by Ray Kuhn
Speed. Dee Gordon has it. A lot of it in fact as Gordon is rated as the fastest player per Baseball HQ’s skills leader board.
Perhaps even more importantly, Gordon has shown the ability to translate that speed into results on the bases. In 2014 and 2015, the second baseman averaged 61 stolen bases a season while stealing 30 bases last year in 325 at bats. This production is even more valuable as steals become increasingly rare and difficult to come by in fantasy drafts.
Gordon can certainly be a difference maker in the category, but it is just one of ten. If Gordon comes up with another 60 stolen bases this season, you will still need to find roughly another 80 stolen bases to finish third. That is an average of about seven steals from your 11 other position players (excluding the catchers), and shouldn’t be too easy to manage.
That could potentially lead you to the conclusion that I would be in favor of drafting Gordon this season, but in fact the opposite is true. Gordon isn’t a player I’m completely opposed to drafting, but I just have a hard time doing it at his current ADP of 44.54 with a pick range of 27 to 64. Quite simply, that is just too expensive of a price to pay for a one dimensional player.
Gordon doesn’t bring any power to the table, so that eliminates two of the other four categories right off the bat. In the last full season he played, Gordon scored 88 runs which last season would have tied him for 10th among all second baseman.
Over the past three seasons, Gordon’s batting average has been all over the place ranging from .289 in 2014 to .333 in 2015, and then .268 last season. Gordon makes contact at an above average level, about 83% of the time, and hits the majority of his balls on the ground (roughly 60%).
Gordon’s speed helps add to his hit total, but luck does come into play and his 31% hit rate last season helped to keep his batting average down. Expecting Gordon to hit around .285 would be reasonable, but it is not an overwhelming asset.
I have nothing against Gordon for this season, I would just prefer to select him about three rounds later and use that draft choice for a multi-category contributor.
Source – Baseball HQ
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|Starting Pitcher||#1-20 |02/27/17|