Fantasy Dilemma: What Should Owners Do With Michael Young & Carlos Santana?

Are you a frustrated owner of Michael Young or Carlos Santana?  Are you completely lost on how you should proceed?  Well, let’s see if we can help solve your dilemma for the remainder of 2012:

Michael Young – Texas Rangers
Just how bad has it been for Young? He entered play on Monday hitting .273 with 3 HR, 35. RBI, 39 R and 2 SB over 348 AB. I don’t care how many positions you are eligible at, those type of numbers hold little value for fantasy owners.

Maybe if this was isolated to the first half of 2012 we could argue that he will turn it around. Unfortunately this isn’t a new phenom. After getting off to a good start in 2011 he hit .357, but it came with just 3 HR, 47 RBI, 46 R and 2 SB over 272 AB.

The average was nice, but over his last 620 AB (a full seasons worth of data) he has 6 HR, 82 RBI, 85 R and 5 SB. Usable numbers in a deep league at a weak position (or to spot start in various places)? Yeah, I wouldn’t argue with that, but they are hardly what we had hoped for.

If this was the first time we had seen Young’s power evaporate, we also wouldn’t have as many concerns. Let us not forget that he hit a total of 21 HR in 2007 & 2008. With a 23.0% fly ball rate this season, seeing his power suddenly rebound is far from a given.

He is hitting the ball with authority, with a 23.9% line drive rate (for his career he has a 24.3% mark), so there is reason to believe that the average will rebound. However, is it enough without speed or power?

At this point I would consider him more as a reserve option to plug in as opposed to a must start option. Unless he shows a little more power potential or you are in need of his average upside, I wouldn’t be going crazy to buy low on him.

Carlos Santana – Cleveland Indians
It wasn’t long ago that I was recommending Santana as a perfect buy low candidate. However, this really is getting out of control, isn’t it?

The last time Santana hit a home run was May 15…

He has had 1 RBI since June 16 and the last time he had multiple RBI in a game was May 11 (he has only done that six times all season)…

His only multi-hit game since May 17 came on June 18…

There have been some injuries, including missing time with a concussion, but this has gotten out of control. Thought of as one of the elite catchers in the game entering the season, his numbers have never matched the hype.

There is hope, as he is hitting the ball with authority overall, with a 20.1% line drive rate… Actually, even that is an illusion. He posted a 31.3% mark in April, which obviously is buoying the overall number.

His BABIP, which appears low at .268, is nearly identical to last years .263. Also similar are the strikeout rates, at 20.2% and 20.1%.

We all know that the talent is there, but it is getting harder and harder to suggest using him. Obviously, I wouldn’t sell low and if you are in position to take a gamble and can acquire him cheap I am all for it. However, outside of two-catcher or AL-only formats, it makes sense to have him of your bench until he starts to show signs of at least getting things on track.

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One comment

  1. JREwing says:

    LOVE me some Michael Young. Dropped me some Michael Young yesterday in the only league I had him to pick up some pitching. I normally tend to stay the course too long rather than err on the side of rash decisions, especially with veterans.

    Mike can still hit and has the potential to turn things around, but I think it’s very likely there’s people on the waiver wire that will provide as much fantasy value as he will in the second half.

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