Dynasty League Rankings (2016): Top 40 Starting Pitchers: #21-40

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

Earlier this week we kicked off our dynasty starting pitcher rankings (click here to view). Who just missed making the Top 20? Which young pitchers have the most upside and are worth targeting? Let’s take a look at the next twenty in our rankings:

21. Zack Greinke – Arizona Diamondbacks (32-years old)
22. Yordano Ventura – Kansas City Royals (24-years old)
23. Yu Darvish – Texas Rangers (29-years old)
24. Danny Salazar – Cleveland Indians (26-years old)
25. Marcus Stroman – Toronto Blue Jays (24-years old)
26. Jon Lester – Chicago Cubs (32-years old)
27. Cole Hamels – Texas Rangers (32-years old)
28. Masahiro Tanaka – New York Yankees (27-years old)
29. Carlos Rodon – Chicago White Sox (23-years old)
30. Michael Pineda – New York Yankees (26-years old)
31. Raisel Iglesias – Cincinnati Reds (26-years old)
32. Tyson Ross – San Diego Padres (28-years old)
33. Lucas Giolito – Washington Nationals (21-years old)
34. Sonny Gray – Oakland Athletics (26-years old)
35. Kenta Maeda – Los Angeles Dodgers (27-years old)
36. Patrick Corbin – Arizona Diamondbacks (26-years old)
37. Adam Wainwright – St. Louis Cardinals (34-years old)
38. Francisco Liriano – Pittsburgh Pirates (32-years old)
39. Kevin Gausman – Baltimore Orioles (24-years old)
40. Steven Matz – New York Mets (24-years old)

Thoughts:

  • Yordano Ventura isn’t the first pitcher to be forced to spend time in the minor leagues due to struggles, so don’t let last season’s bump in the road deter you. As it is his 4.08 ERA last season was partially aided by poor luck (.307 BABIP, 20.6% line drive rate) and he showed strikeouts (8.60 K/9), control (3.20 BB/9) and groundballs (52.2%). There’s even more upside in the strikeout department and in what will be his third season in the Majors there’s a good chance he takes a significant step forward.
  • We all know that a healthy Masahiro Tanaka is one of the best pitchers in the league, but while there’s always a risk of injury he is a bit more of a ticking time bomb. We know he’s pitching through a “slight” tear of his UCL and it seems inevitable that he’s going to need Tommy John surgery. When is the question, but it helps to deflate his value.
  • Lucas Giolito ranks as our top pitching prospect, which is why he’s the first one to appear on our rankings. To view our Top 20 Pitching Prospects click here.
  • Are you a believer in Kenta Maeda? Do you think he’s going to be an ace? He should be good, but it’s much more likely that he falls outside the Top 25 among starting pitchers. For an in-depth look at him, including our 2016 projection, click here.
  • Overall the numbers may not look great for Raisel Iglesias, but his second half gives insight into just how good he can be (66.1 IP, 3.39 ERA, 10.45 K/9, 2.58 BB/9, 53.1% groundball rate). His overall 11.7% SwStr% shows that his strikeout number is for real and he’s armed with a wipe out slider that should keep the swings and misses coming. The biggest question, short-term, is how many innings he’s going to be allowed to throw.
  • Patrick Corbin returned, after missing all of 2014, and posted an 8.26 K/9, 1.80 BB/9 and 46.9% groundball rate over 85.0 IP last season. He was viewed as one of the up-and-coming starters prior to the injury and showed that he is “back” and one of the better young starters in the league.

*** Want a chance to win a Noah Syndergaard autographed baseball, complete with a “Thor” inscription?  Find out how by clicking here!! ***

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9 comments

  1. Bbboston says:

    Severino?

  2. Rotoprofessor says:

    He belongs in the same class as Gausman/Matz and was literally one of the final cuts. It goes to show you how deep SP is at this point, as he easily could’ve slotted in above either of them

    • bbboston says:

      Recent quotes from his coach and guys like Beltran, suggest greatness from a player’s or coach’s perspective – not just because of NASTY STUFF, but also because of precocious poise. The only quote I’ve read that was somewhat critical was more of a warning that he needs to learn to incorporate his off-speed stuff more, which I totally agree with having watched him pitch. He has a awesome change-up, but doesn’t trust his ability to locate it. His slider can be somewhat loopy at times. In turn, this makes him lean to heavily on in unhittable FB. That said, eventually straight heat gets anticipated and hit.

    • bbboston says:

      On a totally different note, I wonder about these “dynasty” rankings which all follow the same script (not criticizing, just observing) of essentially being the same thing as the “rankings”, but give minor adjustment due to age/dynasty consideration. A truer dynasty ranking would have to carve out anyone above a certain age based upon expected career being too short. Something like 25-27 and younger. Including someone like Adam Wainwright doesn’t seem right.

      • Rotoprofessor says:

        Just because he’s older doesn’t mean he doesn’t have value in a dynasty league. It’s not like he’s 40-years old and can’t put up a few more very good years.

        • Bbboston says:

          Ok…..but look at Severino…. The guys an ace, waiting to be acknowledged as one.

          • Rotoprofessor says:

            He’s a potential ace, there is a difference. He also needs to prove that he can work deep into games as he averaged around 5 innings per start in the minors and just over 5 in the Majors last season. Yes they wanted to conserve bullets, but it was the same story in ’14 as well.

            Could he develop into an ace? Absolutely, but it’s not a given

          • Bbbpston says:

            Agreed . Hyperbole to make a point…. In the end, no question you’re right because this is a yearly contest, but the term dynasty suggests you are building something for a prolonged period, so I’ll always struggle seeing a 33 yo on a “dynasty” list

    • Bbboston says:

      Admittedly, it’s just spring training. However Severino has thrown 11 2/3 straight shut out innings at over a strikeout per inning.

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