Updated 2014 Rest of Season Rankings: Top 20 First Basemen

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

Has any position been hit harder by injuries?  Paul Goldschmidt is out for the season.  Who knows when Joey Votto is going to return (or what he’ll even be able to produce).  Eric Hosmer is going to miss a bulk of time and was a borderline inclusion on these rankings the last time out anyways.  Luckily it’s a deep position, otherwise fantasy owners would be scrambling.

With that in mind, let’s take a look at our updated rankings (the number in parenthesis is our ranking from July):

1) Miguel Cabrera – Detroit Tigers (1)
2) Jose Abreu – Chicago White Sox (4)
3) Anthony Rizzo – Chicago Cubs (5)
4) Freddie Freeman – Atlanta Braves (3)
5) Edwin Encarnacion – Toronto Blue Jays (6)
6) Adrian Gonzalez – Los Angeles Dodgers (9)
7) Chris Davis – Baltimore Orioles (7)
8) Albert Pujols – Los Angeles Angels (8)
9) Carlos Santana – Cleveland Indians (14)
10) Brandon Moss – Oakland A’s (10)
11) Mark Teixeira – New York Yankees (15)
12) Matt Adams – St. Louis Cardinals (NR)
13) Victor Martinez – Detroit Tigers (11)
14) Buster Posey – San Francisco Giants (12)
15) Justin Morneau – Colorado Rockies (16)
16) Lucas Duda – New York Mets (NR)
17) Jonathan Lucroy – Milwaukee Brewers (NR)
18) Adam LaRoche – Washington Nationals (17)
19) Brandon Belt – San Francisco Giants (18)
20) Mark Trumbo – Arizona Diamondbacks (NR)

Fell off Rankings – Paul Goldschmidt (2), Joey Votto (13), Michael Morse (19), Eric Hosmer (20)

Thoughts:

  • Edwin Encarnacion is another first baseman who is currently on the DL, though he appears to be within a week or two of returning to the field.  That’s going to keep him towards the top of these rankings.
  • It has been a poor season for Chris Davis, though could he finally be turning things around?  As it is luck has played a role in his struggles (.251 BABIP, 26.5% line drive rate) and he is beginning to hit for some power (home runs in back-to-back games earlier this week).  Obviously we’d like to see the strikeouts down a bit, but don’t be surprised to see his production climb significantly over the final few weeks of the season.
  • How can we not buy into Jose Abreu and what he’s done this season?  Even with the potential regression in the power department (overall his HR/FB is 31.0%, though 11.8% since the All-Star Break), how can he not be slotted right towards the top of the rankings?
  • The question with Mark Teixeira is if he is going to be able to stay healthy or not, because the underlying numbers show a player who is producing (as it is, he’s banged up once again).  While he’s hitting .229 overall, he’s hitting for power and has been plagued by poor luck (.227 BABIP, 20.9% line drive rate).  Don’t be surprised if he has a big finish to the season, as long as he’s on the field.
  • Is anyone surprised to see the power of Victor Martinez’ falling off a bit?  He was so impressive in the first half, but the fact is he’s never proven to be that type of source of power before

Make sure to check out all of our Rest of Season Rankings:

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5 comments

  1. rich says:

    did big papi move to second base? wonderin why he aint on your expert list?

    • Rotoprofessor says:

      It all depends on your format, but with 6 games in ’13 and 4 games in ’14 he’s simply not eligible at 1B in most leagues.

  2. carlito says:

    feel like freeman had a down year…..

  3. Bbboston says:

    Rotoprofessor:

    What are your thoughts on Abreau being able to repeat ’14 performance.

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