2014 Dynasty Rankings: Top 20 First Basemen

First base has always been considered the deepest position for fantasy owners.  That said, while there are some younger options developing in the Majors there aren’t many impressive prospects on the horizon.  That’s not to say that there aren’t some intriguing names, but no one that is going to make you bypass those who have already established themselves.  Sure, taking the gamble on a younger option like Jose Daniel Abreu or Matt Adams could make a lot of sense, but they are primed to make an impact in 2014 anyways.

With that in mind, let’s take a look at how our dynasty rankings look:

  1. Paul Goldschmidt – Arizona Diamondbacks (26-years old)
  2. Chris Davis – Baltimore Orioles (28-years old)
  3. Freddie Freeman – Atlanta Braves (24-years old)
  4. Joey Votto – Cincinnati Reds (30-years old)
  5. Prince Fielder – Texas Rangers (29-years old)
  6. Edwin Encarnacion – Toronto Blue Jays (31-years old)
  7. Buster Posey – San Francisco Giants (27-years old)
  8. Anthony Rizzo – Chicago Cubs (24-years old)
  9. Eric Hosmer – Kansas City Royals (24-years old)
  10. Carlos Santana – Cleveland Indians (27-years old)
  11. Albert Pujols – Los Angeles Angels (34-years old)
  12. Jose Daniel Abreu – Chicago White Sox (26-years old)
  13. Matt Adams – St. Louis Cardinals (25-years old)
  14. Adrian Gonzalez – Los Angeles Dodgers (31-years old)
  15. Brandon Belt – San Francisco Giants (25-years old)
  16. Allen Craig – St. Louis Cardinals (29-years old)
  17. Mark Trumbo – Arizona Diamondbacks (28-years old)
  18. Mark Teixeira – New York Yankees (33-years old)
  19. Jonathan Singleton – Houston Astros (22-years old)
  20. Justin Morneau – Colorado Rockies (32-years old)

Thoughts:

  • While the power hasn’t fully developed for Freddie Freeman, yet, it should in time.  Couple that with the ability to hit for a big average (line drive rates of 26.0% and 26.7% over the past two seasons) and what’s not to like?  He hit 14 HR in the second half last season, so maybe he’ll put it all together in 2014.  For more on Freeman, check out our recent write-up by clicking here.
  • If there’s a decision to be made between Anthony Rizzo and Eric Hosmer, 99 out of 100 owners are probably going to take Hosmer.  Me?  I’m going Rizzo because I’m not a believer in Hosmer’s power (under 30% fly ball rate the past two seasons).  As for Rizzo, his .233 average came courtesy of a .258 BABIP and he’s already shown more power potential.  Could Hosmer ultimately be the better option?  Perhaps, but I wouldn’t call it a sure thing.
  • Posey’s value is boosted because of his eligibility at catcher.  If he were strictly a 1B, he’d probably come in just below Hosmer.
  • There is a lot of unknown surrounding Jose Daniel Abreu, but we all know he has significant power upside and he could develop into one of the better options in the league.  With the ability to get a dependable option in the later rounds to pair with him, he’s a player worth gambling on.
  • Keep in mind that usable options such as Nick Swisher, Corey Hart, Adam Laroche and Mike Napoli all fell short of making the list.  As far as pure prospects go, Jonathan Singleton is the only one who was considered but there’s a lot of risk surrounding him as well and he’s hardly a sure thing.  That said, with the pure number of options you can get later on he’s well worth the gamble.

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Make sure to check out all of our 2014 rankings:

7 comments

  1. jmax says:

    I think Pujols comes back healthy and ends the year a lot higher in the ranks. Maybe top 6 or 7

  2. Marky Mark says:

    I’m debating between Pujols and Kemp for my last keeper spot. I’m guessing it will go down to the last minute before I make a decision.

  3. Rotoprofessor says:

    jmax – Wouldn’t surprise me at all. We’ll actually be talking about expectations for him in the next few days.

    Marky Mark – What are the keeper rules? Long-term, Kemp still has the higher upside but for 2014 I’d lean Pujols…

    • Marky Mark says:

      We can keep anyone for as long as we like with no penalties.

      I’m leaning towards Kemp for this year, because I’m reasonably expecting Rizzo, Hosmer, Abreu, and Belt to all be available in the draft too. Any of those guys is an upgrade over Pujols for the future certainly, and maybe even for this year. I’m thinking my decision depends largely on how Albert looks this spring…

      • Rotoprofessor says:

        That’s fair, just be prepared to have Kemp on your bench a bit early on.

        • Marky Mark says:

          I’m already keeping Braun, Ellsbury, and J. Upton for my LF/CF/RF spots…so if I do keep Kemp, it’s just a matter of finding anyone to fill the UT spot until he’s ready.

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