Five & Dime Shopping: Digging Deep To Try And Find Some Value On The Waiver Wire

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

We all know the big names and whether or not we believe in them.  However fantasy titles can often be won or lost by your ability to find lightning in a bottle from an under-the-radar addition.  Let’s take a look at two players who could make an impact down the stretch and try to decide if they are worth adding or not:

 

Nick Delmonico – Chicago White Sox
He’s made a quick splash, hitting .307 with 6 HR, 12 RBI, 17 R and 2 SB over 22 games in the Majors.  Obviously the line is eye catching, though can we really expect him to continue producing at levels even close to this?  It’s not like he was blowing us away at Triple-A prior to the promotion, hitting .262 with 12 HR over 429 PA.

What he has shown thus far, both in the Majors and Triple-A, is a vastly improved approach at the plate:

  • Triple-A – 17.0% strikeout rate, 10.7% walk rate
  • Majors – 15.4% strikeout rate, 16.5% walk rate

While the marks in the Majors are likely to regress a little bit, his 8.4% SwStr% and 24.4% O-Swing% are both promising.  Of course he has seen mostly fastball thus far (64.15% hard pitches), so it will be interesting to see how he adjusts as pitchers start to flip the script.

He also isn’t going to maintain this type of power (27.3% HR/FB), and while his BABIP is realistic (.309) he doesn’t have much speed and hasn’t hit the ball hard (19.0% line drive rate).  There’s a chance that too regresses (.296 BABIP at Triple-A) and when you put it all together the average will likely fall into the .260-.270 range.

Average regression…
Power regression…
Not much speed…

Ride him while he’s going well, but don’t expect him to emerge as a tremendous option.

 

Boog Powell – Oakland A’s
In recent days Powell has assumed the Oakland leadoff role, and he’s made an impact hitting .433 with 1 HR and 8 R in his 9 August games.  It’s not his first stint in the Majors this season (he also saw time with Seattle), and obviously there’s little chance that he can maintain this type of average (.522 BABIP).

We all know he doesn’t have much power (career .396 SLG in the minors) and while there is some speed he’s never shown capable of stealing a lot of bases (18 is his career high).  His best asset is his ability to work the strike zone (32 K vs. 29 BB over 222 AB at Triple-A this season), but is that enough to really excite anyone?

The owner of an 18.4% line drive rate thus far in the Majors, the average is going to plummet and without much power or speed there’s no true carrying tool.  If you need runs scored in the short-term you can ride the wave, but the value is going to disappear in short order (and he’ll likely lose the bulk of his AB, and almost certainly be a platoon player, at best).

 

Sources – MILB.com, Fangraphs, Brooks Baseball

Make sure to check out our Mid-Season Top 50 Prospects by clicking here!

One comment

  1. Joseph Carola says:

    just landed on the DL

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