Around the Majors: July 2, 2013: Homer Bailey Twirls No-Hitter, David Price Returns In Style & More

When you throw a no-hitter, you are obviously the story of the night but that doesn’t mean you are the only story.  David Price returned from the DL in spectacular fashion.  Kendrys Morales turned back the clock with a monster day at the plate.  Could Lance Lynn be pitching his way out of the Cardinals’ rotation?  Let’s look at these storylines and all the rest from yesterday’s games:

  • Homer Bailey was obviously the biggest story of the night, no-hitting the San Francisco Giants with 9 K and 1 BB.  It was the second no-hitter of his career.  He is now 5-6 with a 3.57 ERA and 1.06 WHIP on the season.  While he entered the day with an elevated line drive rate (22.3%), he also had a career best strikeout rate (9.00 K/9), tremendous control (2.21 BB/9) and a solid groundball rate (48.9%).  Given this performance you would think the chance to buy him low has come and gone, but there is no reason to think that he won’t continue producing.
  • It was a big day for Colby Rasmus, going 2-4 with 1 HR, 4 RBI and 2 R.  He’s been striking out too much (100 K over 271 AB), helping to lead to his .244 average.  That said, he also has 15 HR, 42 RBI and 36 R, so there is still some value there.  It’s not quite the type of value that we had envisioned, but there’s value all the same.
  • Doug Fister got bombed for 6 ER on 7 H and 1 BB, striking out 4, over 6.0 innings against the Blue Jays.  It’s the second time in his past three starts where he’s allowed 6 ER, but we all know that’s not the norm.  He should bounce back strong before long.
  • While Jonathan Pettibone has good control (2.82 BB/9 entering the day), he doesn’t offer enough in the strikeout department to excite us (5.28 K/9).  He was solid yesterday, allowing 1 ER on 3 H and 3 BB, striking out 6, over 5.2 IP against the Pirates, but he’s nothing more than a low-end option.
  • John Lackey was solid once again, allowing 1 ER on 6 H and 1 BB, striking out 6, over 8.0 IP against the Padres.  He now owns a 2.81 ERA and 1.17 WHIP over 86.1 IP and has allowed 2 ER or less in each of his past four starts (7 ER over 29.0 IP) and going 3-0 over that span.  Is he really this good?  It’s not impossible, as he finally appears to be healthy.  While I would be skeptical that he could be this good, if he can maintain his strikeout rate (8.24 K/9), walk rate (1.88 BB/9) and groundball rate (49.2%), he is going to excel.  Those marks are at around career bests, though, and he also is benefitting from an 80.1% strand rate so be prepared for him to take a step back.
  • It was a struggle for Robbie Erlin, allowing 3 ER on 5 H and 3 BB, striking out 1, over 3.2 IP.  He has upside, but like any rookie pitcher he is going to be difficult to depend on.  He also is no lock to stick in the rotation, as the Padres could acquire a starter or two to bolster their staff and also look willing to juggle things throughout the season as need be.
  • Justin Upton went 3-4 with 1 RBI and 3 R, his second 3 H game in his past three games (6 R over that span).  Since his tremendous start Upton has seemingly disappeared.  Remember, he has 12 HR and 19 RBI in April.  Now, he has 1 HR since May 18 with only 10 RBI over that span.  He has regressed in the strikeout department (26.4%), hasn’t been generating extra base hits (10 doubles, 2 triples) and still owns a HR/FB that can continue to regress (20.0%).  He’s better then he’s currently showing, but chances are he doesn’t come close to matching that April magic the rest of the way.
  • Patrick Corbin’s line is a little bit deceiving, because he allowed 4 base runners to reach base I the seventh inning in the pouring rain, before the game ultimately went into a lengthy delay.  When the game restarted, all would end up scoring leaving him with a final line of 5 ER on 6 H and 1 BB, striking out 4, over 6.0 IP.  It was his first loss of the season, falling to 9-1 with a 2.49 ERA.  Of course, he’s benefitted from a .243 BABIP (despite a 20.4% line drive rate) and 80.3% strand rate, so last night could be just the beginning of a regression.  Selling high on him makes a lot of sense.
  • The Mets’ Josh Satin has been scorching hot and gives the team an excuse to keep Ike Davis (who has started to struggle) marinating at Triple-A.  He went 1-3 with 1 RBI and 2 R yesterday and now owns an eight game hitting streak (13-30 with 5 RBI and 5 R).  It’s nice to see him hitting, but he’s not going to keep this up and eventually will lose his job.  In other words, don’t go crazy trying to acquire him.
  • Kendrys Morales enjoyed a monster day at the plate, going 3-5 with 2 HR, 6 RBI and 2 R.  He’s hitting .282 with 11 HR and 48 RBI on the season, though he’s been very hit or miss with a big May (5 HR, 23 RBI) and a relatively quiet June (1 HR, 9 RBI).  Considering he’s almost matched the latter in just one game, you have to think that July could be another special month.  He’s not a must use option, but should be active while he’s hot.
  • It’s nice to see Brian Roberts contribute, going 1-4 with 1 HR, 1 RBI and 1 R.  He’s currently hitting ninth for the Orioles and is anyone willing to trust him staying healthy?  Use him while you can, but don’t expect much.
  • John Danks was solid for his second straight start, allowing 2 ER on 6 H and 1 BB, striking out 4, over 7.0 IP to defeat the Orioles and improve to 2-5 with a 4.38 ERA.  Considering his 4.14 career ERA, unrealistic 0.91 BB/9 and believable luck metrics (.269 BABIP, 72.8% strand rate), there’s no reason to think he’s anything more than he’s currently showing.
  • Alex Gordon has not quite been what fantasy owners had hoped for, but it’s not like he has been terrible either.  After going 2-4 with 1 HR, 4 RBI and 1 R he’s now hitting .288 with 8 HR, 46 RBI, 44 R and 4 SB on the season.  Remember, after the All-Star Break he hit .316 with 9 HR and 7 SB a year ago, so he could just be getting going once again.
  • Robinson Cano went 2-4 with 1 HR, 3 RBI and 1 R, his third straight game with a HR (7-12, 4 HR, 7 RBI, 6 R over the three games).  With the rest of the lineup in shambles, the Yankees need Cano to continue producing in order to try staying in the race.
  • Phil Hughes kept the ball in the ballpark and had good results.  He allowed 1 ER on 6 H and 2 BB, striking out 3, over 7.0 IP and now owns a 3.38 ERA on the road and a 5.86 ERA at home.  Could he be a streaming option only in road starts?  Don’t rule it out.
  • It was a tremendous start for David Price in his first off the DL, shutting down the Astros for 7.0 innings allowing just 3 H and 0 BB while striking out 10.  Yes, it was against Houston but that doesn’t make it any less impressive.  We all knew that he was better than he showed prior to hitting the DL and this could easily be just the start of things to come.
  • The struggles continued for Roy Oswalt, allowing 5 ER on 9 H and 1 BB, striking out 5, over 5.0 innings against the Dodgers.  He now owns a 7.88 ERA in three starts and you have to wonder if the Rockies are going to start seriously considering importing another starter.  He’s worth stashing, just in case he can figure it out, but things aren’t looking good thus far.
  • We keep waiting for Yasiel Puig to slow down and he just keeps hitting as he went 3-5 with 1 HR, 1 RBI and 2 R yesterday.  He has to hit a cold stretch sooner or later, doesn’t he?
  • Is Lance Lynn hitting a similar cold stretch to his 2012 struggles that ultimately saw him removed from the rotation?  He allowed 5 ER on 8 H and 1 BB, striking out 8, over 6.0 IP and has now allowed 9 ER over his past two starts.  While it’s been a rough stretch, there’s nothing unbelievable in his numbers and he should right the ship before long.  Stick with him.
  • Derek Norris played hero for the A’s, going 2-3 with 1 HR, 3 RBI and 2 R.  He’s struggled this season, hitting just .203, and shares tie behind the plate with John Jaso.  There’s still potential, with the ability to hit for some power and steal a few bases, but it’s hard to trust him outside of AL-only formats.  The upside makes him worth stashing in two-catcher formats, however.

Bullpen Notes:

  • Kevin Gausman pitched an inning out of the bullpen, allowing 1 H with 1 K.  With the team acquiring Scott Feldman yesterday, you have to wonder if it means Gausman will be banished to the bullpen for the foreseeable future.  He’ll hold little value there and, as a rookie, is going to be a risky option if/when he returns to the rotation.  In other words, fantasy owners should look towards another option at this point.

 

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3 Responses to Around the Majors: July 2, 2013: Homer Bailey Twirls No-Hitter, David Price Returns In Style & More

  1. carlito says:

    u need to do a piece on Josh Donaldson…..

  2. WJ says:

    Kershaw tosses a CG shutout and there is NO mention of it? He had 8K, 0BB, 4H (all singles) and no mention of it? other than Homer Bailey that was the biggest performance yesterday. it was arguably just as good as Bailey’s performance. No mention of Kershaw? i don’t get it unless the primary goal is to highlight lesser known players or players who aren’t superstars or who are coming off injury.

  3. Rotoprofessor says:

    carlito – Absolutely. I’ll take a closer look at him in the coming days.

    WJ – I’ll talk about bigger names, when there is something to say. We all know how awesome Kershaw is and it is impossible for us to cover every single player in these daily articles. Kershaw is among the Top 2 or 3 starters in the league.

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