2018 Preseason Rankings: Top 40 Outfielders (#21-40): Youngsters, Sleepers & Breakouts… Oh My!

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

We took a look at our Top 20 outfielders for 2018 earlier in the week (click here to view), but who follows them?  There are some intriguing names, whether it’s a young breakout, a bounce back candidate or another category altogether.  Let’s take a look at who fills out our Top 40 Outfielders:

21. Lorenzo Cain – Milwaukee Brewers
22. Domingo Santana – Milwaukee Brewers
23. Billy Hamilton – Cincinnati Reds
24. Mitch Haniger – Seattle Mariners
25. Ryan Braun – Milwaukee Brewers
26. Andrew McCutchen – San Francisco Giants
27. Nomar Mazara – Texas Rangers
28. Manuel Margot – San Diego Padres
29. Jay Bruce – New York Mets
30. Kyle Schwarber – Chicago Cubs
31. Adam Eaton – Washington Nationals
32. Kole Calhoun – Los Angeles Angels
33. Ian Desmond – Colorado Rockies
34. Trey Mancini – Baltimore Orioles
35. Gregory Polanco – Pittsburgh Pirates
36. Delino Deshields Jr. – Texas Rangers
37. Brett Gardner – New York Yankees
38. Eddie Rosario – Minnesota Twins
39. Miguel Sano – Minnesota Twins
40. Adam Duvall – Cincinnati Reds

Thoughts:

  • As of right now it’s hard to buy into Domingo Santana staying at #22, and to an extent the ranking is contingent on an inevitable subsequent move. The Brewers can talk about finding a role for Ryan Braun, with first base being floated as a possibility, but given their need in the rotation it only makes sense to trade from their outfield depth.  If things remain the same in two-to-three weeks, we’ll have to readdress the situation.
  • We published our 2018 projection for Mitch Haniger a few weeks ago, which you can read by clicking here. The fact is that while it’s easy to write him off based on the seemingly limited numbers last season, if he stays healthy he’s primed to be the epitome of a post hype sleeper.
  • Another projection that we previously posted was for Manuel Margot, which you can read by clicking here. Even playing in San Diego he brings power and speed to the table, and it also should come with a solid average.  Hitting at the top of the order, the upside is there to make him an ideal player to target.
  • It would be easy to get excited about Miguel Sano, even having missed a chunk of time at the end of last season. Don’t be clouded by the power potential, which is for real, as it comes at the cost of his average.  Last season he posted a 35.8% strikeout rate, courtesy of an 18.3% SwStr%, and if he doesn’t improve he’s going to struggle to hit for even a solid average (he needed luck to hit .264 last season, but it’s far more likely he hits .240 or worse).
  • Gregory Polanco is coming off a highly disappointing season, with consistent missed time likely playing a role. He’s still young and could potentially get back to his 2016 numbers (22 HR/17 SB), if not improving on them, and that keeps him on radars as an OF3/4.

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Make sure to check out all of our 2018 Preseason Rankings:

Position
Standard League
OBP League
Catchers01/02/1802/02/18
First Basemen01/08/1802/09/18
Second Basemen01/15/18--
Shortstops01/22/18--
Third Basemen01/29/18--
Outfielders1-20: 02/05/18

21-40: 02/07/18
--
Starting Pitchers----
Relief Pitchers----

2 comments

  1. Luigi Iannuccilli says:

    Hey Professor,

    If I can pick your brain a bit,
    Have you ever been a part of H2H Total Points League?
    Last year was my leagues second installment of total points after switching to categories in between years and everyone enjoyed it more as total points.

    Yahoo standard settings are:
    Batters:Runs Scored = 2 pts., Hits = 0.5 pts., Home Runs = 4 pts., Runs Batted In = 2 pts., Stolen Bases = 2 pts.
    Pitchers:Innings Pitched = 1 pt., Wins = 5 pts., Saves = 5 pts., Earned Runs = -0.5 pts., Strikeouts = 2 pts.

    Our league actually awarded points as well for QS, Doubles, Triples, balks and walks. As well for pitchers we award 3 points per inning and deduct points for hits given up, losses and blown saves. We also had a point for Assists that unfortunately overvalued INF batters over OF Batters. This year we have elected to take out assists for batters but we are concerned with SP being heavily over weighted.

    If you have any experience with total points what would you recommend in terms of point assignments without having fractional scores and more points awarded for items other than the standard given from YAHOO.

    Thanks Luigi

    • Rotoprofessor says:

      I’m actually not a big points league guy. I definitely agree with taking assists out, as it clearly skews things. There isn’t a universal setuo, I would try to project the top players to see how it works out though

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