2014 Rankings: Top 45 Outfielders: #16-30

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

Last week we started taking a look at the Top 45 outfielders in baseball (click here to view #1-15).  Who just missed out on that list?  Who can we target as an OF2 or OF3 with the upside of more?  Let’s take a look at the next 15 outfielders on our rankings:

16. Jason Heyward – Atlanta Braves
17. Wil Myers – Tampa Bay Rays
18. Michael Cuddyer – Colorado Rockies
19. Alex Gordon – Kansas City Royals
20. Josh Hamilton – Los Angeles Angels
21. Allen Craig – St. Louis Cardinals
22. Curtis Granderson – New York Mets
23. Yoenis Cespedes – Oakland A’s
24. Carlos Beltran – New York Yankees
25. Jayson Werth – Washington Nationals
26. Shin-Soo Choo – Texas Rangers
27. Jose Bautista – Toronto Blue Jays
28. Mark Trumbo – Arizona Diamondbacks
29. Shane Victorino – Boston Red Sox
30. Domonic Brown – Philadelphia Phillies


  • The “negative” with Jason Heyward is that it looks like he is going to be hitting atop the Braves lineup, as opposed to hitting in the middle of it.  While that does provide more upside in the runs scored department (100+ is possible), it is going to make RBI tough to come by.  Obviously the potential is there to be one of the better options, but his position in the order does keep him out of the Top 15.
  • Domonic Brown had a breakout 2013 campaign, hitting .272 with 27 HR.  That said, does anyone really believe a 19.3% HR/FB?  The power is going to fall, so paying for his breakout doesn’t make sense.
  • There are some major questions facing Jose Bautista as we head into 2014, mainly about his health and power.  He’s had his season end prematurely in back-to-back seasons due to injury and his HR/FB fell under 20%.  Could his wrist injury from 2012 permanently taken some of his power?  It’s definitely not impossible.
  • We recently took a quick look at Yoenis Cespedes (and Desmond Jennings, who fell just short of this part of the list) to see if he would bounce back in 2014 or not.  Take a look at that by clicking here.
  • Michael Cuddyer benefited from a .382 BABIP in 2013.  Obviously that’s not about to be repeated, but he should continue to hit for a strong average to go along with power in the middle of the Rockies’ lineup.  As long as he stays healthy he should provide Top 20 production.

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Make sure to check out all of our 2014 rankings:


  1. Marky Mark says:

    Are you assuming that Matt Kemp won’t be healthy this year, or that he’s simply not that good anymore?

    • Rotoprofessor says:

      He comes in just short of the Top 30, based on his health and that he won’t be healthy for the start of the season. As we get closer and have a better idea of where things stand for Opening Day, he could easily jump into the Top 30.

    • J says:

      Yeah, I definitely can’t get behind ranking Kemp so low. Nevermind that I’d probably take him at the top of this list.

      But outside the top 30 puts him outside the top 100 overall. No way I’d take someone like Dom Brown or Werth ahead of him.

      • Rotoprofessor says:

        The problem with Kemp is that, right now, I have him projected at just 425 AB due to health concerns (and the Dodgers trying to force 4 outfielders into three spots). I could definitely see them easing him into action and there’s a chance that he’s not going to be ready for Opening Day.

        Once we have an idea of his health, as Spring Training approaches, he will likely move up the rankings. At this early stage I can admit that I’m being conservative, but he will be reevaluated consistently as we get more news.

        • Jmax says:

          Just read the he WON’T be ready opening day. Already off to a poor start

          • Rotoprofessor says:

            Yep, though how much time he’ll miss remains to be seen. Like I said, at this point it makes sense to be conservative and get a better idea of exactly what we are going to get.

            That said, given their depth, would it be surprising for him to play 2 out of every 3 days early as he continues to get healthy?

  2. Alex says:

    So Choo, who was a top 5 OF last year moves to Texas and gets significantly worse? If given the choice, I’m taking Choo over Werth, Cuddyer, Granderson. I’m a fan of your site and read almost every post and usually agree with you. But, I have to question some of these OF rankings…

    • Rotoprofessor says:

      Alex, first off thank you for the support. It is much appreciated!

      Secondly, in regards to Choo I have several concerns heading into this seaosn:

      1) Fly ball rates under 30% each of the past two seasons could easily mean a power regression
      2) Struggles against LHP the past two seasons (.199 & .215)
      3) He also hasn’t been the biggest speed option in the past and it wouldn’t be shocking if he was under 20 SB (career high in 22)

      He’s a very good option, but in my opinion there are red flags that would cause me to be cautious with him (and I was a Choo owner a year ago)

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