Third Baseman Rankings (May 11, 2012): Ryan Zimmerman Returns, Jose Bautista Struggles & More

Third base is a position that has been ravaged by injuries thus far in 2012.  Of the preseason Top 12, three are currently on the DL, another has spent time on the DL and Adrian Beltre narrowly avoided a trip.  Needless to say, the position has been frustrating, so let’s take a look at how we currently rank the Top 20 Third Baseman in the league  (these will be our baseline rankings as we keep them updated):

  1. Miguel Cabrera – Detroit Tigers
  2. Jose Bautista – Toronto Blue Jays
  3. Hanley Ramirez – Miami Marlins
  4. Adrian Beltre – Texas Rangers
  5. David Wright – New York Mets
  6. Ryan Zimmerman – Washington Nationals
  7. Michael Young – Texas Rangers
  8. Brett Lawrie – Toronto Blue Jays
  9. Alex Rodriguez – New York Yankees
  10. Aramis Ramirez – Milwaukee Brewers
  11. Edwin Encarnacion – Toronto Blue Jays
  12. Mike Moustakas – Kansas City Royals
  13. David Freese – St. Louis Cardinals
  14. Emilio Bonifacio – Miami Marlins
  15. Mark Trumbo – Los Angeles Angels
  16. Chipper Jones – Atlanta Braves
  17. Martin Prado – Atlanta Braves
  18. Pedro Alvarez – Pittsburgh Pirates
  19. Mark Reynolds – Baltimore Orioles
  20. Chase Headley – San Diego Padres

Currently on the DL – Pablo Sandoval, Kevin Youkilis, Evan Longoria
Out for the Season – Mat Gamel

Thoughts:

  • David Wright has gotten off to a tremendous start, though don’t read that as an indication that he is back to being among the top two or three options at third base.  Unless he starts putting the ball in the air more (27.1% fly ball rate), he’s not going to hit for much power.  He also has posted a BABIP of .427, which tells you that his average is likely to come tumbling down sooner or later.  Yes, he has done a much better job of putting the ball in play (13.9% strikeout rate), which will help the average.  I would just proceed cautiously.
  • We all know the type of potential Brett Lawrie has, but right now he is simply burying the ball into the ground way too much (58.6% groundball rate).  That makes it nearly impossible for him to hit for significant power.  Until he gets there (and his 9 HR in 150 AB in ’11 shows its possible), we have to keep him suppressed a bit in the rankings.  That said, the upside obviously keeps him as a good option in all formats.
  • Right now Alex Rodriguez is healthy, which is always the biggest question hanging over him.  That said, seeing him with just a 26.7% fly ball rate is a bit of a concern.  His career worst is 37.2% (in 2011), and you would think that he would improve upon his early season number.  It does need to be monitored closely, however.  If it doesn’t improve, his upside is going to plummet and his potential value will go with it.
  • Edwin Encarnacion is a risk, as his production has slowed of late.  There are also some underlying numbers that are eye-opening.  While his BABIP is down (.239), he’s also swinging for the fences (54.9% fly ball rate) and not hitting the ball with any real authority (9.8% line drive rate).  You would think that the latter number is going to improve, but if he keeps posting an elevated fly ball rate the average may not rebound.  His upside may not resemble his current numbers, so proceed with caution.

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Around The League: May 11: Big Bats Come Out To Play - Josh Hamilton, Carlos Beltran and More
Fabulous Foursome: Four Players Fantasy Owners Should Be Buying This Week (Reed, Martinez)

3 comments

  1. Tommybones says:

    Man, what does David Wright have to do to get any respect? Just two years ago, he was a 5 category monster. This season, he’s addressed his biggest concern, which was his elevated k rate. He’s putting together quality AB’s and has a history of pure greatness, yet other players with a fraction of the pedigree keep getting placed ahead of him. I’d have to say he’s the most underrated fantasy player in the game right now.

  2. muddy cleats 18 says:

    got Young, Lawrie and Moustakas and use one of them for my utility – thinking about dropping Moustakas for Allen Craig. I also have Ryan Howard on my DL and have been offered Freeman or Wieters for him which would make me drop Moustakas as my utility guy. think it makes sense in long run to drop Moustakas for Craig, Freeman or Wieters?

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