Trade Fallout: Scott Kazmir Dealt To Houston, Is A Regression On The Horizon?

Kazmir has flourished in Oakland the past two seasons, including a 2.38 ERA, 1.09 WHIP, 8.29 K/9 and 2.87 BB/9 over 109.2 IP this season.  He has had a bit of luck, though, with a .262 BABIP and 77.5% strand rate.  He’s also been significantly better at home:

  • Home – 1.36 ERA
  • Road – 3.92 ERA

He didn’t have the same type of split last season (3.62/3.46)m but then again his overall ERA was not as impressive.  More of a fly ball pitcher, it’s something to watch as he moves to a much more hitter friendly environment.  That’s not to say that he’s going to fall off a cliff, but don’t be surprised to see him pitch much closer to a 3.50-4.00 ERA as opposed to a low-2 mark.

As for what the A’s receive, both players have currently been playing at Single-A and are a little ways off:

  • Mengden – 3.46 ERA, 1.30 WHIP, 84 K, 26 BB over 88.1 IP
  • Nottingham – .326, 14 HR, 60 RBI, 48 R over 301 AB

Obviously, as a catcher, Nottingham is far more attractive off the bat.  He’s just 20-years old and has split time at two levels of Single-A, but has just 61 K vs. 21 BB on the season.  He’ll be a name to watch

Sources – Fangraphs,


  1. Etruscan says:


    • Rotoprofessor says:

      Don’t expect him to move into the rotation but who knows. He’s been pitching in relief and could actually be next up for SV if/when Clippard dealt

    • Rotoprofessor says:

      Now they’ve announced Pomeranz will stick in rotation. I wouldn’t go nuts, but we’ll take an indepth look at him in the next few days!

  2. Beans says:

    What’s up Proffessor? Would you agree with me that Betances does not have any value in a league that does not award holds. We only start one RP. I own Miller and really need the roster spot. They way I see it is unless there is an injury Miller will get the 9th inning correct? Or I could scratch the whole question and finally give up on Rollins and boot him off my bench?? Thanks for your time.

    • Rotoprofessor says:

      Yea, at this point I don’t see Betances fully overtaking Miller without another injury. Best you can ask for is a timeshare and not even sure we get to that point.

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