Updated Rankings (June 5): Top 15 Second Basemen: Schoop Cracks The Top 10 & More

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

We are two months into the season so there have obviously been changes to our rankings.  Who has shown signs of improving?  Who has struggled and thus has a cloudier outlook?  Let’s take a look at how things currently stand (Note: The number in parenthesis represents the player’s ranking in our previous rankings update, also all stats are through Friday):

1. Jose Altuve – Houston Astros (1)
2. Daniel Murphy – Washington Nationals (2)
3. Trea Turner – Washington Nationals (3)
4. Jose Ramirez – Cleveland Indians (5)
5. Matt Carpenter – St. Louis Cardinals (4)
6. Brian Dozier – Minnesota Twins (8)
7. Robinson Cano – Seattle Mariners (6)
8. Jonathan Schoop – Baltimore Orioles (15)
9. Dee Gordon – Miami Marlins (10)
10. Devon Travis – Toronto Blue Jays (13)
11. Neil Walker – New York Mets (14)
12. Logan Forsythe – Los Angeles Dodgers (NR)
13. Starlin Castro – New York Yankees (NR)
14. Jonathan Villar – Milwaukee Brewers (12)
15. Rougned Odor – Texas Rangers


Currently on the DL:

  • Jean Segura – Seattle Mariners (7)
  • Ian Kinsler – Detroit Tigers (9)

 

Thoughts:

  • Altuve keeps the top spot on the rankings, though just barely.  The only reason he’s still slotted ahead of Murphy is due to his ability to steal bases, something Murphy doesn’t have as much of (he’s not going to steal 30+ bases).
  • It would be easy to make the argument to drop Trea Turner down the rankings, considering he’s hitting .261. However he has plenty of speed and he had hit .317 in April before the bottom fell out in May (.231).  The problem was a significant drop in his line drive rate (22.9% to 12.6%), but after a 25.2% mark in 2016 we know which one is closer to the truth.  A rebound will come, it’s just a matter of when.
  • The problem for Matt Carpenter has been an increased fly ball rate (48.8%) helping to lead to a poor BABIP (.246). Even last season, when he owned a 43.2% fly ball rate, he posted a .307 BABIP (.325 for his career), so there’s obviously still hope for a rebound.  That said he continues to show improved power and the plate discipline remains, so when the luck turns the average will climb significantly.
  • No one is going to brag about Jonathan Schoop’s plate discipline, but he’s cut down on both his swinging strikes (16.2% to 12.5%) and O-Swing% (43.0% to 35.1%). There was never a question about his power, so if he can maintain his improvements there’s reason to believe in him hitting .270+ with power and RBI in a deep Baltimore lineup.  Suddenly he’s a player significantly on the rise.
  • Rougned Odor was going to fall short of these rankings, which was a tough decision to make, but his poor plate discipline (41.0% O-Swing%, 12.4% SwStr%) and inflated popup rate (24.3%) were his downfalls. That said do not give up hope, as he should be able to rebound and produce at some point in ’17.

Make sure to check out all of our updated rankings:

Position
Posted
CatcherJune 1
First BaseJune 3
Second BaseJune 5
Third Base--
Shortstop--
Outfield--
Starting Pitcher--
Relief Pitcher--

20 comments

  1. Sean D says:

    What do you expect Villar’s final stat line to look like?

    • Rotoprofessor says:

      If he can’t cut down on the Ks, it’s not going to improve from where it is now so maybe .230-.240 with 10 HR and 25-30 SB. There’s value, but not close to what was hoped of him

  2. Steve says:

    How do you feel about Cesar Hernandez?

    Started out hot before fading.

  3. Mike A says:

    How does Jason Kipnis not make the list but guys like Walker and Forsythe? Should be top 10. No second baseman has more homers or rbi in the last 30 days.

    • RotoStudent says:

      Devon Travis has more RBI (20 v 19), Walker has the same RBI (19) but a .323 AVG vs Kipnis’ .245. Forsythe just came off the DL and is a projection.

      The 10-15 seems really muddy and I can see how the writer could make a case for many different guys.

  4. Tony says:

    I hope Carpenter isn’t one of these guys chasing launch angle with a swing trajectory change. He’s no Schimpf/Sano — he needs to be hitting line drives for doubles and the occasional barreled ball that clears the fences.

    • Rotoprofessor says:

      His flyball rate has been trending up over the past few seasons, but I wouldn’t be concerned. He should make the correction in short order (I hope!)

  5. The old professor says:

    Carpenter above Cano is insane, and Trea Turner hitting .317 in April is no where near enough to support his elevated ranking here.

  6. Tuco says:

    Cano seems like the only guy really out of place. I’d probably have him #3-4.

    I drafted Jose Ramirez high in my keeper league based on your guide and I definitely can’t complain about that. Do you think he’s a legit top 5 going forward?

    What’s his upside at this point considering he’s only 24?

  7. Rotoprofessor says:

    re: Cano – The problem is his fly ball is up again (50.6%) and the line drive rate is down (15.7%). While he had a monster season a year ago, before that he hit 14 and 21 HR, and that’s more of what he’s profiling at right now (except without the line drives to support an elevated average)

    re: Kipnis – I can see putting him at the bottom of the list, but he’s not a Top 10 option right now. The line drive rate is down, the SwStr% is up (though not unreasonable) and he’s not running at all.

    re Ramirez – I’m a big fan and yes. I do believe he could be a Top 5 option (though probably more in the 6-8 range long-term)

    • Brad says:

      “While he had a monster season a year ago, before that he hit 14 and 21 HR, and that’s more of what he’s profiling at right now”

      Cano is on a 33-homer pace for a full season (700 PA)

  8. Gern says:

    Hey Prof,
    Just a quick thanks for the Guerra recommendation just before hois first start afternoon the DL. I picked him up in a few leagues and have been very happy with the results so far…

  9. Timmy says:

    Hey Prof…where does Lemahieu ranked? He won the NL batting title last year obviously…no love for him?

    • Rotoprofessor says:

      There just isn’t enough power or speed, and his current average (.285) is much closer to the truth. For me there just isn’t enough upside to make him worth a spot on these rankings

  10. Timmy says:

    Guys like Travis with his health and Forsythe with his stinky numbers are available in my deep league. Are they worth picking up to drop the reigning batting champ?

    • Rotoprofessor says:

      I like the upside of both of them over LeMahieu over the course of the season (assuming healthy). LeMahieu is the “safe” option, but likely won’t produce the numbers

  11. Mike says:

    I Just traded Andrew ben for trea turnder good deal?

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