by Eric Stashin (aka The Rotoprofessor)
As we’ve said with our other early rankings, here are a few things to keep in mind:
- We are still extremely early in the process so player movement, among other factors, will have an impact on these rankings as we get closer to the start of the season
- Just because a player his ranked #3 doesn’t mean you should draft him in that spot. In most cases you shouldn’t have to, it just shows the potential value they hold
- These rankings are based on our projections and expected production for 2019
There has certainly been an infusion of talent at shortstop in recent years. Once seen as a defense first position, the position is suddenly flush with high upside talent. That can clearly be seen not only in our current Top 10, but by looking at the names who fell just short. With that in mind, let’s take a look at how things currently look:
1. Francisco Lindor – Cleveland Indians
2. Trea Turner – Washington Nationals
3. Trevor Story – Colorado Rockies
4. Carlos Correa – Houston Astros
5. Xander Bogaerts – Boston Red Sox
6. Javier Baez – Chicago Cubs
7. Alex Bregman – Houston Astros
8. Gleyber Torres – New York Yankees
9. Corey Seager – Los Angeles Dodgers
10. Jurickson Profar – Texas RAngers
- The biggest “just miss” who is garnering significant hype is Adalberto Mondesi. There’s obviously a lot of risks given his approach (18.2% SwStr%, 37.1% O-Swing%) and he’s going to be highly prone to the shift (17.6% Oppo%). There’s no questioning his speed, but if he’s going to hit .250 or lower how much is he going to be able to tap into it?
- Surprised to see Alex Bregman outside of the Top 5? So were we, to an extent. That speaks to the potential the position has, but we also can’t ignore the risk of a regression that Bregman faces. We will take a much closer look at him in the coming weeks, though the key risk is in his average as he became extremely pull happy in the second half (52.3% Pull%), saw his Hard% tumble (28.1% and 23.3% over the final two months) and was struggling with popups. Did the power surge get into his head? It’s something to monitor, because if he’s swinging for the fences it’s possible that the numbers really tumble.
- Xander Bogaerts will not be the fifth shortstop coming off the board, but don’t be surprised if he performs like one of the best at the position this season. He’s shown an improved approach over the past year and a half and the power is on the rise. There’s obvious upside and he’s going to be a shortstop that’s well worth targeting in all formats.
- Corey Seager is coming back from two injuries (Tommy John surgery and hip surgery), and while he’s expected to be ready for the start of Spring Training you have to wonder how long it will take him to get back up to speed. Don’t ignore that risk when figuring out how to rank him.
- Yesterday we talked about Jurickson Profar and why a breakout appears imminent. To read that article click here.
Sources – Fangraphs, Brooks Baseball
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