Everyone loves getting a little wild from time to time, don’t they? While I definitely wouldn’t be putting any money on these predictions, here are five wild ones for the upcoming season:
1) Paul Goldschmidt goes off for 40 HR and 20 SB
Which of these numbers would actually be more unbelievable? While he didn’t show his full power in ’12, he had 38 HR between Double-A and the Majors in ’11. The power should vastly improve this season. As for the speed, while he had 18 last year that’s probably the bigger question. Let’s be honest, though, we would all be happy with a 30/10 year, wouldn’t we? That probably isn’t a crazy notion in the least.
2) Fernando Rodney saves fewer than 15 games
I know I am in the minority, but it’s impossible for me to buy into Rodney exceling again as closer given both his track record and the Rays. Remember, the team has not had the same player lead in saves in back-to-back years for eight seasons running. They are always able to find someone to step in, but that speaks to their ability to find suitable bullpen arms not develop long-term solutions. My money is on Jake McGee leading the team with 22 (for those in Wild Prediction land).
3) Kyle Seager will be a Top 3 fantasy third baseman in 2013
How much wilder do you want to get? Last season he showed an increased ability to hit for power (20 HR to go along with 35 doubles) and also that he had the potential to hit for a good average. Yes, overall he was at .259 but he made good contact (16.9%) with a good line drive rate (21.9%) yet only managed a .286 BABIP. The Mariners lineup is improved around him, which also should mean more opportunities. To be a Top 3 third baseman, he could need to go .300/30/100/100… So, for wild prediction purposes that’s exactly what we’ll say!
4) Shin-Soo Choo will outperform Andrew McCutchen
Yea, I’m not so sure I believe this one either but I also wouldn’t call it impossible. Choo has proven that he can go 20/20 in Cleveland and, now moving to a much better hitter’s ballpark, could 30/30 be within reach? As for McCutchen there’s likely going to be a regression in store after he posted a .375 BABIP and 19.4% HR/FB. The question is if Choo can increase his numbers enough to overtake McCutchen?
5) Matt Harvey & Jonathan Niese will both post ERAs under 3.25 and WHIPs under 1.15
The future is bright for the Mets, with Harvey & Niese leading the charge. In the second half of 2012 both pitchers gave us an indication of how good they can be. The question is if they can they put it together for a full season? The talent is certainly there to thrive.
What are your thoughts of these five predictions? Which do you think is the most likely of coming true? Which is completely outlandish?