Dispelling ADP
Over on Fantasy Baseball Generals, I posted an article this evening looking at Average Draft Position and how much you should focus on it on draft day. Here’s a quick excerpt:
“The best example I can give is with Rich Harden in the three mock drafts I’ve participated in thus far this season. I’ve seen him drafted in the 9th Round twice and then in the 13th Round. That would give him an ADP of roughly 10.5, but in fact it is only that low because in one draft he wasn’t valued so highly and fell a few rounds later then in the other two. Does this mean that if you’re picking at the end of the 8th Round you shouldn’t grab Harden if you are convinced that he is going to be able to stay healthy and put up a tremendous season because you are taking him 2 rounds earlier then his average?”
The column came after there has been a lively discussion on if you should “reach” for a player or not. To read the article in it’s entirety, click here.
eric :
i beg you , PLEASE , stop using “my guys” as examples for your articles .
certainly we can come to an understanding , here . don’t make me lawyer-up .
the flip-side is ==> you’ve capture my attention with another of your well-written posts .
hahaha….sorry Big O. Which other players are “yours” so I know who to avoid in future articles?
That’s why Median Draft Position (MDP), is more reliable, IMO. It mitigates those crazy outliers.
Check it out: http://www.fantasybaseballcafe.com/player_rankings.php