The once promising season of the New York Mets has quickly been flushed down the toilet. There really is just no other way to phrase it. The have gone from Wild Card hopeful to laughing stock in the blink of an eye. However, from the carnage could come value for fantasy owners.
While Daniel Murphy likely won’t get traded (though there has been rumors), the Mets still appear primed to find out exactly what they have in Jordany Valdespin. With Lucas Duda now at Triple-A and Jason Bay’s status with the team seemingly on life support (at least his starting role), Valdespin should be awarded regular playing time.
He has continuously shown that he belongs, with 5 pinch hit home runs in limited at bats and now the Mets need to find out if he is part of their long-term plans. If you look at the numbers, you would think he should be.
Between Double and Triple-A in 2011 Valdespin combined for 17 HR and 37 SB. While he may not have the potential to steal that many in the Majors (he has 4 thus far), last years number did show that he has plenty of speed. While 35-40 is too much to ask routinely, it definitely doesn’t seem impossible that he steals 20+ every year (which is his current pace despite seeing the bulk of his time as a pinch hitter).
It also is hard for me to believe the power he has shown (he currently has an 18.9% HR/FB). Again, given what he did last year (he also had 32 doubles and 8 triples), there is every reason to believe that he is capable of 20+ home runs a year, though his current pace just isn’t realistic.
Suddenly, you are looking at 20/20 potential. What exactly is there not to like?
Yes, you would like to see him draw a few more walks, but t is not like he is striking out a ton (18.0% in the Majors). So, he doesn’t fit the mold of a lead off hitter, but that doesn’t hurt his value significantly. Sure, you would love his skill set at the top where he can wreak havoc and score runs. Still, with the home run potential hitting lower in the order should allow him more RBI.
Couple the strikeouts with his current .278 BABIP and, even of the power fades, you would think he is a .280+ hitter. Yes, his current 6.4% line drive does concern me, a little bit of that may have to do with coming off the bench and swinging for the fences. His minor league track record does tell a different tale.
To an extent, his makeup actually reminds me a bit of Alexei Ramirez. While Ramirez has failed to live up to expectations, he has always had value. Wot Valdespin seemingly set to play most days, he is worth the flier in all deeper formats.