Let’s start to wrap up our second look at our 2012 rankings with the outfielders. There is no questioning who the top options are, though that doesn’t mean there aren’t plenty of questions throughout the rankings. Let’s take a look how things currently look:
- Jose Bautista – Toronto Blue Jays
- Matt Kemp – Los Angeles Dodgers
- Ryan Braun – Milwaukee Brewers
- Justin Upton – Arizona Diamondbacks
- Carlos Gonzalez – Colorado Rockies
- Jacoby Ellsbury – Boston Red Sox
- Andrew McCutchen – Pittsburgh Pirates
- Matt Holliday – St. Louis Cardinals
- Josh Hamilton – Texas Rangers
- Giancarlo Stanton – Miami Marlins
- Curtis Granderson – New York Yankees
- Hunter Pence – Philadelphia Phillies
- Jay Bruce – Cincinnati Reds
- Ben Zobrist – Tampa Bay Rays
- Michael Bourn – Atlanta Braves
- Alex Gordon – Kansas City Royals
- Adam Jones – Baltimore Orioles
- Shin-Soo Choo – Cleveland Indians
- Desmond Jennings – Tampa Bay Rays
- Shane Victorino – Philadelphia Phillies
- No one is going to argue that Curtis Granderson had an amazing 2011 campaign, hitting .262 with 41 HR, 119 RBI, 136 R and 25 SB. The question is, does anyone really expect him to be able to replicate those numbers? The stat that most obviously sticks out is the runs scored, though he could easily regress across the board. Will he really repeat a 20.5% HR/FB? How about the potential fall in an already low average, considering his 24.5% strikeout rate and 48.0% fly ball rate? It’s not to say that he shouldn’t be owned, but value him accordingly. For more of my thoughts on Granderson, click here.
- Generally I am not a fan of selecting a pure stolen base threat early, but Michael Bourn is definitely an exception to the rule. Not only can he potentially win the category for you single-handedly, but he should hit for a solid average (.275-.290) and hitting atop the Atlanta lineup should bring a career high in runs scored (97 R is his previous high). He’s a player well worth targeting.
- Justin Upton and Carlos Gonzalez bring extreme talent to the table, and both are potential first round talents. Unfortunately for them, it seems nearly impossible to break into the Top 3 at the position. Bautista, Kemp and Braun are a hard trio to crack.
- Can Jay Bruce bring consistency to the table? If he does, the sky truly is the limit. In 2011 he had one huge month (.342 with 12 HR and 33 RBI in May), but only had more than 4 HR in one other month. The other concern is in his strikeout rate (23.8% in ’11), but that shouldn’t be seen as crippling. At 25-years old, the time is now for him to figure out how to carry his production throughout the season.
- Is anyone betting against a Shin-Soo Choo rebound in 2012? He had the DUI arrest early, which was just the tip of the iceberg last season. Throw in some injuries and poor production (.258, 8 HR, 12 SB) and there is a good reason to be down on him. While I always had my concerns regarding an inflated BABIP, it’s hard to imagine him not producing significantly better than he did. He’s the same player who went 20/20 in 2009 & 2010, so don’t sleep on him this year.
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Make sure to check out all of our 2012 rankings: