by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)
Did You Know:
In 2014 there were three players who posted a line drive rate of at least 28.0%:
- Freddie Freeman – 31.0%
- Nick Castellanos – 28.5%
- Daniel Murphy – 28.2%
Over the prior ten seasons there had only been two players who posted a season with a line drive rate of at least 28%:
- Placido Polanco (2005) – 28.2%
- James Loney (2013) – 29.8%
The last time a player posted a line drive rate of at least 30% was in 2003, when both Mark Loretta (30.7%) and Brian Roberts (30.2%) achieved the feat.
We aren’t going to point towards Freeman’s line drive rate as a reason to expect a bounce back, because there’s little chance that he can maintain it. That said he had posted marks of 26.0% and 26.7% the previous two years, so he obviously isn’t going to completely fall off a cliff either.
He also should benefit from increased power, as he posted an increase average distance on non-groundballs (268.168 to 271.211) and hit 43 doubles. The bounce back is coming, it’s just not because of the line drive rate.
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