480 At Bats
.290 Batting Average (139 Hits)
21 Home Runs
13 Stolen Bases
.317 On Base Percentage
.475 Slugging Percentage
.296 Batting Average on Balls in Play
He signed out of Cuba and originally it appeared that he would play immediately for the White Sox. A slow start (.138 in 29 April AB) caused some to lose faith, but as the season wore on Ramirez started to heat up, quickly proving just how valuable he could be.
This season he shifts to SS, adding to his value due to positional flexibility (he is eligible at 2B from last season). He also proved to have plenty of power and speed, though I have my concerns on if it can continue at this pace. In seven seasons in Cuba, he hit just 87 HR. Obviously, it’s an extremely different game, but it is still worth noting.
Yes, his 13.8% HR/FB is believable, as is his 36.6% FB%. Maybe he was just a 26-year old who found his groove, but at the same time, maybe not. He did only hit 22 doubles and 2 triples, so it is not like he was an extra base machine.
There’s also concern with the RBI, as four of his HR were Grand Slams (a rookie record). Obviously, you just can’t expect that again, which could influence his RBI potential. I would expect more AB, which could offset a decreased rate, so don’t look for a dramatic falloff.
.295 (152-515), 20 HR, 73 RBI, 84 R, 19 SB, .309 BABIP, .328 OBP, .474 SLG
He spent the majority of his time hitting towards the bottom of the order last season and there have been rumblings that the same could hold true in 2009. I don’t fully believe that, expecting him to be near the top by mid-season, at the latest, which is why I have him where he is in the runs scored department. Still, that will have an adverse affect on his RBI.
I’m expecting about the same in power, average and speed, making him a SS option well worth owning. No, I don’t think he’s going to step up and join the conversation with Hanley Ramirez, Jose Reyes and Jimmy Rollins, but after that, he has the potential to be the best of the bunch. Given the flexibility he provides, that certainly makes him a great buy on draft day.
What does everyone else think? How much do you expect him to surpass my projections?
Picture courtesy of Icon Sports Media, Inc.