Stat of the Day: Can Freddie Freeman Replicate His Elite Line Drive Rate?

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

Did You Know:
In 2014 there were three players who posted a line drive rate of at least 28.0%:

  • Freddie Freeman – 31.0%
  • Nick Castellanos – 28.5%
  • Daniel Murphy – 28.2%

Over the prior ten seasons there had only been two players who posted a season with a line drive rate of at least 28%:

  • Placido Polanco (2005) – 28.2%
  • James Loney (2013) – 29.8%

The last time a player posted a line drive rate of at least 30% was in 2003, when both Mark Loretta (30.7%) and Brian Roberts (30.2%) achieved the feat.

Thoughts:
We aren’t going to point towards Freeman’s line drive rate as a reason to expect a bounce back, because there’s little chance that he can maintain it.  That said he had posted marks of 26.0% and 26.7% the previous two years, so he obviously isn’t going to completely fall off a cliff either.

He also should benefit from increased power, as he posted an increase average distance on non-groundballs (268.168 to 271.211) and hit 43 doubles.  The bounce back is coming, it’s just not because of the line drive rate.

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