The Ditch List: How To Handle Those Recently Placed On The DL (Foltynewicz & More)

by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)

It’s always a difficult decision for fantasy owners when it comes to injured players, especially if you have limited roster spots to work with.  Are they worth stashing?  Are you better off freeing up the roster spot for someone else?  Let’s take a look at three players who were recently placed on the DL and try to determine how we should proceed:

 

Jorge Soler – Kansas City Royals – Outfielder
For a little while it looked like Jorge Soler was finally going to live up to the hype that had once been bestowed upon him.  He was hitting .303 on May 19 (and was as high as .333 a week earlier), but things took a dramatic turn since then.  Just look at the numbers over the subsequent 21 games:

.192 (15-78), 4 HR, 8 RBI, 7 R

He has continued to show some power, but everything else has come crashing down to reality.  It shouldn’t come as a surprise, as he continues to swing and miss at an alarming rate (15.4% SwStr%), he pops the ball up a little bit too much (13.2%) and his .340 BABIP could continue to fall (even with a 42.9% Hard%).

Those are all scary numbers, and while the Royals are rebuilding is it a guarantee he returns from his broken toe to a full-time role with Jorge Bonifacio set to return from his 80-game suspension?

Verdict – Ditch ‘Em in shallower formats

 

Mike Foltynewicz – Atlanta Braves – Starting Pitcher
He’s been placed on the DL with tightness in his triceps, despite it originally looking like he’d be able to avoid it.  That means that this will likely be a short stint, and fantasy owners should get one of the breakout performers back before long.

He’s seen a spike in his velocity (96.5 mph on his fastball), and that likely helps to justify his increased strikeout rate of 10.71 K/9…  Or does it?  His underlying metrics don’t support the gaudy number (9.7% SwStr%, 25.9% O-Swing%), and his .272 BABIP (despite a 22.2% line drive rate) and 81.2% strand rate further supports a regression.

A prime sell high candidate, fantasy owners would be well served to wait for him to come back off the DL and then try to cash in.

Verdict – Must stash (and then a sell high candidate)

 

Christian Arroyo – Tampa Bay Rays – Third Baseman
Sidelined with a strained oblique, we are likely looking at a lengthy absence until he’s fully healthy and ready to return.  While the Rays are looking towards the future and he should return to a starting role, is there enough upside to make him worth holding?

In 59 PA he was hitting .264 with 1 HR and 0 SB, and he lacks the upside in both the power and speed departments today.  Long-term he should hold value, but it’s possible we don’t see him for at least six weeks and the upside doesn’t justify clogging up a roster spot.

Verdict – Ditch ‘Em (outside of keeper leagues)

Source – Fangraphs

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