2016 Rankings: Top 40 Outfielders (#21-40): Upside Options, Risky Veterans & More

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

Earlier this week we took a look at #1-20 of our outfield rankings (click here to view), so who finds their way into the next 20?  Who are the players we are going to want to target and who are the big names we should be looking to avoid?  Let’s take a look:

21) Kyle Schwarber – Chicago Cubs
22) Ryan Braun – Milwaukee Brewers
23) Jacoby Ellsbury – New York Yankees
24) Gregory Polanco – Pittsburgh Pirates
25) Billy Hamilton – Cincinnati Reds
26) Jason Heyward – Chicago Cubs
27) Billy Burns – Oakland A’s
28) Delino Deshields Jr. – Texas Rangers
29) Michael Brantley – Cleveland Indians
30) Carlos Gonzalez – Colorado Rockies
31) Khris Davis – Milwaukee Brewers
32) Mark Trumbo – Baltimore Orioles
33) Curtis Granderson – New York Mets
34) Ben Revere – Washington Nationals
35) Kevin Kiermaier – Tampa Bay Rays
36) Adam Eaton – Chicago White Sox
37) Matt Holliday – St. Louis Cardinals
38) Hanley Ramirez – Boston Red Sox
39) Michael Conforto – New York Mets
40) Matt Kemp – San Diego Padres

Thoughts:

  • We all know the injury risk when we invest in Ryan Braun and Jacoby Ellsbury, so it would make sense if you don’t want to skip over them and look at alternatives. Of course we also can’t overlook the upside, considering they both could produce like Top 10 options if they stayed healthy for the entire season.
  • Jason Heyward signed a gaudy contract this offseason and often is viewed as a high upside option. Is he really, though? The power upside doesn’t appear to be there, given a 259.098 average distance on non-groundballs and 57.2% groundball rate in 2015. While he does have speed and has been making consistent contact (14.8% strikeout rate), he’s a player that someone is going to be willing to reach for thinking they are going to get a 20/20 producer.
  • Carlos Gonzalez appears primed to stay in Colorado, after Corey Dickerson was traded, which does help his outlook. That said his injury history is well known, we can’t expect him to replicate his huge second half (27 HR courtesy of a 33.3% HR/FB) and he’s no longer a threat to steal bases.
  • If Michael Brantley was healthy he’d find himself higher on these rankings. Unfortunately his outlook is a bit murky after needing shoulder surgery in the offseason. There hasn’t been a timetable revealed, but it seems likely that he’ll be sidelined for the first few weeks of the season.
  • While Khris Davis disappointed a bit in ’15, hitting .247, he slugged 27 HR over just 392 AB. If he can stay healthy would his first 30+ HR campaign be a surprise? For an in-depth look at Davis’ 2016 outlook, click here.
  • Mark Trumbo may have found the perfect landing spot as he was traded to Baltimore in the offseason. What can we expect? Take a look by clicking here.

*** Want a chance to win a Noah Syndergaard autographed baseball, complete with a “Thor” inscription?  Find out how by clicking here!! ***

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8 comments

  1. Chris says:

    Kemp finished as a top 20 OF last year, and Fowler a top 30. While I would not expect either to quite reach those goals again, I can see Kemp staying within the top 30, and Fowler in the top 40 (especially if he bats leadoff for Baltimore.)

    • Rotoprofessor says:

      Kemp has been too dependent on big second halves, something that I can’t bank on continuing. As for Fowler, I can’t rank/project him like he’s going to be in Baltimore until he actually signs.

  2. Matthew says:

    Puig isn’t a top 40 OF?

    • Rotoprofessor says:

      I will do an in depth profile in the next week or two. He didn’t miss by much, but the consistently low line drive rate coupled with the likely suspension (and other issues) did keep him just outside for me. Basically there’s too much risk for me to “gamble”

  3. Carlito says:

    eaton, holiday, gardner, trumbo

    need one in head to head

  4. Rod says:

    Dear Roto is dropping Gerardo Parra for Ben Revere a good move… Thanks

    • Rotoprofessor says:

      I’d like to own both and pick and choose my spots, but I’d stick with Revere if I could only have one

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