10 Stories From 06/14/14 Box Scores: Adams Showing Off His Power, Duffy Dominate & More

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

First off, we at Rotoprofessor want to wish everyone a Happy Father’s Day!  As for what took place on the field, we saw Mat Latos shine in his first start off the DL (6.0 shutout innings allowing 2 H and 0 BB, striking out 4).  What else took place that we need to know about?  Let’s take a look:

 

1) Should Danny Duffy be considered “for real” after his gem…
Over 7.0 shutout innings against the White Sox he allowed just 5 H and 1 BB, striking out 9.  While he has had some good starts, this was by far his best in 2014.  That said he entered the day with a .216 BABIP despite a 22.2% line drive rate, so there obviously is a bit of luck in his 2.83 ERA and 1.11 WHIP.  He hadn’t flashed his strikeout potential, though the promise was definitely there for more than the 6.32 K/9 he entered with (despite his 5.9% SwStr% hiding it).  Outside of the luck the biggest question was his control (4.02 BB/9), which he was able to display yesterday.  There is a significant risk for regression, which limits Duffy’s value, but in keeper formats there is definite potential.

 

2) Could Sergio Romo be pitching his way out of the closers role…
That may be a bit extreme, but for the second consecutive day he struggled, blew the save and took the loss.  Yesterday he allowed 2 ER on 2 H (including a home run to Brandon Barnes, which was an inside the park home run due to a defensive miscue) in his inning of work and has now allowed 7 ER over 1.1 IP in the past two days.  It was his third straight day pitching, which could’ve been a factor, and while his 5.08 ERA looks pathetic it was just 3.00 two days ago.  It’s been a terrible stretch, but unless there’s a physical issue there is no question that he is going to remain the closer.  Don’t panic.

 

3) Samuel Deduno hasn’t figured it out after all…
Well, no pitcher really impressed in yesterday’s game as the Tigers and Twins combined for 21 runs on 31 hits.  Deduno was downright awful, however, allowing 7 ER on 7 H and 2 BB, striking out 3, over 2.2 IP.  He allowed a pair of home runs, to Eugenio Suarez (3-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI, 3 R, and was a single short of the cycle) and Victor Martinez (3-5, 1 HR, 2 RBI, 1 R).  Deduno has now allowed 12 ER over 5.2 IP in his last two starts and, with Alex Meyer waiting in the wings, could have pitched his way out of the rotation.  Meyer, however, struggled on Friday allowing 3 ER on 5 H and 2 BB over just 2.0 IP and is hardly a guarantee (4.18 BB/9).  It’ll be interesting to see how this plays out, but for now it’s a situation to steer clear of.

 

4) Has Kevin Kiermaier become fantasy relevant…
He’s settled into the Rays’ second spot of the order and, while he was caught stealing yesterday, has the potential to be a sneaky source of SB.  He went 2-4 with 2 R and is now hitting .362 with 3 HR, 4 RBI, 7 R and 1 SB.  The power is not indicative of his actual upside (he’s never hit more than 6 HR in a season in the minors), but he did have 11 SB prior to being recalled (and stole as many as 27 in a minor league season).  Of course he also entered the day with a .421 BABIP, despite a meager 10.0% line drive rate, and was striking out 21.7%.  There’s going to be some hype building around his strong start, but don’t buy into it.  His bubble is going to burst before we know it.

 

5) The Mets offense is simply pathetic…
I can sit here and sing the praise of Jesse Hahn, who was recalled to make his second start and looked like an All-Star as he fired 6.0 innings of one hit baseball with 7 K and 3 BB.  Sure there’s some potential, whether it’s Daniel Murphy or David Wright, but overall they are simply pathetic.  To make matters worse, Zack Wheeler struggled against a weak hitting Padres’ team allowing 4 ER on 6 H and 3 BB, striking out 4, over 5.0 IP.  He now has a 4.38 ERA and 1.42 WHIP, with control being the biggest concern.  There’s upside, but he’s clearly not there yet.  He’s going to have his stellar outings, but also blowups and until he can find consistency he’s going to be more of a backend/streaming option despite the strikeout numbers.

 

6) Jordy Mercer has quietly started producing…
He went 2-5 with 1 HR, 2 RBI and 2 R and now has RBI in three straight games.  He was actually hitting sixth yesterday, ahead of Pedro Alvarez (2-5, 1 R), and is now hitting .320 with 3 HR, 9 RBI and 11 R in June.  One of our preseason sleepers, his biggest issue thus far has been a lack of line drives (13.4%, with a 54.8% groundball rate).  He definitely has the potential to keep us this type of production, however, with some pop (he hit 19 HR in ’11) and a solid average (.275 at Triple-A).  If you need help in the middle infield he’s worth grabbing.

 

7) Garrett Richards impresses, but Ernesto Frieri implodes…
Richards put the Angels in position to win, tossing 6.0 shutout innings allowing 4 H and 3 BB to go along with 10 K.  He entered the day with an 8.49 K/9, a very realistic number considering his 11.0% SwStr% (he generated 15 swings and misses yesterday), and a 2.98 BB/9.  Throw in a solid 47.3% groundball rate and there is an awful lot to like.  He was denied the W when Frieri came in with a 4 run lead and failed to record an out, getting charged with 4 ER on 5 H.  He had been dominating of late, so there shouldn’t be any concern about his job, but if someone in your league already cut bait on Joe Smith you may want to scoop him up just in case this is the start of a slide.

 

8) Leonys Martin moves to the leadoff spot…
He went 2-4 with 1 RBI and 2 SB (he was caught once) yesterday and would certainly benefit from sticking in the spot.  Rangers’ manager Ron Washington has been quoted in the past as saying that he wants to keep Martin out of the leadoff spot due to his style of hitting, but injuries may have necessitated the move.  Was it a one-time appearance or is he going to stick there?  Time will tell, but hitting in front of Shin-Soo Choo, Adrian Beltre and Alex Rios should help him score significantly more runs (and he could be allowed to run a little bit more).

 

9) Matt Adams continues to show off his power…
Prior to hitting the DL, despite hitting for an impressive average there were concerns regarding Adams since he had yet to contribute in the power department.  He went 1-4 with 1 HR, 1 RBI and 1 R yesterday and has now homered in back-to-back games since returning to the Cardinals lineup.  He entered the day with a 6.3% HR/FB, despite significant power (21.8% mark last season), so we shouldn’t be surprised if this power surge continues.

 

10) Is Manny Machado finally starting to warm up…
He still faces a suspension, but after going 2-4 (1 double) yesterday he’s now 6-11 with 1 R in his past three games (including one double in each game).  Even more importantly, he hasn’t struck out during this streak.  While the rest of the numbers aren’t there yet, like RBI or R, at least he’s showing signs.  He entered the day with a 53.2% groundball rate, as well as an unlucky .264 BABIP (20.2% line drive rate).  Things should continue to improve, so don’t give up on him.

 

Sources – ESPN, Fangraphs, MLB.com, MILB.com, Minor League Central

One comment

  1. chris says:

    There was an ESPN article published on the 10th where Matt Adams says he will stop trying to beat the shift and just pull for homers. Expect 15 HRs the rest of season for Adams easy.

    I kind of regret moving him off my team because I am a big fan, but 1B is deep and I already have Belt and Singleton.

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