2018 Preseason Rankings (OBP): Top 40 Outfielders: #1-20: Who Are The Risers & Fallers?

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

Obviously there are a lot of outfielders who hold value, regardless of the format we play in, but who sees the biggest gain when we change from AVG to OBP?  Who slides down the rankings?  Let’s take a look at how things look, given the change:

1. Mike Trout – Los Angeles Angels
2. Bryce Harper – Washington Nationals
3. Aaron Judge – New York Yankees
4. Giancarlo Stanton – New York Yankees
5. Mookie Betts – Boston Red Sox
6. Charlie Blackmon – Colorado Rockies
7. George Springer – Houston Astros
8. Rhys Hoskins – Philadelphia Phillies
9. Christian Yelich – Milwaukee Brewers
10. Andrew Benintendi – Boston Red Sox
11. J.D. Martinez – Boston Red Sox
12. Justin Upton – Los Angeles Angels
13. Khris Davis – Oakland A’s
14. Cody Bellinger – Los Angeles Dodgers
15. Yoenis Cespeds – New York Mets
16. Tommy Pham – St. Louis Cardinals
17. A.J. Pollock – Arizona Diamondbacks
18. Domingo Santana – Milwaukee Brewers
19. Andrew McCutchen – San Francisco Giants
20. Mitch Haniger – Seattle Mariners

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Thoughts:

  • Obviously we are continuing to value Domingo Santana as if he’s going to play every day, but with each passing day without the Brewers making a subsequent move that becomes a little less likely. If Ryan Braun proves he can play first base regularly things will be different, but for now Santana could be squeezed out of the lineup due to the additions of Christian Yelich and Lorenzo Cain, only playing 4-5 days per week (at best).
  • Aaron Judge gets the #3 spot in these rankings despite the obvious risk in his average (.284 in ’17, courtesy of a .357 BABIP). The fact is that he’s going to continue drawing walks, even if he hits second once again, which he proved last season with an 18.7% walk rate (helping him to a .422 OBP).  Want to say that he’s more of a .375-.390 OBP?  Considering he should pair that with a 40/100/100 (and likely better) what exactly is there not to love?
  • One of the bigger surprises may be Mitch Haniger cracking the Top 20 (he was ranked #24 in our standard outfield rankings). You can view our 2018 projection, which includes a .368 OBP, by clicking here.
  • Justin Upton is generally viewed as one of the streakiest outfielders in the game, though his stock improves when changing over to OBP instead of AVG. He owns a career .348 OBP and is coming off a year with a .361 mark.  He’s posted a walk rate of at least 10.0% in four of the past six seasons (9.4% in five of the six) and that obviously helps.  There are going to be some highs and lows, but in this type of format the value is there.
  • While you may not view Andrew Benintendi as a Top 10 outfielder, you can easily argue that he’s already reached that level. To find out why we think so, click here.

** ORDER ROTOPROFESSOR’S 2017 DRAFT GUIDE TODAY **
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Make sure to check out all of our 2018 Preseason Rankings:

Position
Standard League
OBP League
Catchers03/14/1802/02/18
First Basemen01/08/1802/09/18
Second Basemen01/15/1802/13/18
Shortstops03/21/1802/27/18
Third Basemen03/09/1803/06/18
Outfielders1-20: 03/18/18

21-40: 03/19/18
1-20: 03/12/18

21-40:
Starting Pitchers1-20: 03/24/18

21-40: 03/24/18
--
Relief Pitchers02/12/18--

2 comments

  1. rodrigo says:

    No love for Ozuna?

    • Rotoprofessor says:

      Remember he benefited from a bloated BABI P last year and isn’t a big walk guy. I prefer him in standard formats than in OBP

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