are getting. Read more

Fantasy Fallout: Breaking Down Last Night’s Midnight Trade Movement

by Will Overton

The MLB trade deadline is today at 4 PM EST and there should be plenty of wheeling and dealing to discuss throughout the day today. But last night yielded a few smaller trades that might still have some fantasy significance.

The Cubs made a pair of deals as did the Blue Jays and the Mariners were also involved in two different deals. Here is the rundown of last night’s movement and it’s fantasy implications.

The Cubs Trade Geovany Soto to the Texas Rangers for Jacob Brigham
The Cubs apparently have had enough of Soto and his sub .200 hitting. While Soto does have power still he hasn’t been hitting for average at all lately and it’s been taking a toll on fantasy owners. Going to Texas should only help his power numbers considering the park he’ll play in, but the Rangers will still make Mike Napoli is in the lineup every day, often times at catcher so I wouldn’t expect too much. What this does do is completely negate any value Yorvit Torrealba has. Read more

Around the Majors: July 30: Iwakuma Whiffs 13, Kendrys Morales Erupts & More

Much of baseball’s focus is on the trade deadline and the moves that are made and those that aren’t.  However, there was still plenty of action on the field.  Let’s take a look at who thrived and who struggled during yesterday’s games:

  1. Hisashi Iwakuma – Seattle Mariners – Starting Pitcher – He was electric last night against the Blue Jays, allowing 1 ER on 4 H and 3 BB, striking out 13, in 8.0 IP.  In his past three starts he has allowed 4 ER over 19.0 innings, striking out 23 in the process.  Obviously, the strikeout number is not one we should probably expect on a regular basis, especially considering he had posted 23 K in 30.1 innings as a relief pitcher this season and is more of a control pitcher.  That said, he has the potential to be a solid option for those in deeper formats, helping in the WHIP department and pitching in a pitcher’s park.  However, his next start comes at Yankee Stadium, so if you want to grab him I’d keep him stashed for the time being.
  2. Brandon Belt – San Francisco Giants – First Baseman – Is he finally starting to get things going once again?  He went 2-6 with 2 R yesterday and is now 6-16 in his past four games.  It’s not much, and he did leave 7 on base yesterday, but at least it’s something.  He needs to really get hot by the end of the week, as Hector Sanchez is set to return from the DL (which could lead to more time at first base for Buster Posey).  If Belt wants to be more successful he needs to start hitting more home runs (6.7% HR/FB) and reduce the strikeouts (26.9% strikeout rate).  He has the potential to do both, but fantasy owners would prefer to have him on their bench until he proves otherwise. Read more

Deep League Waiver Wire: Is Jordany Valdespin Worth Adding?

The once promising season of the New York Mets has quickly been flushed down the toilet. There really is just no other way to phrase it. The have gone from Wild Card hopeful to laughing stock in the blink of an eye. However, from the carnage could come value for fantasy owners.

While Daniel Murphy likely won’t get traded (though there has been rumors), the Mets still appear primed to find out exactly what they have in Jordany Valdespin. With Lucas Duda now at Triple-A and Jason Bay’s status with the team seemingly on life support (at least his starting role), Valdespin should be awarded regular playing time.

He has continuously shown that he belongs, with 5 pinch hit home runs in limited at bats and now the Mets need to find out if he is part of their long-term plans. If you look at the numbers, you would think he should be.

Between Double and Triple-A in 2011 Valdespin combined for 17 HR and 37 SB. While he may not have the potential to steal that many in the Majors (he has 4 thus far), last years number did show that he has plenty of speed. While 35-40 is too much to ask routinely, it definitely doesn’t seem impossible that he steals 20+ every year (which is his current pace despite seeing the bulk of his time as a pinch hitter). Read more