by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)
We’re going to try something a little different this week with the two-start pitchers. Since we all know the big names, it’s a waste of time talking about whether Masahiro Tanaka or Stephen Strasburg are worth using. However, what about those who are not owned in the majority of formats? Let’s take a look at the pitchers owned in 40% or less of CBS leagues to determine if there is any under-the-radar value:
Wei-Yin Chen – Baltimore Orioles
at Pittsburgh, vs. Cleveland
He doesn’t generate many strikeouts (6.97 K/9 for his career) and he continues to get hit relatively hard (24.5% line drive rate in ’14), but he does have great control (2.54 BB/9) so there is a little bit of a balance. The matchups are going to be the tipping point, and they are not too scary:
- Pittsburgh – .265 average against LHP (11th in the league), but just 27 runs scored and 5 HR
- Cleveland – league worst .211 average and .326 SLG against LHP
He’s actually been significantly better in May as well, with a 16.9% line drive rate in three starts helping him to a 2.60 ERA and 1.21 WHIP. With his control, you would expect an above average WHIP and with decent matchups he’s not an awful risk to take.
It all depends on your alternatives, but he’s not a bad streamer for the week.
Please note, with Miguel Gonzalez ready to return to the Orioles rotation Chen is not a guarantee to make two-starts this week. That doubt makes him a more questionable streamer.
Jake Odorizzi – Tampa Bay Rays
vs. Oakland, vs. Boston
He hasn’t given up a run in his last two outings (11.0 IP), but that was against the Indians and Mariners. This week he draws significantly better offenses. Both the A’s and Red Sox find themselves in the top half of the league in runs scored and both are capable of hitting the ball out of the ballpark. With a strikeout rate that he’s not going to maintain (10.24 K/9), it’s hard to recommend him.
Felix Doubront – Boston Red Sox
vs. Toronto, at Tampa Bay
He’s a pitcher that has always taunted us with his strikeout rate, but he is incredibly inconsistent. As it is, the strikeout potential hasn’t been there this season (6.8% SwStr%) and he’s always prone to a blowup. There’s just too big of a risk to make him worth rolling the dice on.
Colby Lewis – Texas Rangers
vs. Seattle, at Detroit
Whenever a pitcher has the Tigers on your schedule, you have to think twice about using him. Couple that matchup with a pitcher who owns a 4.99 ERA and 1.70 WHIP? Is there any reason to go any further?
Not worth even considering:
- Franklin Morales – Colorado Rockies – vs. SF, at Atl
- Andre Rienzo – Chicago White Sox – at KC, vs. NYY
- Scott Carroll – Chicago White Sox – at KC, vs. NYY
Sources – CBS Sports, Fangraphs, MLB.com