2015 Fantasy Rankings: Top 15 First Baseman

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

There is no deeper position in fantasy sports than first base.  While there are obvious advantages in owning a player at the top of the rankings, you could go 23-24 deep and still see value.  Who’s the best options?  Who has name value, but may not be worth selecting?  Is there actually sleeper value at the position?

Let’s take a look at how things currently stand:

1. Miguel Cabrera – Detroit Tigers
2. Paul Goldschmidt – Arizona Diamondbacks
3. Jose Abreu – Chicago White Sox
4. Edwin Encarnacion – Toronto Blue Jays
5. Freddie Freeman – Atlanta Braves
6. Anthony Rizzo – Chicago Cubs
7. Adrian Gonzalez – Los Angeles Dodgers
8. Todd Frazier – Cincinnati Reds
9. Chris Davis – Baltimore Orioles
10. Victor Martinez – Detroit Tigers
11. Joey Votto – Cincinnati Reds
12. Buster Posey – San Francisco Giants
13. Albert Pujols – Los Angeles Angels
14. Matt Adams – St. Louis Cardinals
15. Mark Trumbo – Arizona Diamondbacks

 

Thoughts:

  • Recent reports have Cabrera not ready for the start of Spring Training, though it’s not yet known if he will be ready for Opening Day.  For now we are going to proceed like he’ll be on the field, though as we get more information we may need to adjust things.
  • Joey Votto’s 2014 season was marred by injury, but that’s not why he plummeted down the rankings.  His power has seemingly disappeared and he continues to be too passive in RBI opportunities (30.6% walk rate when up with runners in scoring position).  So he has diminished power, no speed and is willing to let others drive in the runs?  Sure there’s average potential, but from a first baseman that’s arguably not enough.
  • While Freddie Freeman disappointed last season (.288, 18 HR, 78 RBI), it was a second half regression (13 HR in the first half) that hurt him.  His average distance on non-groundballs (271.211) was actually up from 2013 and he’s one of the premier hitters in the league (31.0% line drive rate in ’14).  Look for a significant bounce back season.
  • Matt Adams was another player who disappointed last season, as his power was supposed to be his calling card and it completely disappeared.  You don’t just forget how to hit for power, especially at his age, so consider him a player to target in all formats with home runs down across the league.
  • It’s an impressive group of “just misses”, like Carlos Santana, Prince Fielder and Adam LaRoche.  That just shows the depth at the position, wouldn’t you say?

Make sure to check out all of our early 2015 rankings:

*** Make sure to pre-order Rotoprofessor’s 2015 Fantasy Baseball Draft Guide, complete with projections of over 500 players, expended rankings, sleepers, Top 50 prospects and so much more (including constant updates up until opening day). For just $6 you will get everything you need to dominate your fantasy league! For more information and to place your order, click here. ***

3 comments

  1. Ted Striker says:

    Won’t Freeman’s counting stats be a bit depressed this year in that rapidly depleting Braves lineup? It’s a horror show. I still think he’s in the top ten options at the position (somewhere 8-10), especially if you’re in an OBP league, but I’d rather have Rizzo or even A-Gon.

    • Rotoprofessor says:

      There will still be people on base, though, especially if Nick Markakis is healthy and if Andrelton Simmons can take the next step. I’d be more concerned about his R than his RBI, but he should be on base enough to score.

  2. Gary says:

    The first basemen equate to fantasy FB’s QB position. If you miss the first very few it is not a bad strategy the load up elsewhere. Every year Adam LaRoche puts up top ten numbers and he’ll probably do it again. He is a great fall back option that shouldn’t hurt you and possibly let you fill in good players at other positions. No one likes to wait too late though to pick up a player in this important position so coupling LaRoche with a Fielder or even an Adams might not look sexy but you’ll probably be more protected than a team that picks a top rated first basemen and depends on a wire to wire performance.

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