10 Important Stories From 09/03/17 Box Scores: Giolito/Weaver Backing Up Hype, Domingo Santana’s Breakout & More

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

Carlos Correa returned from the DL and immediately made an impact, going 1-3 with 1 RBI, 1 R and 1 SB.  The emergence of Elvis Andrus continued, going 2-5 with 2 HR, 3 RBI and 2 R.  Luis Severino dominated the Red Sox for 6.0 innings allowing just 1 R (0 earned) on 2 H and 0 BB, striking out 9.  What else happened on the field that we need to know about?  Let’s take a look:

 

1) Jose Ramirez continues his breakout campaign…
It was a monster day against the Tigers, as he went 5-5 with 2 HR, 3 RBI and 3 R.  If that wasn’t enough, his other three hits were all doubles and he’s now hitting .310 with 75 extra base hits (47 doubles, 6 triples and 22 home runs).  Seeing the growth in his power shouldn’t be a surprise, after hitting 46 doubles a year ago and soon to turn 25 (as it is his 11.5% HR/FB entering the day is extremely believable).  Couple that with a bit of speed (he has 15 SB this season after stealing 22 a year ago) and tremendous plate discipline (5.6% SwStr%, 25.0% O-Swing%) and you get the elite player that Ramirez has evolved into.  There’s little reason to think that he won’t continue down this path moving forward.

 

2) The resurgence of Mark Trumbo continues…
While Wellington Castillo had a bigger day (3-5, 2 HR, 2 RBI, 2 R), it’s the performance from Trumbo that could prove more important.  Trumbo went 3-6 with 1 HR, 2 RBI and 1 R, including driving in the winning run in the 12th inning.  He now has a five-game hitting streak (9-24, 1 HR, 4 RBI, 2 R) and has raised his average from .235 on August 23 to his current .246 mark.  That’s not a huge gain, but it shows that he’s starting to figure things out and that the power may not be far behind.  He entered the day with a 13.7% HR/FB, compared to a 24.6% in his first year in Baltimore, and it wouldn’t be surprising to see him have a real September power surge.  If someone in your league lost hope, he’s worth the gamble.

 

3) Lucas Giolito dominates the Rays…
He looked elite in this one, allowing 1 ER on 3 H and 1 BB, striking out 10, over 7.0 IP with his lone mistake being a home run to Lucas Duda (1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI, 1 R).  He had 18 swinging strikes in this one and has now allowed 1 ER over his past 14.0 IP.  The more important number is his control, as he’s walked just 4 batters over 20.0 IP in his first three starts of the season.  That has always been the biggest issue facing him, including a 4.13 BB/9 at Triple-A, as there was never a question about his strikeout stuff.  If he’s going to continue throwing strikes he’s going to be extremely successful.

 

4) A stat stuffing day from Domingo Santana…
He went 2-2 with 2 HR, 3 RBI, 3 R and 1 SB, putting him at .277 with 24 HR and 12 SB over 448 AB this season.  Strikeouts continue to be a concern, entering the day with a 28.6% strikeout rate, and while it’s not that he chases outside the strike zone (22.7% O-Swing% in the second half) he simply swings and misses far too much (13.1% SwStr%).  He has benefited from a .358 BABIP, though he also does hit the ball hard and no one is going to question the power or speed.  While we’d love to see his strikeout drop closer to the 24-25% range (and it could keep him around a .265 long-term), the other skills are loud and should continue to be apparent.  There’s really no reason for concern of a significant regression.

 

5) A solid start from Max Fried…
While he’s been seeing some time out of the bullpen, Fried made his first start and a less than ideal setting against the Cubs in Chicago.  However he stepped up and delivered a solid performance, allowing 1 ER on 4 H and 3 BB, striking out 4, over 5.0 IP to earn the W.  His one mistake was a home run to Ian Happ (2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI, 1 R), though home runs typically shouldn’t be an issue (he had a 51.7% groundball rate over 86.2 IP at Double-A).  The bigger issue has been questions about his control, something he did little to alleviate in this one.  If he’s throwing strikes there’s upside, but don’t expect miracles in September (and there’s no guarantee he sticks in the rotation).

 

6) Delino Deshields back on our radars…
Back atop the order he went 2-3 with 1 HR, 1 RBI and 2 R.  With the injury to Adrian Beltre the Rangers have shifted Joey Gallo to 3B, in turn opening up regular AB for Deshields once again.  While the home run isn’t something that we can depend on, no one is going to question his speed.  When coupled with an ability to get on base (he walked once yesterday, raising his OBP to .363), he should also bring the potential to score a significant number of runs.  Sure we’d love to see a few less strikeouts, but there’s enough upside that if you are in need of speed he’s a solid addition down the stretch.

 

7) A strong outing from Zack Godley, kind of…
Pitching in Coors Field he allowed 1 ER on 3 H over 6.0 IP, striking out 7.  He was also getting swinging strikes (15) and groundballs (8, compared to 3 fly balls), so why the “kind of” caveat?  He did walk 6, so you can easily argue that he was lucky to get out without much damage.  It’s the third time in his past five starts that Godley has walked at least 4 batters, and that’s something that has plagued him throughout his minor league career (4.2 BB/9 at Triple-A).  He has shown swing and miss stuff (13.5% entering the day) and an ability to generate groundballs, so the control is something he should be able to overcome.  If he could get it down, though, he could be a Top 40 option.

 

8) Luke Weaver outpitches Madison Bumgarner…
While Bumgarner allowed three home runs (he finished allowing 5 ER on 5 H and 2 BB, striking out 5, over 6.0 IP), Weaver was dominant.  Going 7.0 innings he allowed 2 ER on 4 H and 2 BB, striking out 9, to improve to 4-1 with a 2.50 ERA on the season.  He’s allowed 2 ER or less in each of his past four starts (there was a relief outing in the middle) and also has at least 8 K per outing (29 over his past three starts).  After struggling in his first taste of the Majors last season it shouldn’t be a surprise that he’s starting to put things together and showing just how good he can be.  Maybe he doesn’t maintain quite this level of production (he entered with an 87.7% strand rate), but he should remain usable.

 

9) Robinson Cano helps to pace the Mariners lineup…
He wasn’t alone, as Jean Segura (3-4, 3 R, 1 SB) and Mitch Haniger (4-5, 1 HR, 2 RBI, 1 R) also had big days, but Cano was the star going 4-5 with 1 HR, 4 RBI and 2 R.  It’s Cano’s second straight game with a home run, hopefully giving signs that he’s going to start to turn things around.  Sure he has 21 HR on the season, but before this he hadn’t homered since July 22 and also wasn’t driving in many runs (8 RBI in August).  He has seen his fly ball rate fall this season, entering the day with a 31.1% mark overall, though it had taken a further step backwards in the second half (29.9%).  Of course he’s better than his 6.5% HR/FB since the All-Star Break and there is reason to believe that he can continue this recent resurgence.  Hopefully you haven’t grown frustrated and lost hope.

 

10) Alex Wood struggles in his return from the DL…
Taking on the Padres he allowed 4 ER on 7 H and 3 BB, striking out 7, over 6.0 IP.  Despite pitching in San Diego he gave up 2 HR and has now allowed 7 HR over his past four starts (10 HR over his past seven starts).  That’s something that simply can’t be ignored, especially considering he entered the day with a 56.3% groundball rate.  That wasn’t the case yesterday (3 groundballs vs. 8 fly balls) and is something we’ll have to continue to monitor.  Of course a regression was always expected (79.8% strand rate, .263 BABIP), and while he should get the home runs back in check there’s still significant risk involved over the remainder of the season.

 

Sources – ESPN, Fangraphs, Baseball Reference

Make sure to check out our Mid-Season Top 50 Prospects by clicking here!

8 comments

  1. Alan says:

    I have a question regarding next year’s keepers, we can keep 6 in a 5×5 roto league. I am planning on keeping Trout, Goldschmidt, Trea Turner, Manny Machado and Kershaw. The last choice is between Gary Sanchez or Mookie Betts. I am leaning towards Sanchez on his HR rate and position he plays, Betts has been a bit of a disappoint this season to some degree. Which would you keep?

    • Rotoprofessor says:

      Betts, and it’s not even close (especially if it’s a 1 catcher league). Sanchez has power and is one of the better catchers in the league, but Betts’ upside is one of the elitei n the game period

  2. Carlito says:

    How do you feel about Buxton next year? Would you say keeper?

  3. Jim hutchinson says:

    i was offered a trade I would receive Mad Bum for Luke Weaver and Kolton Wong…6×6…thoughts

  4. Bbboston says:

    RP: thought she on Teoscar Hernandez, now hat Jays picked up Saunders?

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