Fantasy Analysis: Erik Bedard Traded To The Red Sox

Updated as of 4:18 PM EST

According to Buster Olney (via Twitter) this is a three team that breaks down as follows:

Seattle Gets: Trayvon Robinson & Chih Hsien Chiang
Los Angeles Gets: Tim Federowicz & 2 minor leaguers
Boston Gets: Erik Bedard & Josh Fields

We all know that Bedard is an injury risk, especially considering he just came off the DL (and struggled in his first start off the DL, allowing 5 ER over 1.1 innings).  When healthy the lefty is an extremely talented pitcher.  He has a 3.45 ERA and 1.17 WHIP this season showing a good ability for strikeouts (8.57 K/9) and great control (2.96 BB/9).  The numbers have also been believable, with a .270 BABIP and 72.4% strand rate.

He should slide right into the starting rotation, replacing either Tim Wakefield or Andrew Miller as the Red Sox wait for Clay Buchholz to get healthy.  He has struggled against the Rays this season (8.64 ERA over 8.1 innings), so it will be interesting to see how he fares in the AL East.  However, the stuff is there and he now has a significantly better offense behind him.  While you may want to consider sitting him against tougher opponents, his fantasy value increases.

As for Federowicz, Baseball America ranked him as the Red Sox 21st best prospect prior to the season.   At Double-A this season he is hitting .275 with 7 HR and 50 RBI over 335 AB.  He is more regarded for his defense then his offense.

Seattle hits a home run with this deal, giving up two months of Bedard to gettwo promising outfielder.

Trayvon Robinson, who at one time was though to potentially get into the mix in the Dodgers outfield.  Baseball America ranked him as the Dodgers 10th best prospect prior to the season.  At Triple-A (PCL) he was hitting .293 with 26 HR, 71 RBI, 70 R and 8 SB in 368 AB.  He has struck out way too much, with 122 K, but he easily could step right into the Mariners outfield and potentially make an impact.

Chiang is a 23-year old Double-A outfielder who was hitting .338 with 18 HR, 76 RBI, 67 R and 6 SB.  The left-handed hitter may not make an impact in 2011 and hadn’t shown this type of potential before (he hit .260 with 11 HR in ’10), but with the numbers he’s put up he is worth keeping an eye on.

Make sure to get all of Rotoprofessor’s Trade Deadline coverage by clicking here.

4 comments

  1. Catfish Hunted says:

    Thoughts on Latos for 2012? And more importantly, Nefalti Feliz or Latos in Dynasty.

    • Rotoprofessor says:

      I am not really concerned about Latos moving forward. He has suffered some poor luck this season (.305 BABIP, 69.2% strand rate), which has helped to skew his numbers. Otherwise, the numbers are solid. Is you going to be a fantasy ace? Probably not, at least not pitching for the Padres, but he should be a solid #2 or 3.

      As for him vs. Feliz, it’s really difficult, because we really have no idea what role Feliz is going to fill in ’12. Is he going to start? If he is, how many innings will he be able to pitch? Will he be effective? There really are just too many questions. I’d probably lean towards Latos for that reason.

      • Nick Tenaglia says:

        Latos or Ogando for 2012?

        • Rotoprofessor says:

          I may be in the minority, but I don’t trust Ogando. The strikeout rate is unimpressive (6.70 K/9) and I just don’t buy him being able to maintain a .241 BABIP.

          I would definitely go with Latos over him personally.

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