2014 Dynasty Rankings: Top 40 Outfielders: #1-20

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

Outfield is full of young players with tremendous upside.  How do we balance the youngsters with unlimited potential against the veterans who have done it over the years?  It’s a tough dynamic, but one that we need to dig into.  Let’s take a look at how our rankings currently look:

  1. Mike Trout – Los Angeles Angels (22-years old)
  2. Andrew McCutchen – Pittsburgh Pirates (27-years old)
  3. Bryce Harper – Washington Nationals (21-years old)
  4. Jay Bruce – Cincinnati Reds (26-years old)
  5. Giancarlo Stanton – Miami Marlins (24-years old)
  6. Carlos Gonzalez – Colorado Rockies (28-years old)
  7. Ryan Braun – Milwaukee Brewers (30-years old)
  8. Yaisel Puig – Los Angeles Dodgers (23-years old)
  9. Wil Myers – Tampa Bay Rays (23-years old)
  10. Jason Heyward – Atlanta Braves (24-years old)
  11. Adam Jones – Baltimore Orioles (28-years old)
  12. Justin Upton – Arizona Diamondbacks (26-years old)
  13. Yoenis Cespedes – Oakland A’s (28-years old)
  14. Carlos Gomez – Milwaukee Brewers (28-years old)
  15. Jacoby Ellsbury – New York Yankees (30-years old)
  16. Byron Buxton – Minnesota Twins (20-years old)
  17. George Springer – Houston Astros (24-years old)
  18. Christian Yelich – Miami Marlins (22-years old)
  19. Hunter Pence – San Francisco Giants (30-years old)
  20. Billy Hamilton – Cincinnati Reds (23-years old

Thoughts:

  • You could argue moving Bryce Harper up to the #2 spot on these rankings, and he certainly has the ceiling for it.  That said, is there really a guarantee that he reaches that total ceiling, given the breakneck speed he plays at and risk of injury it brings with it?  Compared to Andrew McCutchen, who has several top seasons in front of him and is already one of the elite, it would be a very tough decision.
  • I know there are going to be people who want to push Puig even further up the rankings (putting him in the same tier as Harper).  He definitely had an impressive rookie campaign (.319, 19 HR, 11 SB over 382 AB), but does anyone buy into a .383 BABIP or the power, given his 50.2% groundball rate?  He’s going to be a very good player, but a Top 4-5 outfielder for the forseeable future?  I wouldn’t be so sure…
  • Power is becoming harder and harder to come by, and that helps to elevate a pair of young sluggers in Jay Bruce and Giancarlo Stanton.  Both could routinely hit 35+ HR for the next several seasons.
  • Adam Jones is a Top 10 outfielder for 2014, but how long will it be before he falls behind guys like Myers, Heyward and Puig?  Considering he hit .267 with 14 HR in the second half of ’13 (and has shown limited fly ball rates the past two seasons at 32.6% and 32.0%), it could come sooner than you think.
  • While Ellsbury is going to get a little bump moving to Yankee Stadium, he’s a 30-year old with an injury history that depends on his legs.  You have to consider that a risky proposition.
  • The question regarding Springer is if he is going to be able to make contact on a consistent basis in the Major Leagues (27.3% in the minors last season).  That said, how do we not love that power/speed combination, with 37 HR and 46 SB last season?  The upside is extremely alluring and you can argue that he’s worth the gamble even higher on this list.  The average is obviously a concern, which suppresses him slightly, but not enough.

*** Make sure to order Rotoprofessor’s 2014 Fantasy Baseball Draft Guide and be entered to win an autographed David Price mini bat!  The guide comes complete with projections of over 600 players, expended rankings, sleepers, Top 50 prospects and so much more (including constant updates up until opening day).  For just $6 you will get everything you need to dominate your fantasy league!  For more information and to place your order, click here. ***

Make sure to check out all of our 2014 rankings:

10 comments

  1. costaricanchata says:

    appreciate that your opinion on puig reflects some restraint .
    way over-hyped , imo , and have seen him drafted in the 2nd and 3rd rounds .
    almost makes me wish that i was playing in more re-draft leagues this year .
    for that kind of risk , i’d rather bet that
    ellsbury out-performs him in every category in 2014 .

  2. Corey says:

    This is my first season in fantasy baseball and I inherited an auction/keeper team that uses OPS. We have a $300 draft budget.

    I can keep 6 of the following:
    David Wright $29
    Dustin Pedroia $27
    Ian Kinsler $26
    Jay Bruce $23
    Anibal Sanchez $11
    Starlin Castro $10
    Jayson Werth $2

    I feel like I should keep Wright, Pedroia, Sanchez, and Castro but then struggle with the last two spots. I’m leaning Bruce and Kinsler but Werth seems like a steal at $2 and he will probably end up with about the same numbers.

    Anyway. General thoughts on this situation and advice for a beginner are appreciated.

    • Corey says:

      Oh, I should have mentioned it’s a 10 team league.

    • Rotoprofessor says:

      Before giving a definitive answer, what’s the roster size? 5 OF?

      • Corey says:

        Yes. The three positions and two general spots.

        • Rotoprofessor says:

          ok, cool. I actually think the top guys are a little overvalued (though by just a few $$), outside of Jay Bruce. Just out of curiosity, what other options do you have?

          Every league is different and there are two different schools of thought. 1) Keep your top players and a lot of money. 2) Keep your best “value” and go in with ample ammunition to outbid your opponents.

          • Corey says:

            Yeah. I don’t yet know which way these guys tend to lean.

            Wilin Rosario $1
            Kendrys Morales $1
            Brett Lawrie $21 (Which I feel is way overvalued)
            Alfonso Soriano $1
            Dexter Fowler $5
            Coco Crisp $8
            Erick Aybar $9
            Nate Schierholtz $7
            Donnie Murphy $1
            Kris Medlen $15
            Ian Kennedy $11
            Jacob Turner $1
            Travis Wood $1
            Addison Reed $11
            Huston Street $6
            Brett Anderson $8

            With those above, that’s everybody.

          • Corey says:

            Bump

          • Rotoprofessor says:

            It all depends on the strategy you want to use. Rosario at $1 is a bargain (especially in 2-catcher formats), though in a shallow one-catcher league not a necessity.

            He’s the only one I’d consider out of that second group, just at first glance.

            Bruce & Werth are both good values, so those two would be must keeps for me.

            Same thing wit Anibal Sanchez,

            Wright/Pdroia/Kinsler are fair value (more or less), you just aren’t getting an advantage from them.

            I would definitely keep Bruce/Werth/Sanchez. Rosario at $1 I would as well, because you aren’t going to get him any cheaper than that.

            After that, there’s no “value”, so you could keep Wright, Pdroia or Castro depending on preference.

          • Corey says:

            Thanks for the advice. I really appreciate it.

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