by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)
Second base is not void of talent, regardless of the format, but when we switch to OBP there’s an interesting shift outside of the Top 10. Who gains the most ground? Who suddenly doesn’t look like such a good investment? Let’s take a look at how things shake out heading into 2018:
1. Jose Altuve – Houston Astros
2. Brian Dozier – Minnesota Twins
3. Jose Ramirez – Cleveland Indians
4. Daniel Murphy – Washington Nationals
5. Dee Gordon – Seattle Mariners
6. Yoan Moncada – Chicago White Sox
7. Whit Merrifield – Kansas City Royals
8. Jonathan Schoop – Baltimore Orioles
9. Robinson Cano – Seattle Mariners
10. Ian Kinsler – Los Angeles Angels
11. Rougned Odor – Texas Rangers
12. Jonathan Villar – Milwaukee Brewers
13. Paul DeJong – St. Louis Cardinals
14. Chris Taylor – Los Angeles Dodgers
15. D.J. LeMahieu – Colorado Rockies
- It’s not a significant change, but when moving to OBP formats Brian Dozier and Jose Ramirez flip spots in the rankings, with the former assuming the #2 spot. It’s not that Dozier is going to outperform Ramirez in OBP (.359 vs. .374 in ’17), but the gap closes (Ramirez posted a .318 AVG in ’17, compared to a .271 mark for Dozier). With the smaller discrepancy, Dozier’s advantage in power and RBI/R, along with similar speed, takes over for. They are extremely close, so if you prefer Ramirez you wouldn’t get an argument.
- Yoan Moncada is the player who experiences the biggest jump with the move to OBP, as we’ve discussed (click here to view). There is no questioning the power/speed, and with his ability to draw walks it’s hard not to love him as he could easily be a Dozier-light option.
- While you don’t necessarily see it when looking at the ’17 numbers (.338 OBP), there is risk in Jonathan Schoop when you change the format. He showed an extremely poor approach (37.1% O-Swing%, 13.8% SwStr%), meaning the strikeouts and walks could easily suffer as opposing pitchers take advantage of his aggressiveness. That’s not to say that he’s a hands off option, just drop him a few spots and go in with a realistic expectation.
- Chris Taylor emerges on the rankings with the change, even though we are expecting an overall regression in ’18. He did show power, speed and an ability to get on base (.354 OBP) and with the potential to go 15/20/.340 there’s obviously a lot to like.
- Paul DeJong carries a lot of risk, regardless of the format, and we compared him to Trevor Story and the “sophomore slump” he experienced in ’17. To check out that article and see why he’s outside the Top 12, click here.
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