by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)
With the All-Star game closing in, now is the perfect time to start looking at our updated Rest of Season rankings. Who’s worth buying? Who isn’t? Let’s take a look (the number in parenthesis was the players preseason ranking):
1) Troy Tulowitzki – Colorado Rockies (2)
2) Hanley Ramirez – Los Angeles Dodgers (1)
3) Starlin Castro – Chicago Cubs (9)
4) Ian Desmond – Washington Nationals (3)
5) Jose Reyes – Toronto Blue Jays (4)
6) Dee Gordon – Los Angeles Dodgers (29)
7) Jimmy Rollins – Philadelphia Phillies (12)
8) Alexei Ramirez – Chicago White Sox (18)
9) Jhonny Peralta – St. Louis Cardinals (17)
10) Alcides Escoabar – Kansas City Royals (13)
11) Elvis Andrus – Texas Rangers (7)
12) Asdrubal Cabrera – Cleveland Indians (10)
13) Jean Segura – Milwaukee Brewers (5)
14) Ben Zobrist – Tampa Bay Rays (8)
15) J.J. Hardy – Baltimore Orioles (14)
16) Jed Lowrie – Oakland A’s (16)
17) Erick Aybar – Los Angeles Angels (20)
18) Andrelton Simmons – Atlanta Braves (11)
19) Brad Miller – Seattle Mariners (15)
20) Xander Bogaerts – Boston Red Sox (NR)
- Ian Desmond has struggled with strikeouts this season, and it’s been a consistent issue (over 30% in all but one month). While he’s continued to hit for power as well as chip in some stolen bases, it’s going to completely limit him from an average standpoint. While it doesn’t erase his value, it could send him spiraling if the power were to dry up.
- The season has been a bitter disappointment for Jean Segura. While we all expected the power to regress, no one could’ve expected the average to plummet the way it has. While we’d expect a better BABIP (.261), it’s not like he is a line drive machine (18.3% after an 18.0% mark in ’13). As they always say, you can’t steal first base. Until he shows signs of improving his average, his value is going to be limited.
- Would it surprise you to find out that Alcides Escobar (.287, 2 HR, 28 RBI, 40 R, 21 SB) and Elvis Andrus (.269, 2 HR, 22 RBI, 49 R, 19 SB) have extremely similar lines thus far? Which player has more upside moving forward? It’s actually extremely close, though we do have to take into account Andrus’ history of regressing in the second half of the season. That gives Escobar a slight edge for me, though it really could go either way. We looked at this comparison about a month ago, coming to the same conclusion (click here to view).
- J.J. Hardy has finally broken through in the power department, but he’s also benefited from a .335 BABIP despite a 17.9% line drive rate. While there’s hope for more power to come, it’s hardly a given and there’s actually a good chance of an overall regression.
- It’s easy to overlook Jhonny Peralta, who has contributed 13 HR based on a realistic 13.4% HR/FB. Obviously that alone doesn’t justify pushing him up the rankings, but he owns a 21.4% line drive rate and just a .264 BABIP. In other words, there’s a lot more upside in his numbers moving forward.
- Everth Cabrera had performed poorly to begin with, and a trip to the DL with a hamstring strain just further hampers him. If healthy he has the potential to make a significant impact, mostly with his legs, but that’s a big if right now.
Source – Fangraphs
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