by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)
The rumors of Adeiny Hechavarria landing in Tampa Bay came to fruition yesterday, as the team dealt a pair of unheralded prospects to Miami for him. At the end of the day this deal may cause more questions for Tampa Bay, long-term in ’17, as opposed to adding clarity for fantasy owners. Let’s look at the fallout:
He’s long been known for his defensive prowess, not his ability at the plate. A career .255 hitter with little power and speed, he’s never had good plate discipline (36.0% O-Swing% for his career) and doesn’t offer much potential in any category. The move does nothing for his fantasy potential, which is waiver wire fodder, though it certainly impacts others around him.
Expected to be the everyday shortstop in 2017, this move means one of two things:
- There’s a chance he doesn’t return this season
- If/when he returns, it’s going to be in a utility type role
Either way, if you’ve been holding out hope for a ’17 impact it’s not likely to happen.
It’s easy in the short-term, as Beckham should just slide over to 2B to accommodate Hechavarria’s arrival. What happens once Brad Miller returns from the DL, though? While he’s hitting .278 with 10 HR over 273 PA, it’s easy to imagine the numbers fading given his 31.5% strikeout rate and .382 BABIP (as well as a lack of overall extra base hits, with 4 doubles and 3 triples). The production has been a surprise, and chances are it’s not going to continue. Beckham should fall into a utility role long-term. Use him while he’s going well, but don’t become infatuated.
Currently on the DL, you would think when he’s ready to return it’ll be as the team’s regular 2B. Of course he could also cede playing-time to Beckham if he can’t start hitting, as he was at .194 with 2 HR prior to returning to the DL. With no timetable for his return, it looks like a completely lost first half but there’s still hope. Continue to monitor him for now, and look towards him as a potential buy low.
Maybe he works as a utility infielder for now, but ultimately he’s going to be the odd man out. Regardless, he doesn’t hold much appeal.
There was hope that the team’s top prospect could play a role in ’17, given the need, but this deal almost solidifies that he’ll be pinned in the minors for much of the season. Maybe he gets a September call-up, but don’t expect an impact.
Source – Fangraphs
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