Week 14 Hitting Primer (July 1-6): Breaking Down The Schedules, Picking Sleepers & More

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

Which team’s have favorable schedules this week? Which players appear to be ideal candidates to have in your lineup? Let’s first break down each teams schedule and then get into the details as to who we would recommend and who you may want to have second thoughts about (all stats are through Friday):

American League East:

  • Baltimore Orioles – 3 at CWS, 3 at NYY (2 RHP, 4 LHP)
  • Boston Red Sox – 3 vs. SD, 3 at LAA (2 RHP, 3 LHP, 1 TBA)
  • New York Yankees – 4 at Min, 3 vs. Bal (5 RHP, 2 LHP)
  • Tampa Bay Rays – 4 at Hou, 3 vs. CWS (3 RHP, 4 LHP)
  • Toronto Blue Jays – 4 vs. Det, 3 vs. Min (5 RHP, 2 LHP)

American League Central:

  • Chicago White Sox – 3 vs. Bal, 3 at TB (4 RHP, 1 LHP, 1 TBA)
  • Cleveland Indians – 3 at KC, 3 vs. Det (5 RHP, 1 LHP)
  • Detroit Tigers – 4 at Tor, 3 at Cle (6 RHP, 1 LHP)
  • Kansas City Royals – 3 vs. Cle, 3 vs. Oak (2 RHP, 2 LHP, 2 TBA)
  • Minnesota Twins – 4 vs. Min, 3 at Tor (4 RHP, 3 LHP)

American League West:

  • Houston Astros – 4 vs. TB, 3 at Tex (6 RHP, 1 LHP)
  • Los Angeles Angels – 3 vs. Stl, 3 vs. Bos (6 RHP)
  • Oakland Athletics – 3 vs. CHC, 3 at KC (5 RHP, 1 LHP)
  • Seattle Mariners – 3 at Tex,3 at Cin (4 RHP, 2 LHP)
  • Texas Rangers – 3 vs. Sea, 3 vs. Hou (3 RHP, 3 LHP)

Nationals League East:

  • Atlanta Braves – 3 vs. Mia, 3 at Phi (4 RHP, 2 LHP)
  • Miami Marlins – 1 vs. SD, 3 at Atl, 3 at Stl (6 RHP, 1 LHP)
  • New York Mets – 4 vs. Ari, 3 at Mil (5 RHP, 2 LHP)
  • Philadelphia Phillies – 3 at Pit, 3 vs. Atl (4 RHP, 2 LHP)
  • Washington Nationals – 4 vs. Mil, 3 vs. SD (6 RHP, 1 LHP)

National League Central:

  • Chicago Cubs – 3 at Oak, 3 vs. Pit (4 RHP, 2 LHP)
  • Cincinnati Reds – 4 vs. Cin, 3 vs. Sea (4 RHP, 3 LHP)
  • Milwaukee Brewers – 4 at Was, 3 vs. NYM (6 RHP, 1 LHP)
  • Pittsburgh Pirates – 3 vs. Phi, 3 at CHC (4 RHP, 2 LHP)
  • St. Louis Cardinals – 3 at LAA, 3 vs. Mia (5 RHP, 1 TBA)

Nationals League West:

  • Arizona Diamondbacks – 4 at NYM, 3 vs. Col (5 RHP, 2 LHP)
  • Colorado Rockies – 3 vs. LAD, 3 at Ari (2 RHP, 4 LHP)
  • Los Angeles Dodgers – 3 at Col, 3 at SF (4 RHP, 2 LHP)
  • San Diego Padres – 1 at Mia, 3 at Bos, 3 at Was (4 RHP, 3 LHP)
  • San Francisco Giants – 4 at Cin, 3 vs. LAD (5 RHP, 2 LHP)

Notes:

  • Todd Frazier’s numbers have not impressed this season, but they have done a complete 180 based on whether he’s playing at home (.282, 7 HR, 25 RBI) or on the road (.194, 2 HR, 12 RBI).  Throw in favorable matchups for much of the week and he’s one of the biggest sleeper candidates for the coming week.
  • Talking about splits, Lonnie Chisenhall has been abysmal against southpaws (.080), but has actually been solid against RHP (.280, 3 HR over 100 AB).  The Indians face five righties and, outside of James Shields, there will be opportunities to produce.  That’s not a slight against Doug Fister or Jeremy Guthrie, who both could easily put up strong starts, but they aren’t going to cause you to shy away from a hitter.
  • Has Desmond Jennings been a disappointment?  Hard to say that he hasn’t been, hitting .253 with just 9 SB and generally hitting lower in the order.  While it may be tough for him steal with 4 southpaws on the schedule this week, the potential for him to put up big numbers is there.  On the year he’s raked against LHP (.330 with 3 HR in 88 AB) and is a must use option in all formats.
  • You can argue that Salvador Perez is more of an option in two-catcher formats (borderline in one-catcher formats), though I may not agree.  That said, with six games at home and a .353 average there this season he’s worth considering.  That said, we have to remember that his split was the exact opposite a year ago (.281 at home, .322 on the road) and he also hit for more power away (8 HR vs. 3 HR in ’12), so we need to keep that in mind.
  • The Cardinals have three games with a DH, likely meaning more time in the lineup for Matt Adams.  He’s not a must use option, since he may not play against the Marlins, but if you are in a daily format he’s worth grabbing as a plug and play if he’s available.
  • The Toronto Blue Jays get a full week at home where they have several players who rake.  Included in that is J.P. Arencibia, who is hitting .296 with 11 HR in 135 AB at home.  However, much like with Salvador Perez, that wasn’t the case a year ago (.210 with 9 HR over 162 AB).  That said, it’s hard to ignore what he’s done in ’13 so if you need a catcher he’s worth rolling with.
  • Peter Bourjos has raked both at home (.372) and against RHP (.340).  Six games against righties at home?  If he’s healthy and expected to play he’s well worth using, especially hitting atop the Angels order.

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