by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)
Week 13 is a short week, with many teams playing only five games. That means there are limited options to even consider running out there, and even fewer that we can consider actually dependable.
Here’s a quick breakdown of the tiers (and remember, the pitchers are also ranked within each tier):
- Tier 1 – The Elite
- Tier 2 – Not quite elite, but among the better options
- Tier 3 – Solid options
- Tier 4 – Borderline options only usable under the right circumstance
- Tier 5 – Options worth avoiding
With that in mind, let’s take a look at the week ahead:
- Justin Masterson has been tremendous overall this season, though his home/road splits are stark (2.29 ERA/5.12 ERA). It hasn’t been just one start, either, with four consecutive starts allowing 4 ER or more on the road. Considering both the White Sox and Orioles have the potential to put up runs, fantasy owners need to be cautious. He’s a viable option, but a risky one.
- Similar to Masterson, C.J. Wilson also has a pretty big home/road split this season (2.65/4.91), though that hasn’t been the case in previous years. The bigger concern is his date in Detroit, though a late week matchup with the Astros helps to balance that out.
- Sure Matt Moore beat the New York Yankees, but how much does that really mean? He continues to have control issues as well as fail to generate strikeouts (more than 4 K just twice in his past 10 starts 34 K over 48.2 IP). Given his start to the season it’s hard to imagine, but at this point he is a very risky option until he proves otherwise. Unfortunately, with the Blue Jays and Tigers in the bottom half of the league in strikeouts, it’s hard to imagine things suddenly getting better for the coming week.
- The hope was that Clay Buchholz would return to the mound on Tuesday, but that no longer appears to be the case. At this point it is unknown who will take that spot.
- Considering both the Cubs & Pirates are among the lowest scoring teams in the league in June, can anyone consider sitting Kyle Lohse this week? He may not be in the class of the Tier 1 & 2 starters, but he is a must use option right now.
- There’s a lot of risk when it comes to Jeff Locke, despite his overall impressive numbers. While there is the potential he improves both his strikeout and walk rates, he has benefitted from a .231 BABIP and 85.6% strand rate. It’s hard to sit him, given the numbers and his success, but don’t be surprised if he regresses (and soon).
- Edwin Jackson’s numbers have been awful, so it’s tough to trust him, but his matchups are favorable this week and he also gets two matchups on the road where he has been better. That’s not to say that he’s been great (4.17 ERA), but at least it’s palatable (6.69 ERA at home). He’s worth considering.